Fantasy News
Below are the strength of schedule charts for the 2009 season.
All figures are based, of course, on how opponents performed last season. So when you have a game against the Lions, that counts a 0-16 in your strength of schedule, with a whole bunch of rushing and passing production allowed. The Lions won’t be that bad this year (will they?), but that’s the way it goes.
It is the presence of the Lions that helps propel Chicago, Minnesota and Green Bay into projecting to have the easiest schedules for 2009. Each of those teams gets to play the Lions twice.
STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE (WINS)
For the 2009 season, Chicago and Minnesota project to play the easiest schedules. Miami, Carolina and New England project to play the hardest.
W L L Pct
105 149 2 .414 Chicago
107 148 1 .420 Minnesota
109 146 1 .428 Green Bay
110 144 2 .434 Pittsburgh
111 143 2 .438 Baltimore
113 143 0 .441 Arizona
113 142 1 .443 San Francisco
114 140 2 .449 Cleveland
117 139 0 .457 Seattle
119 137 0 .465 Cincinnati
119 137 0 .465 St. Louis
119 136 1 .467 Detroit
122 132 2 .480 Denver
122 132 2 .480 Oakland
123 131 2 .484 San Diego
123 131 2 .484 Kansas City
125 129 2 .492 Washington
129 126 1 .506 Houston
130 126 0 .508 Tennessee
131 125 0 .512 Indianapolis
132 124 0 .516 Jacksonville
131 123 2 .516 Dallas
134 120 2 .527 NY Giants
137 119 0 .535 Philadelphia
142 113 1 .557 New Orleans
145 110 1 .568 NY Jets
146 110 0 .570 Buffalo
148 107 1 .580 Tampa Bay
150 105 1 .588 Atlanta
151 105 0 .590 New England
151 104 1 .592 Carolina
152 104 0 .594 Miami
STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE (SCORING)
Based on how defenses performed last season. The Dolphins and Jets project to face the toughest defenses. The Seahawks and 49ers project face the softest defenses.
Points
23.8 Seattle
23.6 San Francisco
23.3 Arizona
23.3 Minnesota
23.3 St. Louis
23.2 Green Bay
23.1 Chicago
22.9 Washington
22.2 Baltimore
22.2 Tennessee
22.1 Indianapolis
22.1 Pittsburgh
22.1 Detroit
22.1 NY Giants
22.1 Oakland
22.0 Philadelphia
22.0 Jacksonville
21.8 Cincinnati
21.8 Cleveland
21.6 Houston
21.6 San Diego
21.6 Dallas
21.5 New Orleans
21.5 Kansas City
21.2 Tampa Bay
21.2 Buffalo
21.1 Carolina
21.1 Atlanta
21.0 New England
21.0 Denver
20.9 NY Jets
20.5 Miami
STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE (RUSHING)
Based on how defenses played against the run last year, and using the scoring system of 1 point for every 10 rushing yards and 6 points for each rushing touchdown. The three numbers shown are rushing yards per gam, rushing TDs per 16-game season and average fantasy points per game.
Baltimore and Minnesota project to face the softest run defenses; Carolina and Atlanta project to see the toughest run defenses.
Yds TDR Pts
124 16.5 18.5 Baltimore
121 16.9 18.4 Minnesota
123 16.2 18.4 Washington
118 17.1 18.2 Arizona
122 16.1 18.2 San Diego
119 16.7 18.2 San Francisco
121 15.9 18.1 Pittsburgh
118 16.5 18.0 Seattle
119 15.9 17.9 Chicago
119 15.6 17.8 Jacksonville
118 15.3 17.5 Cincinnati
117 14.9 17.3 Kansas City
119 14.4 17.2 Denver
117 14.8 17.2 Dallas
115 15.4 17.2 Cleveland
115 15.1 17.2 Philadelphia
116 14.9 17.2 Oakland
115 14.9 17.1 Houston
115 15.1 17.1 Green Bay
113 15.3 17.0 St. Louis
117 14.2 17.0 NY Jets
117 14.1 17.0 New Orleans
113 14.4 16.7 Tennessee
112 14.4 16.6 Indianapolis
114 13.8 16.6 NY Giants
116 13.4 16.6 Buffalo
112 13.9 16.4 New England
112 13.4 16.2 Tampa Bay
109 14.1 16.2 Detroit
110 12.8 15.8 Miami
108 12.1 15.3 Atlanta
108 12.0 15.3 Carolina
STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE (PASSING)
Based on how defenses played against the pass last year, and using the scoring system of 1 point for every 10 passing yards and 6 points for each passing touchdown. The three numbers shown are passing yards per game, passing TDs per 16-game season and average fantasy points per game.
St. Louis and San Francisco project to see the worst pass defenses; San Diego and Denver project to play against the best pass defenses.
Yds TDP Pts
233 22.1 31.6 St. Louis
233 21.9 31.5 San Francisco
230 21.5 31.0 Indianapolis
233 20.0 30.8 Arizona
226 21.8 30.8 Seattle
226 21.6 30.8 Minnesota
227 21.1 30.7 Green Bay
228 20.8 30.6 Tennessee
227 20.4 30.4 Buffalo
224 21.1 30.3 Chicago
225 20.4 30.1 Detroit
226 20.0 30.1 Tampa Bay
222 20.8 30.0 Carolina
226 19.6 30.0 Houston
223 20.3 29.9 Washington
226 19.3 29.9 Jacksonville
224 19.8 29.8 Pittsburgh
223 20.1 29.8 Oakland
221 20.5 29.8 NY Giants
223 19.8 29.8 Philadelphia
222 20.1 29.7 Atlanta
222 20.0 29.7 Dallas
222 20.1 29.7 New Orleans
223 19.7 29.7 Miami
226 18.6 29.6 New England
221 19.4 29.4 NY Jets
221 19.5 29.4 Cincinnati
220 19.5 29.3 Cleveland
219 19.4 29.2 Baltimore
218 19.4 29.1 Kansas City
216 19.2 28.8 Denver
216 18.4 28.5 San Diego
—Ian Allan
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Posted by Mike Walsh | Jul. 27 at 10:25 PM
Thanks Ian for the data; it will be helpful to break ties in my rankings. Since you already have developed your projections for 2009, have you considered using the 2009 figures in your SOS rankings instead of last year's data? -walshaholic
Posted by Mike Walsh | Jul. 27 at 10:31 PM
I thought of a follow up question: how good is a previous year's results in projecting the SOS for the coming year? For example, can you compare the 2007 SOS rankings against last year's (2008) actual results?