Akers the clear No. 1 -- or is he?
Posted Jun. 30 at 07:45 AM
Maybe I was too harsh in criticizing those in the Fantasy Index Open who didn’t rank David Akers No. 1. He scored a record 166 points last year (plus threw a touchdown), so I didn’t see how anyone else could really finish in that top spot.
But look at the chart below (and the more graphically-appealing version appears on our Facebook page).
Over the last 12 years, if you were to select kickers at your draft who scored 110-114 points the previous year, you would have averaged more points than if you had selected kickers who averaged over 130.
That surprised me – stunned me.
There is very little difference, in fact, between any of the kickers who scored 110-plus points. Those who scored 120-124 tended to come in slightly behind the 130-plus group, but slightly ahead of the 125-129 kickers. And 115-119 is right there as well.
When you go solely off what a kicker did the previous year, it’s when a kicker scored under 110 points that you start to see a dropoff. And the worst group by far is those who scored under 85.
For this study, I looked at teams rather than individuals. That takes injuries out of the equation.
It’s odd. It caught me off guard. But I still think Akers and Stephen Gostkowski should be the first two kickers selected in drafts.
Average Points by Kickers
(Relative to how they played the previous year)
113.2 130+ points
111.6 125-129 points
112.6 120-124 points
112.1 115-119 points
117.2 110-114 points
107.5 105-109 points
103.2 100-104 points
110.4 95-99 points
103.4 90-94 points
102.9 85-89 points
97.4 under 85 points
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