Gostkowski looks like best of weekend kickers
Posted Jan. 17 at 11:32 AM
There are a few guys out there who are still in fantasy leagues. A limited number of players, choices and games, but I’ll post a brief preview of each position.
I’m starting with kickers.
This is the way they finished in the regular season:
153 Stephen Gostkowski
143 Matt Bryant
132 Justin Tucker
131 David Akers
And this is how the defenses they’ll go up against played (these are the kicking points allowed by each team):
142 Baltimore Ravens
111 Atlanta Falcons
101 New England Patriots
93 San Francisco 49ers
The weather forecast in Foxboro looks a little iffy. About 40 degrees, with winds up to 22 mph and a 20 percent chance of rain. Not terrible, but less than ideal.
New England is a 9-point favorite. That’s too much, in my opinion; these teams have played five times in the last six years, and the Patriots didn’t win big in any of those games (their three wins were by 3, 3 and 6 points). But I will concede that the Patriots are the clear No. 1 favorite for the weekend. San Francisco is a 4-point favorite to win in Atlanta. That’s a little high, in my opinion. I think the 49ers should be only a slight favorite.
David Akers, as a reminder, is the one kicker left who’s had accuracy problems. He missed 13 field goals in the regular season. He was so shaky that the 49ers signed Billy Cundiff. But Akers played well enough against Green Bay (hitting his only field goal) that he looks certain to be their kicker on Sunday. With that being a pick ‘em game (in my opinion) the accuracy is enough to drop Akers down one spot on my board.
I’ve got Gostkowski as the clear No. 1, and then really not much difference between the next three.
1. Stephen Gostkowski
2. Matt Bryant
3. David Akers
4. Justin Tucker
5. Billy Cundiff
Posted by STEVE ROBERTSON | Jan. 17 at 12:13 PM
Gotta agree with your logic. Looking forward to the rest of your position previews. Many thanks, Steve R
Posted by JASON STONE | Jan. 17 at 04:59 PM
Hey Ian. Will you be publishing stat projections for this weekend? I appreciate our position be position analysis. Is it fair to say that you have San Francisco and New England in the Super Bowl?
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