Odds stacked against Flacco
Posted Apr. 27 at 08:38 AM
Not trying to throw water on the excitement of Baltimore fans getting Joe Flacco with the 18th pick of yesterday’s draft, but historically, there have been a lot more misses than hits with quarterbacks in that area of the draft.
Teams are always prowling for quarterbacks, so when quarterbacks are still available later in the draft – later in round one, at least – that means a lot of teams have concerns about them. If everyone agrees a guy is for real, than he’s not available at that point.
Consider the chart below. It shows all quarterbacks selected in the second half of the first round since the Dolphins struck gold with Dan Marino with the 27th pick in 1983. Since that time, none of the 13 quarterbacks selected in that range has in hindsight proven to be a great selection.
Quarterbacks selected in the second half of the first round, 1984-2008
Year Player (pick) team
1987 Jim Harbaugh (26) Bears
1991 Todd Marinovich (24) Raiders
1991 Dan McGwire (16) Seahawks
1992 Tommy Maddox (25) Broncos
1997 Jim Druckenmiller (26) 49ers
2000 Chad Pennington (18) Jets
2002 Patrick Ramsey (32) Washington
2003 Rex Grossman (22) Bears
2003 Kyle Boller (19) Ravens
2004 J.P. Losman (22) Bills
2005 Jason Campbell (25) Washington
2005 Aaron Rodgers (24) Packers
2007 Brady Quinn (22) Browns
2008 Joe Flacco (18) Ravens
Posted by Paul Owers | Apr. 28 at 12:04 AM
Excellent stat, Ian. Harbaugh and Pennington have been serviceable, and maybe Rodgers does something this year, but you're right: none of those guys has proven to be a stellar pick.
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