Ask the Experts

ASK THE EXPERTS appears weekly with answers to a new question being posted Thursday morning. How the guest experts responded when we asked them:

Which big Week 1 performance was just a fantasy mirage?

LOUIS TRANQUILLI

My Mirage performance would be none other than "Mr. Not my Dream Pick" himself Stephen Hill of the Jets. I don't know where the Bills were on Sunday but they decided not to play and Hill benefited. Enjoy the two TDs, it could be a while until the next.

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KEITH HERNANDEZ

This is probably a no-brainer, but I'm going with Mark Sanchez. After a rough start and a pick against the Buffalo Bills, Sanchez completed 19 passes for 266 yards and three scores. Despite the breakout performance following a stagnant offensive showing in the preseason, Sanchez and the aerial game will continue to be inconsistent based on matchups. Stephen Hill looked solid in his debut, but it's unrealistic to expect the rookie to produce similar results on a weekly basis. The same can be said about Santonio Holmes, who is more often than not a frustrating play. We need to see more to endorse Sanchez strongly.

Since 1996, KFFL.com has been combining its award-winning news service with fantasy analysis. KFFL.com offers services including daily news, draft guides and in-season advice. Now 100 percent free, KFFL.com is your destination for fantasy baseball, football and NASCAR cheat sheets, tips, sleepers and much more. KFFL.com has won more than a dozen expert championships and was listed as "One of the 10 essential sports-related online destinations for fans, athletes and fantasy owners" by Time.com. KFFL.com has provided content to USA Today, Yahoo! Sports, and FOXSports.com among many other organizations.

SAM HENDRICKS

Kevin Ogletree had a career game Wednesday night with 8 catches for 114 yards and 2 TDs. But that was with a severely injured star (Witten) and others dinged up. Unfortunately, the former Wahoo is still just the 4th option for Romo behind Dez Bryant, Miles Austin and Jason Witten. Those numbers are a fleeting snapshot of possible potential, once Witten and the gang are fully recovered, Ogletree will fall back down to earth.

Hendricks is the author of Fantasy Football Guidebook, Fantasy Football Tips and Fantasy Football Basics, all available at www.ExtraPointPress.com, at all major bookstores, and at Amazon and BN.com. He is a 20-plus year fantasy football veteran who regularly participates in the National Fantasy Football Championship (NFFC) and finished 7th and 16th overall (out of 228 competitors) in the 2008 and 2009 Fantasy Football Players Championship (FFPC). Follow him at his website, www.ffguidebook.com.

SCOTT SACHS

The N.Y. J-E-T-S, Jets, Jets, Jets did not surprise me with their prolific pointage in Week 1, despite their very anemic preseason offense. Buffalo isn't a bad team, but 7-8 wins would be a successful season for them. The Jets on the other hand may have lowered expectations from experts and the media, but their perspective is that they are a playoff team and SB contender. That said, Stephen Hill's surprisingly productive debut raised a lot of eyebrows and roster pickups this week in many leagues, but caution should be the watchword in jumping on board this highly-touted draft pick's bandwagon. In the coming weeks, the Jets face premier defenses in 3 of the next 4 opponents--Steelers/Texans/49ers. Even crappy Miami 2 weeks from now usually plays tough against division rivals.

Sachs runs Perfect Season Fantasy Football, offering live personal advice from training camps through the Super Bowl. His 20-plus years of fantasy football experience includes his league’s only perfect season, as well as a wire-to-wire championship in Fantasy Index's 2011 Mock Auction Draft League. Visit "The Coach" at his website: perfectseasonffb.com and follow him on Twitter: at http://twitter.com/#!/ffbcoach.

MIKE NAZAREK

Kevin Ogletree. He took advantage of being covered by the Giants' No. 5 CB most of the night. He's the No. 4 target at best in the passing game on most nights.

Nazarek is the CEO of Fantasy Football Mastermind Inc. His company offers a preseason draft guide, customizable cheat sheets, a multi-use fantasy drafting program including auction values, weekly in-season fantasy newsletters, injury reports and free NFL news (updated daily) at its web site. He has been playing fantasy football since 1988 and is a four-peat champion of the SI.com Experts Fantasy League, a nationally published writer in several fantasy magazines and a former columnist for SI.com. For more info go to www.ffmastermind.com. Nazarek can be reached at miken@ffmastermind.com.

ALAN SATTERLEE

We'll go with Kevin Ogletree. It's not that he doesn't have value, he does. Tony Romo likes the "Laurent Robinson position" and he is going to see targets. However, we have seen people spending their entire season pool of waiver wire bucks to get Ogletree. That is nuts. Ogletree busted out in a big way at NY, catching 8 balls for 114 yards and two scores but keep in mind that at one point he was lining up against the Giants' 5th string CB, and Romo was straight-up picking on him. I wouldn't completely say "mirage" but expectations out too high on Ogletree based on the big performance.

Dynasty Rogues is the fantasy football information site run by fantasy football enthusiasts for fantasy football enthusiasts. The site includes a year-round approach to analyzing football information for those in dynasty and redraft leagues. Dynasty Rogues won the 2008 Fantasy Index Experts Poll.

KEVIN NELSON

I don't really get the impression that many of the week 1 breakouts were a true Ajirotutu type mirage but if I had to take one I will go with Kevin Ogletree. Despite the obvious Laurent Robinson comparisons in that role of the Dallas offense, I think it was more so a product of the lack of depth in the Giants secondary than it was due to Ogletree. Jason Witten was truly minimized by his spleen injury and the Giants did everything they could to take away Dez Bryant. When Witten gets back into the swing of things, I don't think Ogletree will make the kind of impact Robinson was able to last year. That said, I think Ogletree will have some value in that #3 receiver role, I just think the whole 100+ yards with 2 touchdowns was the biggest mirage we saw in the first week.

FFBLife.com is a company started by fantasy football lovers, for fantasy football lovers. With rankings, forums, latest news and advice, mobile applications, draft tools, social networking and more; Fantasy Football Life solely exists to reach the goal of providing all fantasy football players with everything they need. Nelson is editor-in-chief of FFBLife.com and the Fantasy Football Draft Guide, providing rankings, advice and articles for the company.

ANDY RICHARDSON

I am tempted to say, pick a Jet, any Jet. When do they play Buffalo again? That's the next time we'll see those numbers. But I'll instead go with a young wideout burning up the waiver wire in some of my leagues, Andrew Hawkins. Everything went wrong for the Bengals against the Ravens, but most weeks they won't get blown out, won't complete 8 passes to their No. 3 receiver, and I'm not even sure Hawkins will continue to be that guy; they've got other youngsters who could move ahead of him. I'm not buying, despite his winning name.

Richardson has been a columnist and contributor to the Fantasy Football Index magazine and web site for more than ten years. His responsibilities include team defense and IDP projections and various site features, and he has run the magazine's annual draft and auction leagues since their inception. He previews all the NFL games on Saturdays and writes a wrap-up column on Mondays during the NFL season.

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