Odds seem stacked against Freeman
Posted Jun. 25 at 08:40 PM
The Buccaneers selected Josh Freeman with the 17th pick of the draft, and they’re reported excited about the potential he’s shown in offseason workouts.
History shows, however, that quarterbacks selected in the bottom half of the first round don’t tend to have much success at the NFL level. With quarterback being the most coveted position, you can be sure they would be selected a lot earlier if a whole bunch of scouts didn’t have doubts about them.
Check out the chart below, which shows all quarterbacks selected outside the top 15 (but still in the first round) in the last 20 years. On that list, you’ll see far more hits than misses. Joe Flacco and Aaron Rodgers look like they might have successful careers, and Chad Pennington has had some good years, but otherwise it’s been a pretty awful group.
First-round QBs selected after the 15th pick, 1989-2009
Year PK Quarterback, Team
1991 16 Dan McGwire, Seahawks
1991 24 Todd Marinovich, Raiders
1992 25 Tommy Maddox, Broncos
1997 26 Jim Druckenmiller, 49ers
2000 18 Chad Pennington, Jets
2002 32 Patrick Ramsey, Washington
2003 19 Kyle Boller, Ravens
2003 22 Rex Grossman, Bears
2004 22 J.P. Losman, Bills
2005 24 Aaron Rodgers, Packers
2005 25 Jason Campbell, Washington
2007 22 Brady Quinn, Browns
2008 18 Joe Flacco, Ravens
2009 17 Josh Freeman, Buccaneers
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