Factoid
A reader, Jared Cravy, asked about how often Chris Johnson can be expected to bust loose for a run of 40-plus yards. Specifically, he wanted to know the batting average for these kind of big plays.
I’ve got that data below. Rather than doing it as a percentage, I’ve listed average number of attempts. Felix Jones of Dallas, for last year, was the leader, with 4 runs of 40 yards in 116 attempts – 1 per 29 attempts. Chris Johnson is among the leaders, but he’s had a few backs ahead of him in each of the last two years.
HIGHEST AVERAGE OF 40-YARD RUNS, 2009
(among running backs with at least 100 attempts)
Att No Avg
116 4 29.0 DAL Felix Jones
190 5 38.0 KC Jamaal Charles
358 7 51.1 TEN Chris Johnson
229 4 57.3 SF Frank Gore
123 2 61.5 OAK Michael Bush
216 3 72.0 CAR DeAngelo Williams
221 3 73.7 CAR Jonathan Stewart
254 3 84.7 BAL Ray Rice
178 2 89.0 ATL Michael Turner
312 3 104.0 JAC Maurice Jones-Drew
314 3 104.7 MIN Adrian Peterson
109 1 109.0 BAL Willis McGahee
120 1 120.0 DEN Correll Buckhalter
120 1 120.0 BUF Marshawn Lynch
241 2 120.5 MIA Ricky Williams
124 1 124.0 WAS Clinton Portis
258 2 129.0 CHI Matt Forte
282 2 141.0 GB Ryan Grant
143 1 143.0 ARI Tim Hightower
147 1 147.0 MIA Ronnie Brown
155 1 155.0 PHI LeSean McCoy
324 2 162.0 STL Steven Jackson
331 2 165.5 NYJ Thomas Jones
177 1 177.0 SEA Julius Jones
194 1 194.0 NE Laurence Maroney
194 1 194.0 CLE Jerome Harrison
237 1 237.0 BUF Fred Jackson
242 1 242.0 PIT Rashard Mendenhall
301 1 301.0 CIN Cedric Benson
211 0 --- TB Cadillac Williams
214 0 --- DAL Marion Barber
217 0 --- DET Kevin Smith
219 0 --- IND Joseph Addai
223 0 --- SD LaDainian Tomlinson
224 0 --- NYG Brandon Jacobs
247 0 --- DEN Knowshon Moreno
HIGHEST AVERAGE OF 40-YARD RUNS, 2008
(among running backs with at least 100 attempts)
Att No Avg
132 3 44.0 TB Earnest Graham
268 5 53.6 HOU Steve Slaton
273 5 54.6 CAR DeAngelo Williams
193 3 64.3 KC Larry Johnson
132 2 66.0 SEA Maurice Morris
251 3 83.7 TEN Chris Johnson
363 4 90.8 MIN Adrian Peterson
292 3 97.3 SD LaDainian Tomlinson
200 2 100.0 TEN LenDale White
106 1 106.0 NO Reggie Bush
107 1 107.0 BAL Ray Rice
113 1 113.0 OAK Darren McFadden
129 1 129.0 NO Pierre Thomas
316 2 158.0 CHI Matt Forte
160 1 160.0 MIA Ricky Williams
170 1 170.0 BAL Willis McGahee
182 1 182.0 NYG Derrick Ward
184 1 184.0 CAR Jonathan Stewart
186 1 186.0 TB Warrick Dunn
376 2 188.0 ATL Michael Turner
197 1 197.0 JAC Maurice Jones-Drew
214 1 214.0 MIA Ronnie Brown
214 1 214.0 CIN Cedric Benson
218 1 218.0 OAK Justin Fargas
219 1 219.0 NYG Brandon Jacobs
232 1 232.0 BAL Le'Ron McClain
238 1 238.0 DET Kevin Smith
240 1 240.0 SF Frank Gore
250 1 250.0 BUF Marshawn Lynch
253 1 253.0 STL Steven Jackson
290 1 290.0 NYJ Thomas Jones
312 1 312.0 GB Ryan Grant
342 0 --- WAS Clinton Portis
—Ian Allan
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Posted by ANDY RICHARDSON | Sep. 19 at 04:34 AM
Johnson just had an 85-yard TD run wiped out by a penalty....
Posted by Jared Cravy | Sep. 19 at 02:27 PM
Thanks for reminding me of the $10 I lost on a prop bet Andy.