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Ian Allan


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49ers and Texans in Super Bowl?

Posted Sep. 19 at 11:34 AM

The Texans and 49ers look like the frontrunners for home-field advantage in the playoffs, while the Patriots and Packers should get first-round byes. That’s the way I see it, anyway, after forecasting every regular-season game.

There are 256 regular-season games. For each of those, I gave each team a number between 0 (a loss) and 1 (a win). If a game is simply too close to call, I just split the point between the two teams.

Using that process for every team and every game, I think the 49ers and Texans should finish with the most wins.

Other division winners: Falcons, Eagles, Steelers, Chargers.

Wild-card teams: Ravens, Giants, Seahawks, Bills.

Right there in the mix (but coming up just short): Cowboys, Broncos, Lions, Panthers.

Top-5 picks in the draft: Browns, Jaguars, Rams, Dolphins, Raiders.


   Wins   
   11.8   San Francisco
   11.7   Houston
   11.6   New England
   11.1   Green Bay
   10.3   Atlanta
   10.0   Philadelphia
   10.0   Pittsburgh
    9.9    Baltimore
    9.5    San Diego
    8.9    NY Giants
    8.9    Seattle
    8.8    Buffalo
    8.8    Dallas
    8.7    Denver
    8.5    Detroit
    8.4    Carolina
    8.2    Chicago
    7.7    Washington
    7.6    Arizona
    7.6    Cincinnati
    7.4    NY Jets
    6.8    New Orleans
    6.2    Indianapolis
    6.2    Tampa Bay
    6.1    Kansas City
    6.1    Minnesota
    5.9    Tennessee
    5.7    Oakland
    5.4    Miami
    4.9    St. Louis
    4.7    Jacksonville
    3.3    Cleveland

Readers' Comments

Posted by t d | Sep. 19 at 02:10 PM

I like the Texans but hate the coach. I just can't see them getting to the Super Bowl with that loser. I think the Ravens will finally get back Super Bowl against the Giants. nice rematch with a different outcome

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