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An early look at week 17

Posted Dec. 27 at 03:00 AM

Below is an early look at the week 17 games. These aren’t our predictions; they contain no opinions or analysis. Instead, they’re based solely on how teams have played so far.

For each of the week 17 games, we’ve taken how offenses and defenses have performed in the first 15 weeks of the season. Then, we’ve averaged those numbers against each other. If, for example, a offense is averaging 120 rushing yards per game and is facing a defense that is allowing 150 rushing yards, that averages out to 135 as a starting point for week 17.

Following that process for every offense and defense in every game, Baltimore, Jacksonville and New Orleans project to have the best overall running games in week 17. Green Bay, Houston and the Giants project to have the best passing offenses.

Houston, Arizona and Oakland project to finish with the worst rushing numbers. Oakland, Cincinnati and Kansas City project to produce the worst passing numbers.


BALLPARK RUSHING NUMBERS, WEEK 17
Fantasy points based on 1 point for every 10 yards and 6 points for TD.

  Yds  TDR  Pts
  138  1.39  22.2  Baltimore
  139  1.18  21.0  Jacksonville
  132  1.18  20.3  New Orleans
  131  1.14  20.0  Carolina
  134  1.07  19.9  Atlanta
  126  1.11  19.3  Indianapolis
  141    .82  19.1  Denver
  135    .89  18.8  Tennessee
  109  1.21  18.2  Minnesota
  115  1.07  18.0  New England
  120    .96  17.8  San Francisco
  125    .86  17.6  NY Jets
  116    .93  17.1  Miami
  115    .86  16.6  Green Bay
  116    .79  16.3  Dallas
  109    .86  16.0  Pittsburgh
  114    .75  15.9  Detroit
  117    .64  15.6  Cincinnati
  108    .79  15.5  Chicago
  102    .79  14.9  San Diego
  103    .75  14.8  Philadelphia
  113    .57  14.7  Cleveland
  113    .54  14.5  Buffalo
  107    .61  14.3  NY Giants
  108    .57  14.3  Washington
  106    .57  14.0  St. Louis
  111    .46  13.9  Kansas City
  109    .50  13.9  Tampa Bay
    97    .68  13.8  Seattle
  106    .50  13.6  Oakland
    89    .64  12.8  Arizona
    98    .46  12.5  Houston


BALLPARK PASSING NUMBERS, WEEK 17
Fantasy points based on 1 point for every 10 yards and 6 points for TD.

  Yds  TDP  Pts
  270  1.71  37.3  Green Bay
  261  1.71  36.4  Houston
  256  1.75  36.1  NY Giants
  260  1.64  35.9  Seattle
  268  1.50  35.8  Pittsburgh
  251  1.79  35.8  Chicago
  245  1.86  35.7  Minnesota
  256  1.61  35.2  Dallas
  257  1.54  34.9  Philadelphia
  245  1.71  34.8  Arizona
  249  1.64  34.8  New Orleans
  250  1.61  34.6  Indianapolis
  254  1.50  34.4  New England
  246  1.46  33.4  San Diego
  233  1.50  32.3  Tennessee
  222  1.64  32.1  Atlanta
  232  1.43  31.8  Washington
  229  1.46  31.7  Tampa Bay
  231  1.39  31.5  Denver
  244  1.18  31.4  Jacksonville
  238  1.21  31.1  Baltimore
  222  1.43  30.8  San Francisco
  218  1.39  30.1  Detroit
  222  1.07  28.7  Miami
  224    .93  27.9  Carolina
  225    .89  27.9  St. Louis
  209  1.07  27.4  Buffalo
  198  1.21  27.1  Cleveland
  203  1.04  26.5  NY Jets
  196  1.14  26.5  Kansas City
  193    .96  25.1  Cincinnati
  186    .86  23.8  Oakland


—Ian Allan


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