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The Cowboys finished last year with the league’s most pass-heavy offense, at least in terms of scoring. Of the 38 TDs scored by their offense, 33 came on passes. That’s the most-skewed ratio by any offense since Arizona put up a 21-2 mark in 2005.
But is that a sign the same thing will happen again in 2012? Should we all be shying away from DeMarco Murray?
Not necessarily. Below is the list showing the 36 teams who’ve scored over 80 percent of their touchdowns on passes in the last 30 years. For this group, only a third of the teams the next season again scored over 70 percent (not 80, 70) of their touchdowns on passes.
The NFL average is about 61 percent. For this group, it fell from a collective 82 percent down to 68 percent. So, a little more passing than usual, but not a wildly pass-crazy bunch.
LOPSIDED TD RATIOS
How teams finishing with over 80 percent touchdowns in passes in Year 1 (“Y1” or “Yr1”) fared the next season (Year 2 = “Y2” = “Yr2”):
Y1 Y1 Yr1 Y2 Y2 Yr2
Pa Ru Pct Pa Ru Pct Year 1 Team
33 3 91.7% 28 4 87.5% 1992 Atlanta Falcons
21 2 91.3% 17 12 58.6% 2005 Arizona Cardinals
20 2 90.9% 22 8 73.3% 1995 New York Jets
30 4 88.2% 18 9 66.7% 1983 Buffalo Bills
28 4 87.5% 25 8 75.8% 1993 Atlanta Falcons
33 5 86.8% ?? ? ??.?% 2011 Dallas Cowboys
26 4 86.7% 22 15 59.5% 1987 New York Giants
25 4 86.2% 12 6 66.7% 1999 Chicago Bears
17 3 85.0% 23 8 74.2% 1995 Arizona Cardinals
27 5 84.4% 24 9 72.7% 2003 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
27 5 84.4% 18 10 64.3% 1995 St. Louis Rams
31 6 83.8% 23 9 71.9% 1997 New England Patriots
46 9 83.6% 29 16 64.4% 1986 Miami Dolphins
51 10 83.6% 31 18 63.3% 2004 Indianapolis Colts
30 6 83.3% 33 3 91.7% 1991 Atlanta Falcons
25 5 83.3% 21 10 67.7% 1999 Seattle Seahawks
25 5 83.3% 16 15 51.6% 1994 Washington Redskins
20 4 83.3% 13 15 46.4% 1985 New Orleans Saints
39 8 83.0% 18 10 64.3% 2004 Minnesota Vikings
33 7 82.5% 23 13 63.9% 1998 Green Bay Packers
41 9 82.0% ?? ? ??.?% 2011 Detroit Lions
27 6 81.8% 27 15 64.3% 2001 Philadelphia Eagles
27 6 81.8% 23 10 69.7% 2009 Chicago Bears
27 6 81.8% 19 13 59.4% 1986 Los Angeles Raiders
22 5 81.5% 19 6 76.0% 1983 Philadelphia Eagles
39 9 81.3% 39 9 81.3% 1995 Green Bay Packers
39 9 81.3% 35 9 79.5% 1996 Green Bay Packers
51 12 81.0% ?? ? ??.?% 2011 Green Bay Packers
21 5 80.8% 34 10 77.3% 1995 Cleveland Browns
21 5 80.8% 29 7 80.6% 1994 Cincinnati Bengals
21 5 80.8% 15 18 45.5% 1989 Seattle Seahawks
29 7 80.6% 25 14 64.1% 1995 Cincinnati Bengals
33 8 80.5% 24 14 63.2% 1988 Washington Redskins
16 4 80.0% ?? ? ??.?% 2011 Cleveland Browns
28 7 80.0% 29 9 76.3% 1996 Oakland Raiders
24 6 80.0% 24 12 66.7% 2010 Buffalo Bills
44 11 80.0% 21 18 53.8% 1987 San Francisco 49ers
36 9 80.0% 20 11 64.5% 2004 Green Bay Packers
20 5 80.0% 17 12 58.6% 1990 Green Bay Packers
12 3 80.0% 16 19 45.7% 1982 New England Patriots
—Ian Allan
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