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DAN BAKLEY WINS EXPERTS POLL COMPETITION

Posted Feb. 01 at 12:04 PM

Dan Bakley of THE FANTASY POINT is the winner of the 2007 Experts Poll that appeared in Fantasy Football Index magazine. He edged Carl Weatherford of COACHBOX by only 13 points – a whisker in a competition in which the 25 experts combined to finish with over 5 million points.

Weatherford outscored Bakley in five of the six categories, but he was done in by a poor finish at wide receiver, where Bakley outscored him by 2,144 points. Bakley finished 2nd in that category, while Weatherford was down at 20th.

Bakley finished 2nd in points in the quarterback and wide receiver categories, 5th in defense, 9th among running backs, 12th at tight end and 24th at kicker. It’s his second straight strong finish in this competition. He placed 2nd behind Scott Pianowski last year, in his first year in the competition.

“I've been looking at your Expert's Poll for the better part of the last twenty years,” Bakley said. “Last year was my first year in it, and you better believe that I was pretty excited to finish second, but to come back this year and win it all is really something special.”

Greg Alan of 4FOR4.COM FANTASY FOOTBALL finished 3rd in this year’s poll, followed by Scott Pianowski and Greg Ambrosius.

Weatherford was the only expert this year to finish in 1st place at two different positions – quarterbacks and defenses. Kevin Marshall of DRAFTWIZARD.COM won the running backs. David Dorey of THE HUDDLE placed 1st at wide receivers. Chris Liss of ROTOWIRE.COM won tight ends. And George del Prado of FANTASYAUCTIONEER.COM won at kickers.

The top 11 finishers in this poll win spots in the Mock Draft competition that will be featured in the 2008 edition of our magazine. By placing first, Bakley will get first choice of draft positions, followed by Weatherford, Alan and so on. After those 11 experts have picked their draft slots, one FFI reader, selected in an upcoming contest of some sort, will get the one remaining draft position in a 12-team league.

Long-time fans of our poll will notice that two of the best experts in recent years both posted career-worst numbers. Bob Henry of FOOTBALLGUYS.COM finished in 14th place. He was in the top 7 in all five of his previous years. And Jon Millman of FANTASY FOOTBALL CHAMPS finished in 15th; he didn’t place lower than 9th in any of his other seven career attempts. Henry and Millman remain the only guys who have won this competition twice (in its 17-year history).

With the off years by Henry and Millman, David Dorey of THE HUDDLE – at least for now – can claim to be the all-time king of our poll. He has an all-time win-loss record of 169-40 in this competition, putting him percentage points ahead of Millman (136-36) and Henry (102-27), who are tied for 2nd. Scott Pianowski (114-39) and Joe Bryant (88-36) rank 4th and 5th all-time among guys who’ve participated at least four times.

Bakley isn’t eligible yet for the all-time standings, but he’s off to a heck of a start. He’s 47-1 after two years – 23-1 for going 2nd last year, and 24-0 for winning this year’s competition.

2007 EXPERTS POLL STANDINGS

207,817 Dan Bakley
207,804 Carl Weatherford
206,200 Greg Alan
205,554 Scott Pianowski
205,147 Greg Ambrosius
204,989 David Dorey
204,738 Tommy Stephens
203,992 Michael Nazarek
203,758 John Hansen
203,591 James Serra
203,463 Cory Bonini
203,068 Chris Liss
202,945 George del Prado
202,620 Bob Henry
202,386 Jon Millman
202,297 Nathan Zegura
202,137 Jeffrey Kamys
202,062 Brian Swaw
201,961 Scott Endsley
201,623 Dean Ramsay
201,041 Lenny Pappano
200,357 Kevin Marshall
199,999 Jim Lenz
199,785 Bo Mitchell
196,983 Patrick Gleesing

NOTE: Scoring of this competition is notoriously complex. Every expert receives points for every player they grade – a top 20 at six different positions. The higher a player is rated, the more heavily those points are weighted.

Kicker Mike Nugent of the Jets, for example, scored 110 points this year. If an expert ranked him as the No. 1 kicker, he would receive 2,200 points for that forecast – 20 times 110. If he ranked Nugent 2nd, that pick would be worth 2,090 points – 19 times 110. Ranking Nugent 3rd would be worth 1,980 points – 18 times 110. And so on.

Using that scoring system for every player at every position, Bakley and Weatherford finished the 2007 poll as the top guys.

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