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Updated strength of schedule numbers

Posted Oct. 27 at 04:00 PM

Now that we're nearing the midway point of the season, strength of schedule information becomes more meaningful. Using current data -- how teams are performing -- we can get an idea of which teams are benefitting (and being hurt by) scheduling.


STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE -- WINS (REMAINING)
Based on the way teams are currently playing, the Colts, Dolphins and Bucs project to play the easiest schedules the rest of the way, while the Lions, Cowboys and Giants should have the hardest schedules.
That's what the numbers say, anyway. Indianapolis' next eight games are against teams with a combined win-loss record of 22-36. The Giants, on the other hand, have a lot of hard games left -- 38-22.
Most fantasy leagues are done prior to week 17, so those numbers aren't included.

  W  L  Pct.  
  22  36  .379  Indianapolis
  23  34  .404  Miami
  21  31  .404  Tampa Bay
  21  29  .420  San Diego
  24  33  .421  Jacksonville
  25  33  .431  St. Louis
  25  32  .439  Houston
  22  28  .440  New Orleans
  26  31  .456  Arizona
  26  31  .456  Buffalo
  26  30  .464  Tennessee
  27  30  .474  Chicago
  27  30  .474  Minnesota
  29  31  .483  Kansas City
  28  29  .491  Denver
  28  28  .500  New England
  29  29  .500  Oakland
  25  25  .500  Carolina
  25  25  .500  San Francisco
  31  30  .508  Atlanta
  26  25  .510  Washington
  30  27  .526  Cleveland
  31  27  .534  Philadelphia
  31  26  .544  Cincinnati
  33  27  .550  Pittsburgh
  29  23  .558  Baltimore
  32  25  .561  NY Jets
  33  25  .569  Seattle
  34  24  .586  Green Bay
  35  24  .593  Detroit
  31  20  .608  Dallas
  38  22  .633  NY Giants


STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE -- SCORING (REMAINING)
The Dolphins, Rams and Bucs project to face the softest defenses the rest of the way, while the Ravens, Cowboys and Lions project to face the hardest defenses.
That's what the numbers project. Miami's next seven games, on average, are against defenses allowing an average of 26.0 points per game. It's hardly fair, but the winless Lions' next eight games are against opponents allowing an average of only 20.7 points per game.
Most fantasy leagues are done prior to week 17, so those numbers aren't included.

  Points  
  26.0  Miami
  25.9  St. Louis
  25.4  Tampa Bay
  24.8  San Francisco
  24.6  Atlanta
  24.5  Kansas City
  24.4  Arizona
  24.3  Buffalo
  23.9  Jacksonville
  23.8  Chicago
  23.8  Oakland
  23.7  Indianapolis
  23.5  NY Jets
  23.3  New Orleans
  23.3  Minnesota
  23.1  Carolina
  23.0  Seattle
  22.9  Cincinnati
  22.6  San Diego
  22.6  New England
  22.5  Tennessee
  22.2  Houston
  22.0  Cleveland
  22.0  Denver
  22.0  Pittsburgh
  21.6  Green Bay
  21.5  Washington
  21.3  NY Giants
  21.0  Philadelphia
  20.7  Detroit
  20.5  Dallas
  18.4  Baltimore




STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE -- WINS (SO FAR)
Looks like the Jets, Patriots, Bills and Titans have benefitted the most from easy schedules so far, while the Rams, Jaguars and Bengals have played the hardest schedules.
Tennessee's seven games, for example, have been against teams that have gone a combined 17-26 (and that doesn't include their games against the Titans -- throw those in and they're 17-33).
At the other end of the spectrum, you've got the Rams, Cardinals, Bucs and Chargers -- they appear to be teams that could come on in the second half of the season (since they've been held back by tough schedules).

  W  L  Pct.  
  15  29  .341  NY Jets
  17  27  .386  New England
  17  26  .395  Buffalo
  17  26  .395  Tennessee
  19  26  .422  NY Giants
  21  28  .429  San Francisco
  19  25  .432  Detroit
  19  25  .432  Green Bay
  20  25  .444  Denver
  20  24  .455  Oakland
  23  27  .460  Baltimore
  21  24  .467  Seattle
  21  23  .477  Atlanta
  21  22  .488  Pittsburgh
  25  26  .490  Dallas
  22  22  .500  Chicago
  21  21  .500  Houston
  27  26  .509  New Orleans
  26  25  .510  Carolina
  26  24  .520  Washington
  24  20  .545  Minnesota
  25  20  .556  Cleveland
  25  20  .556  Philadelphia
  24  19  .558  Miami
  28  22  .560  San Diego
  24  18  .571  Indianapolis
  30  21  .588  Tampa Bay
  26  17  .605  Kansas City
  28  18  .609  Arizona
  26  16  .619  Cincinnati
  26  16  .619  Jacksonville
  28  16  .636  St. Louis

SOURCE: Fantasy Index research
Updated through the Monday game between the Colts and Titans.

—Ian Allan

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