24 Hours 'Til Sunday — Andy Richardson
Posted Oct. 06 at 05:22 AM
I'm thinking about luck this week, which I do whenever I have a losing team that's a high scorer and in fact has scored far more than it has scored against it. A 20-point win and three losses by less than 5 points after four games is kind of frustrating.
Last week some fantasy type I follow tweeted that all you can do is make what seem like the right decisions based on the information available. If you do that, you've won, no matter what happens on Sunday. That thinking doesn't put little plastic trophies on shelves, but maybe it will help those of us with a losing team sleep easier. Maybe.
Dolphins at Bengals: No injuries of note here. Bengals don't have much going on defensively, so I'd be fine using Bush and Hartline, maybe even Bess. Dolphins have been really good against the run, so stick to the Cincinnati passing game, not the law firm. Yes, if you picked up Hartline, use the guy this week.
Packers at Colts: I'm fully a believer in Andrew Luck, even as a starter this year. Indy's running game isn't good and their defense isn't either, two things which are often good news for fantasy QBs. I'm still hesitant to put Donnie Avery or one of their tight ends into a lineup, but it's a week where they should lose like 34-20, so I'd consider it. No Greg Jennings, so James Jones is worth the gamble.
Ravens at Kansas City: Things get worse for Kansas City. Jamaal Charles and Dwayne Bowe look like pretty much their only options this season. Even Dexter McCluster hasn't been doing anything recently. For the Ravens, Flacco Smith Rice Pitta maybe even Boldin, blah blah. The Kansas City defense sure isn't the same group it was late last year. (Although all the turnovers and short fields aren't helping.) No Peyton Hillis, in the unlikely event anyone was considering a No. 2 running back against the Ravens.
Browns at Giants: The Giants are without Nicks and Barden, so them's that left are appealing. I don't think Andre Brown can be used until the team shows a willingness to give him a decent role with Bradshaw around. Apparently they don't trust him in pass protection. Trust in running backs and Tom Coughlin, an issue for fantasy coaches. The Browns have Trent Richardson and a bunch of receivers who either can't catch, aren't healthy, or aren't ready. Gonna be a big broom sweeping through the front office after the season.
Eagles at Steelers: Eagles are healthy. Steelers get Rashard Mendenhall back. I would be hesitant to use him since I'm still expecting a committee; ease him back in. We're not talking about Adrian Peterson here. This has all the look of a 19-17 type of game, so I wouldn't be rushing to start marginal fantasy options.
Falcons at Washington: Traded for Matt Ryan and Julio Jones this week. Very confident those guys will put up big numbers the rest of the way, starting here. Whether or not you start Pierre Garcon is a question of risk tolerance. There's potential, because he now seems to be healthy, but I am the type of owner who likes to see a good game from guys coming back from injury before I use them. If you have him, your choice. Alfred Morris and Robert Griffin are the Washington guys I would/will be readily starting (I have Morris everywhere, like most Index readers I imagine. Friend of mine drafted Morris on my recommendation while the guys before and after him in the draft selected Hightower and Helu. Booyah! Okay, enough bragging, I realize we get stuff wrong every now and again too).
Seahawks at Panthers: Will Russell Wilson open it up against Carolina's subpar pass defense, or will Marshawn Lynch run wild on their lousy run defense? I'm going with the latter and starting Lynch in SuperLeague and Gridiron God competitions. I can't imagine using a Seattle wideout. I dropped Sidney Rice in a league this week and he wasn't picked up.
Bears at Jaguars: Jacksonville defense has some stuff going for it. Their offense, again, has Maurice Jones-Drew and not much else. We like Justin Blackmon, but not against a Bears defense that's playing really well. Am starting Matt Forte, and I guess if you have Brandon Marshall, who we apparently weren't high enough on, you should use him too.
Titans at Vikings: No Jake Locker, probably no Kenny Britt. I don't expect Chris Johnson to build on last week, but if you have him you probably don't have much in the way of better options. Jared Cook has some potential, Nate Washington and Kendall Wright too, though I think Matt Hasselbeck is very much done. Tennessee's defense is bad and I would readily use any and all Vikings, while conceding Rudolph's zero last week cost me dearly in a 3-point loss. Still, I'd go back to that well anyway.
Broncos at Patriots: Funny fake Manning-Brady conversation making the rounds, look for it on Facebook or Twitter. Not for all ages but amusing. Should be a good game and the Patriots' defense doesn't scare me. New England won't have Julian Edelman or Aaron Hernandez. I would simply plug the regular starters for both teams into lineups and let them role. Should be a fairly high-scoring game.
Bills at 49ers: Bills defense doesn't have much working these days, so go ahead and start ...uh....Gore and Davis. Maybe Crabtree as a desperation play. Picked up Colin Kaepernick in my dynasty league this week. For like the 11th or 12th time.
Chargers at Saints: Shootout! Because of Lance Moore being ruled out of this game, I'm going to probably be taking a zero at one lineup spot this week. I have six wideouts: A.J. Green, Moore, Kendall Wright, two guys on byes, and my desperation claim before free agency locked on Thursday, Saints wideout Joseph Morgan. Who's also questionable and might not play. Unfortunate. Leagues shouldn't lock all players before Thursday. Anyhoo, most are probably wondering how the Battle-Mathews thing will play out. If I had Mathews, I would use him. I have Battle somewhere, and am benching him, but only because I have better options. I think Chargers will run for about 150 in this game, so both players have value. Saints passing game of course should be great. Philip Rivers and Malcom Floyd, too. Not bold enough to start Meachem back in his old digs. Like Gates and Sproles. Should be a fun game to watch. I hear Sean Payton will be there. Are they gonna stop the game when Brees breaks Unitas' record? Sorry, but I don't think it's that big a deal. Especially since his "streak" includes him sitting out the final week of the 2009 season to protect his 70 percent completion record. (No, I don't know if Unitas missed a game or two way back when.) Still seems odd.
Texans at Jets: Well. Don't use any Jets. Use your Texans. Pretty straightforward. Things are so awful right now for the Jets I actually think they might shock the world and be competitive. Maybe the Texans come out overconfident (they certainly ought to be) or the Jets use a lot of trick plays and such. Or, you know, Tebow. But I still can't figure out how exactly the Jets are going to move the ball or score, this week or in the foreseeable future. Do not ask lineup questions involving Jets players, 'cause I wouldn't use a one of them. Maybe instead of my Lance Moore zero, but....
Enjoy the games.
Posted by George Taylor | Oct. 06 at 06:40 AM
When drafted I didn't think I'd be asking this but, Newton or Luck? Both are at home but Sea def is better than GB and Sea may run all day on Car & keep Newton off the field. Any thoughts? Thanks
Posted by PETER DEBIASE | Oct. 06 at 06:57 AM
Andy: I love Brees but considering the way the game has evolved and the offense he plays in, I'm not that impressed with him breaking Unitas' record. Johnny U played in what was pretty much a ground and pound era, although I will concede that the Colts had some pretty good pass catchers during his career. Need 1 RB, 1 WR and a Flex (can be RB, WR or TE) out of this group (standard scoring); Ridley, Dancing CJ, Mendy (I'm leaning toward making this a prove it game for him though), Decker, Hartline, M. Bennett, Rudolph (I have to start one of them @ TE)? Peyton or Luck @ QB? Regarding Cincinnati D, they may not have much going on in real life, but they were the #5 scoring defense under our format (which awards nothing for points or yards allowed) going in to Week 5. Do you see that continuing or was it a result of their schedule? This week, SEA @ CAR or pick up PIT v PHI (not buying Vick's no turnovers last week)? I got burned using Arizona on the road on Thursday and so I'm a little leery of Seattle. Thanks much.
Posted by ANDY RICHARDSON | Oct. 06 at 07:09 AM
George I have the same Newton-Luck choice and am still using Newton. He will run for enough yards to make it worthwhile, and Green Bay's pass rush might be rough on Luck. Peter, I would definitely use Ridley at RB and Decker at WR. That leaves you a TE and flex. I would start Rudolph over Bennett and either Hartline or CJ. For me it would be Hartline, so be it if I'm chasing last week's stats (you'd be doing the same thing using CJ). I like Peyton fine. Bengals get a lot of sacks and have been remarkably fortunate with D TDs over the last couple of years, plus they had a punt return. Tough to count on that stuff, although they might get some sacks this week. Pit D should be pretty good, I also got burned on AZ. I have Seattle ranked slightly higher but it's pretty similar and I do like home defenses more than road ones.
Posted by Scott Anderson | Oct. 06 at 07:37 AM
Morning Andy! I wanna thank you for talking me off the ledge these last couple weeks - 0-2 starts are now 2-2 up & comers! On to the questions: 1) Pitta or Rudolph? 2) Same league: Flex - Battle, Floyd, Avery or Pitta/Rudolph? 3) 2 of these 3: Maclin, Simpson, Hankerson. 4) 2 of these 3: A. Brown, Wayne, Floyd. Thank you sir & good luck this weekend!
Posted by L.B. Graham | Oct. 06 at 08:03 AM
Andy - Wondering about Ridley v Battle in my flex. I used Jackson on Thurday, had a feeling about him that didn't quite pan out, and I'm pretty sure I'm using Bradshaw as my other RB. Normally, I'd play Ridley without hesitation, but I wondered if a case could be made for Battle.
Posted by ANDY RICHARDSON | Oct. 06 at 08:40 AM
Lb, Ridley is safer I think. Better too. Scott, I like Floyd at Flex and would chance Rudolph over Pitta (but it is close). Bench Simpson and....Brown. Good luck.
Posted by Dave (MOJO) Smith | Oct. 06 at 08:49 AM
Off the subject, but have you considered getting a head shot like Ian did? It feels more personal to see what somebody looks like.
Posted by Miguel Tames | Oct. 06 at 11:45 AM
Hey Andy how about Newton-Ponder when my opponent has Harvin and Rudolph? Should him having those 2 players push me towards Ponder?? Harvin doesn't have an offensive TD yet. I expect that to change this week unless Adrian Peterson does all the damage. Thanks in advance.
Posted by ANDY RICHARDSON | Oct. 06 at 11:50 AM
Miguel - I like matching up receivers more than QBs. Dave, I will.consider it. Young Mel Gibson, really.
Posted by Scott Anderson | Oct. 06 at 02:20 PM
Late questions, Andy: F. Jackson or P. Thomas? Olsen or Chandler? Finally, Boldin, Simpson, or Meachem? Thanks again.
Posted by Scott Anderson | Oct. 06 at 02:21 PM
Oh, and Bills D or Patriots D?
Posted by ANDY RICHARDSON | Oct. 06 at 02:47 PM
Jackson, olsen, patriots. Last one tougher. I would go Boldin, I.guess, but they are similar. Go with your gut on that one.
Posted by Roy Sherman | Oct. 06 at 06:00 PM
Hey Andy, quick lineup question for you. For TE, would you go with V. Davis or Rudolph? In my custom scoring ranking, they are ranked 5 and 6 with only a .3 points difference between them. Thanks.
Posted by ANDY RICHARDSON | Oct. 06 at 06:11 PM
Davis. When in doubt go with the go-to receiver. Good luck
Posted by JEFF FOSTER | Oct. 06 at 09:16 PM
Obviously you were way off on marshall...i mean he went off at the pro bowl for goodness sakes...thats basically how i make all my fantasy decisions--i look at last years pro bowl and then rank my overall top 10 according to the stats of the players who did well in that game alone. Plus i draft and start roy helu all year no matter how little he scores. All the great fantasy owners use this method. I'm sure of it.
Posted by David Chaklai | Oct. 06 at 09:27 PM
Andy, quick q - Bradshaw or Ridley? Thanks
Posted by JEFF FOSTER | Oct. 06 at 09:50 PM
I also have a motto: "If shannahan says it, I beleive it!"
Posted by ANDY RICHARDSON | Oct. 07 at 04:37 AM
David, I like Ridley best. Two good weeks, one so-so week, one bad week against a really good run defense. I think he'll be fine in a high-scoring game.
Posted by ANDY RICHARDSON | Oct. 07 at 09:36 AM
Revised answer to LB above. Bench Hankerson, who is not starting this week.
Posted by George Taylor | Oct. 07 at 01:47 PM
Looks like Luck is gonna make us both look bad!
Posted by ANDY RICHARDSON | Oct. 07 at 05:24 PM
Yes. Hope you won anyway. I thought Luck would do well, but I still figured Newton, in fantasy terms, would do better. Bad call. Underestimated that Seattle defense; won't do that again.
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