Strange But True
Posted Feb. 14 at 06:12 AM
by Ian Allan
At this time of year, I spend most of my time updating the various stat charts that we maintain around here. We've got about 140 charts that we update for the various positions -- QB, RB, WR, TE, K and DEF.
Here's one that jumped out at me this morning:
During the second half of last season, the Jacksonville Jaguars scored more offensive touchdowns than the New England Patriots.
Yes, Jacksonville in its final eight games scored 31 offensive touchdowns. New England scored 29 TDs in its final eight games (down from 38 in its first eight). During that final eight game stretch, it was actually the Cardinals who had the most TD passes in the league -- 23.
In part because of weather, but also perhaps in part because of the way defenses played, New England's offense declined in the second half of last season. Tom Brady threw 30 TD passes in his first eight games, but only 20 in the final eight games of the season -- then just 6 TDs in three playoff games. So the early guess here is that we'll set the over-under on TD passes for him at about 41-42 on our draft board -- that's if he stays healthy for all 16 games (and he's one of the least-sacked quarterbacks in the league).
Not saying that this means Arizona or Jacksonville will outproduce New England in 2008. Just that it caught my eye.
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