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AFC West teams should play easiest schedules

Posted Oct. 18 at 10:48 AM

The updated strength-of-schedule data appears below. We’ve got it two different ways this week – both wins/losses and also by strength of defenses (points allowed by defenses).

And this is a fantasy site, so we’re leaving out Week 17 – we think the vast majority of leagues are done at that point.

In terms of wins and losses, the easiest schedules belong the Colts and the four teams in the AFC West. The hardest schedules belong to (in order) the Cardinals, Lions, Vikings and Seahawks.

If you want to ignore wins and look instead at defenses (points allowed) the easiest schedules project to belong to those same five teams you see at the top in wins and losses, plus Jacksonville works in there. The hardest (projected hardest, that is) also look similar. In order: Minnesota, San Francisco, Arizona, Seattle and Detroit.


STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE -- Weeks 7-16
    W     L     Pct   

   19   37   .339   Oakland
   17   32   .347   Kansas City
   18   32   .360   Denver
   23   35   .397   Indianapolis
   21   30   .412   San Diego
   20   28   .417   Atlanta
   21   29   .420   Cincinnati
   22   28   .440   Cleveland
   26   30   .464   Tampa Bay
   23   26   .469   Philadelphia
   24   27   .471   Baltimore
   27   30   .474   Dallas
   27   30   .474   Jacksonville
   25   27   .481   Miami
   25   26   .490   Washington
   26   27   .491   NY Jets
   26   26   .500   Buffalo
   28   28   .500   Carolina
   30   29   .508   Pittsburgh
   27   25   .519   New England
   26   24   .520   Green Bay
   26   24   .520   Houston
   26   24   .520   Tennessee
   28   23   .549   NY Giants
   29   23   .558   San Francisco
   30   23   .566   St. Louis
   33   25   .569   Chicago
   33   23   .589   New Orleans
   31   21   .596   Seattle
   31   19   .620   Minnesota
   36   21   .632   Detroit
   33   19   .635   Arizona


STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE (POINTS ALLOWED) -- Weeks 7-16
   PPG   

   27.4   Indianapolis
   26.2   Kansas City
   26.1   Oakland
   26.0   Jacksonville
   25.8   Denver
   25.7   Miami
   25.6   Cleveland
   25.2   Philadelphia
   25.1   Houston
   24.8   NY Giants
   24.5   Pittsburgh
   24.3   San Diego
   24.1   Dallas
   24.0   Tennessee
   24.0   Tampa Bay
   24.0   Baltimore
   24.0   Cincinnati
   23.8   Atlanta
   23.3   Carolina
   23.1   New England
   22.8   Buffalo
   22.6   Green Bay
   22.1   NY Jets
   22.0   Washington
   21.4   Chicago
   21.0   New Orleans
   20.9   St. Louis
   20.4   Detroit
   20.4   Seattle
   19.5   Arizona
   19.1   San Francisco
   18.6   Minnesota


—Ian Allan


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