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Fantasy Index Experts Poll / all-time leaders

Posted Feb. 06 at 02:21 PM

Below are the lists showing the all-time standings in our Experts Poll competition. This doesn’t show how they fared in the 2011 version of the competition (which I announced last week). This shows their cumulative work over the last 20 years.

We started the poll in 1991 – the first in the industry – and started scoring the poll a year later. So we’ve got the results of 20 different polls to work with. No one expert, of course, has particpated in all of the polls, but many of them have been in four, five times or more.

Each year there have been 15-25 experts in the competition. We use a complex scoring system in grade the poll (in short: every player your rank in the top 20 counts towards your score; the higher you rank him, the more heavily his production counts).

The below figures don’t include player stats but are instead built from where each expert finishes each year. Scott Pianowski of Yahoo!, for example, won this year’s poll. So he gets a 24-0 win-loss record in games for the 2011 version (he gets one “win” for each of the experts he beat in a head-to-head comparison). Pretzel May of FantasyDraftMaster.com finished in second, so he gets a 23-1 record (he overperformed 23 experts but lost to Pianowski).

If you follow this process for every experts and all 20 years of the competition, you get the results below.

I’m listing the guys in various ways, because it’s harder than it looks. Most notably, do you rank the individuals? Or do you rank the companies they work for? Bob Henry, for example, used to work for Red Eye Sports. Now he writes for Footballguys.com (who previously used Joe Bryant in the poll)? So do you combine Henry’s work from two different companies? Or do you combine his work with Bryant and call it a “Footballguys” entry? And we’ve got the same deal with Fantasy Football Champs, who’ve used Jon Millman, Ian Millman and Bo Mitchell on their entries.

Pianowski is one of the all-time leaders, and he’s worked for a variety of companies. Right now, he’s with Yahoo! Sports. So do we list him as Pianowski the individual? Or do we list his three numbers with three different companies separately? It’s harder than it looks.

So we show the data in different ways. We have one chart where we stay true to the individuals. Pianowski and Henry are treated as single beings, and their numbers appear only once.

We also have separate charts showing additional info, however. On those, we add in companies who’ve used separate experts (Footballguys.com, FF Champs, etc.). At least for now, however, I am not also providing the company-by-company breakdowns of the numerous guys who’ve written for different publications.

For all of the charts below, I’ve set the cutoff at 50 career games (combined wins and losses). The first two charts show active participants – guys who participated in 2011). The final two show anybody who’s been in this deal in the last 20 years.

We’re not, by the way, suggesting that anybody should take these rankings too seriously. With this scoring system, there’s a tremendous amount of luck/chance involved with injuries. Anybody who was high on Peyton Manning, Jamaal Charles and Nate Kaeding last year, for example, potentially got killed in those categories, even though those guys were relatively logical, solid choices. And some experts take the competition far more seriously than others, playing for a good score (rather than aggressively taking chances, trying to hit on a breakout player).

It is what it is, as they say, and I thank all of the experts for giving readers a chance to sample some of their opinions and rankings.


FANTASY INDEX EXPERTS POLL, ACTIVE LEADERS (individuals)
Includes all active individuals with at least 50 career games:
     W     L     Pct   Analyst, (Company)
   56   6   .903   Pretzel May, (FantasyDraftMaster.com)
  190   44   .812   Scott Pianowski, (multiple companies)
   72   24   .750   Ian Millman, (Fantasy Football Champs)
  168   66   .718   David Dorey, (The Huddle)
  150   60   .714   Bob Henry, (Footballguys / Red Eye)
   81   38   .681   Jon Millman, (Fantasy Football Champs)
   41   21   .661   Christopher Harris, (ESPN)
   37   30   .552   Tony Holm, (FantasySharks.com)
   33   29   .532   Gregg Rosenthal, (RotoWorld)
  172  158  .521   James Serra, (First Place Sports Software)
   91   86   .514   Chris Liss, (RotoWire.com)
   31   31   .500   Alan Satterlee, (Dynasty Rogues)
  128  144  .471   Lenny Pappano, (Draft Sharks)
   69   84   .451   Nathan Zegura, (The Fantasy Consultant)
  109  163  .401   Jeffrey Kamys, (Dr. Stats Fantasy Sports)
   27   54   .333   Sam Hendricks, (Fantasy Football Guidebook)
   24   62   .279   Cory Bonini, (KFFL)
   21   60   .259   Louis Tranquilli, (BFD Fantasy Football)

FANTASY INDEX EXPERTS POLL, ACTIVE LEADERS (companies and individuals)
Includes all active individuals and/or companies with at least 50 career games:
     W     L     Pct   Analyst, (Company)
   56     6     .903   Pretzel May, (FantasyDraftMaster.com)
  190   44   .812   Scott Pianowski, (multiple companies)
  168   66   .718   David Dorey, (The Huddle)
  150   60   .714   Bob Henry, (Footballguys / Red Eye)
  168   85   .664   * Footballguys.com (Joe Bryant, Bob Henry)
   41   21   .661   Christopher Harris, (ESPN)
  154   80   .658   * Fantasy Football Champs (Millman, Millman, Mitchell)
   37   20   .649   * Dynasty Rogues (Roland Wood, Alan Satterlee)
   37   30   .552   Tony Holm, (FantasySharks.com)
   33   29   .532   Gregg Rosenthal, (RotoWorld)
  172  158  .521   James Serra, (First Place Sports Software)
  130  123  .514   * RotoWire.com (Jeff Erickson, Scott Pianowski, Chris Liss)
   31   31   .500   Alan Satterlee, (Dynasty Rogues)
   84   93   .475   * KFFL (William Del Pilar, Cory Bonini)
  128  144  .471   Lenny Pappano, (Draft Sharks)
   69   84   .451   Nathan Zegura, (The Fantasy Consultant)
  109  163  .401   Jeffrey Kamys, (Dr. Stats Fantasy Sports)
   27   54   .333   Sam Hendricks, (Fantasy Football Guidebook)
   21   60   .259   Louis Tranquilli, (BFD Fantasy Football)


FANTASY INDEX EXPERTS POLL, ALL-TIME LEADERS (individuals)
Includes all individuals with at least 50 career games (since the start of the scored poll system in 1992):
     W     L     Pct   Analyst, (Company)
   63     4     .940   Dan Bakley, (The Fantasy Point)
   56     6     .903   Pretzel May, (FantasyDraftMaster.com)
  190   44   .812   Scott Pianowski, (multiple companies)
   42   10   .808   John Laub, (Audibles)
   43   14   .754   Josh Albert, (JTD Publications)
   72   24   .750   Ian Millman, (Fantasy Football Champs)
   42   15   .737   Tim Kurn, (TechNet Sports)
  168   66   .718   David Dorey, (The Huddle)
  150   60   .714   Bob Henry, (Footballguys / Red Eye)
   88   36   .710   Joe Bryant, (Footballguys.com)
   40   17   .702   Steve Cohen, (footballinjuries.com)
   81   38   .681   Jon Millman, (Fantasy Football Champs)
   41   21   .661   Christopher Harris, (ESPN)
   60   31   .659   William Del Pilar, (KFFL)
   92   60   .605   Greg Ambrosius, (Fantasy Sports Magazine)
   57   38   .600   Doug Lott, (Fantasy Football Today)
   40   27   .597   John Garber, (Homegrown Sports)
  101   71   .587   Carl Weatherford, (CoachBox)
   33   24   .579   Jeff Kania, (Between The Lines)
  131   98   .572   Michael Nazarek, (Fantasy Football Mastermind)
   37   30   .552   Tony Holm, (FantasySharks.com)
   33   29   .532   Gregg Rosenthal, (RotoWorld)
   30   27   .526   Tom Stewart, (Fantasy MVP)
   45   41   .523   Nate Ravitz, (Roto Times)
  172  158  .521   James Serra, (First Place Sports Software)
   32   30   .516   Kirk Bouyelas, (Fantasy Asylum)
   91   86   .514   Chris Liss, (RotoWire.com)
   40   40   .500   Dick Giebel, (FFFL)
   31   31   .500   Alan Satterlee, (Dynasty Rogues)
   46   49   .484   Dennis LePore, (Sandlot Shrink)
  108  121  .472   Jim Lenz, (Fantasy Insights)
  128  144  .471   Lenny Pappano, (Draft Sharks)
   69   84   .451   Nathan Zegura, (The Fantasy Consultant)
   30   37   .448   Greg Alan, (4for4.com Fantasy Football)
   53   66   .445   John Hansen, (FantasyGuru.com)
   32   40   .444   Dean Ramsay, (Draft Champs)
   38   48   .442   Richard Harris, (Fantasy Football Experts)
   45   59   .433   Jack Pullman, (All Pro Publishing)
   39   56   .411   Michael Brautman, (Fantasy Football Know-It-All)
  109  163  .401   Jeffrey Kamys, (Dr. Stats Fantasy Sports)
   20   37   .351   Greg Powers, (Greg's Fantasy Sports)
   27   54   .333   Sam Hendricks, (Fantasy Football Guidebook)
   27   59   .314   Samuel Caplan, (Xpert Sports / FF Insider)
   48  105  .314   Kevin Marshall, (Draftwizard.com)
   19   43   .306   Scott Endsley, (Fantasy Draft Edge)
   24   62   .279   Cory Bonini, (KFFL)
   21   60   .259   Louis Tranquilli, (BFD Fantasy Football)
   10   47   .175   Dan Herrmann, (Pro-Rated Fantasy Football)

FANTASY INDEX EXPERTS POLL, ALL-TIME LEADERS (companies and individuals)
Includes all individuals or companies with at least 50 career games (since the start of the scored poll system in 1992). Numerous guys appear two and even three times (listed as both individuals and companies when applicable):
     W     L     Pct   Analyst, (Company)
   63   4   .940   Dan Bakley, (The Fantasy Point)
   56   6   .903   Pretzel May, (FantasyDraftMaster.com)
  190   44   .812   Scott Pianowski, (multiple companies)
   42   10   .808   John Laub, (Audibles)
   43   14   .754   Josh Albert, (JTD Publications)
   72   24   .750   Ian Millman, (Fantasy Football Champs)
   42   15   .737   Tim Kurn, (TechNet Sports)
  168   66   .718   David Dorey, (The Huddle)
  150   60   .714   Bob Henry, (Footballguys / Red Eye)
   88   36   .710   Joe Bryant, (Footballguys.com)
   40   17   .702   Steve Cohen, (footballinjuries.com)
   81   38   .681   Jon Millman, (Fantasy Football Champs)
  168   85   .664   * Footballguys.com (Joe Bryant, Bob Henry)
   41   21   .661   Christopher Harris, (ESPN)
   60   31   .659   William Del Pilar, (KFFL)
  154   80   .658   * Fantasy Football Champs (Millman, Millman, Mitchell)
   37   20   .649   * Dynasty Rogues (Roland Wood, Alan Satterlee)
   43   28   .606   * The View (Ken Lanese, Michael Graff)
   92   60   .605   Greg Ambrosius, (Fantasy Sports Magazine)
   57   38   .600   Doug Lott, (Fantasy Football Today)
   40   27   .597   John Garber, (Homegrown Sports)
  101   71   .587   Carl Weatherford, (CoachBox)
   33   24   .579   Jeff Kania, (Between The Lines)
  131   98   .572   Michael Nazarek, (Fantasy Football Mastermind)
   37   30   .552   Tony Holm, (FantasySharks.com)
   60   49   .550   * Sandlot Shrink (Dennis LePore, Mitch Sheffler)
   33   29   .532   Gregg Rosenthal, (RotoWorld)
   30   27   .526   Tom Stewart, (Fantasy MVP)
   45   41   .523   Nate Ravitz, (Roto Times)
  172  158  .521   James Serra, (First Place Sports Software)
  119  110  .520   * FantasyGuru.Com (Hansen, Mindish, Pianowski)
   32   30   .516   Kirk Bouyelas, (Fantasy Asylum)
   91   86   .514   Chris Liss, (RotoWire.com)
  130  123  .514   * RotoWire.com (Erickson, Pianowski, Liss)
   40   40   .500   Dick Giebel, (FFFL)
   31   31   .500   Alan Satterlee, (Dynasty Rogues)
   46   49   .484   Dennis LePore, (Sandlot Shrink)
   84   93   .475   * KFFL (William Del Pilar, Cory Bonini)
  108  121  .472   Jim Lenz, (Fantasy Insights)
  128  144  .471   Lenny Pappano, (Draft Sharks)
   69   84   .451   Nathan Zegura, (The Fantasy Consultant)
   30   37   .448   Greg Alan, (4for4.com Fantasy Football)
   53   66   .445   John Hansen, (FantasyGuru.com)
   32   40   .444   Dean Ramsay, (Draft Champs)
   38   48   .442   Richard Harris, (Fantasy Football Experts)
   45   59   .433   Jack Pullman, (All Pro Publishing)
   39   56   .411   Michael Brautman, (Fantasy Football Know-It-All)
  109  163  .401   Jeffrey Kamys, (Dr. Stats Fantasy Sports)
   20   37   .351   Greg Powers, (Greg's Fantasy Sports)
   27   54   .333   Sam Hendricks, (Fantasy Football Guidebook)
   26   55   .321   * Fanball.com (Mitchell, Houston, Hawes)
   27   59   .314   Samuel Caplan, (Xpert Sports / FF Insider)
   48  105  .314   Kevin Marshall, (Draftwizard.com)
   19   43   .306   Scott Endsley, (Fantasy Draft Edge)
   24   62   .279   Cory Bonini, (KFFL)
   21   60   .259   Louis Tranquilli, (BFD Fantasy Football)
   10   47   .175   Dan Herrmann, (Pro-Rated Fantasy Football)

* -- asterisk shows companies that have used two or more experts in the competition.


—Ian Allan


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