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First-round quarterbacks contributing sooner than ever

Posted Mar. 01 at 09:56 PM

It's an increasingly quarterback friendly league, as we've noted in recent weeks, with more passers throwing for 4,000 yards or 30 TDs than ever before. Perhaps that's why rookie quarterbacks are making an impact sooner than ever before, as well.

Since 1967, there have been 93 quarterbacks selected with first-round picks, and the days of those passers sitting and watching for a year or two are disappearing. In those 43 rookie seasons, 20 passers have thrown for at least 2,000 yards. More than half (11) have done so in the last decade (bold), and more than a third (7) have reached that total in the last five years (bold, italics).

First-rounders to throw for at least 2,000 yards as rookies. 1967-2010

Year     PYds     Player
1998     3739     Peyton Manning
2010     3512     Sam Bradford
2008     3440     Matt Ryan
2008     2971     Joe Flacco
1993     2833     Rick Mirer
2003     2819     Byron Leftwich
1995     2717     Kerry Collins
2004     2621     Ben Roethlisberger
2002     2592     David Carr
2006     2547     Matt Leinart
1993     2494     Drew Bledsoe
1999     2447     Tim Couch
2009     2444     Mark Sanchez
2002     2294     Joey Harrington
2009     2267     Matthew Stafford
1983     2210     Dan Marino
2006     2199     Vince Young
1971     2158     Jim Plunkett
1990     2152     Jeff George
1967     2005     Bob Griese

--Andy Richardson

Readers' Comments

Posted by Brian Grzybowski | Mar. 02 at 12:29 AM

It seems like this year that more teams than usual that may draft a QB in the first round already have a franchise-caliber receiver on the roster. Carolina, Miami, Minnesota, Arizona, Tennessee, and maybe Cincinnati, depending on how the Palmer situation plays out.

Posted by IAN ALLAN | Mar. 02 at 01:12 AM

The success rate on first-round quarterbacks has been remarkably high the last three years -- Ryan, Flacco, Stafford, Sanchez, Freeman and Bradford all look very good. But that's not the norm. If you look at the previous 10 years, there are far more misses than hits, most notably Leaf, Couch, Akili Smith, Carr, Harrington, J.Russell and Alex Smith with top-3 choices. Either teams are getting a lot better at scouting and developing quarteracks, or they've just been lucky in recent years. I'm guessing the latter. This year's group of quarterbacks is deep, but all of them have various flaws; I'm guessing that many of these guys will flame out.

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