Fantasy News

As of right now, it looks like the Titans and Giants will have home-field advantage in the playoffs. That’s what the current records and remaining schedules are showing us.

Below, you see expected wins for each team – a combination of their current record plus what’s left on their remaining schedule. In the case of the Titans, for example, they’re currently 7-0, and we figure they should win about five and half of their remaining nine games.

 Wins
 12.5  Tennessee
 11.7  NY Giants
 11.2  Carolina
 10.8  Washington
 10.7  New England
 10.7  Pittsburgh
 10.4  Buffalo
 10.2  Tampa Bay
  9.7  Philadelphia
  9.3  Dallas
  9.2  Arizona
  9.1  Chicago
  9.0  Green Bay
  8.7  Denver
  8.6  Indianapolis
  8.5  San Diego
  8.4  New Orleans
  8.2  NY Jets
  8.0  Atlanta
  7.8  Jacksonville
  7.7  Minnesota
  7.6  Houston
  7.5  Miami
  7.3  Baltimore
  6.5  St. Louis
  6.3  Cleveland
  5.2  Oakland
  5.0  Seattle
  4.3  San Francisco
  2.8  Kansas City
  2.2  Cincinnati
  1.5  Detroit
   
SUPPORTING DOCUMENTATION
The schedule for each team, with the probability of victory in each game shown. For the Cardinals, for example, we’re leaning towards them getting beaten in St. Louis this week – that’s why they show as “45%” for that game this week – or .45 of a win. The following week, we consider Arizona to be virtually certain to beat San Francisco, so we’ve got them at “90%” for that game -- .90 of a win. Follow that for every team and all 256 games and you get the win totals above.
   
Arizona
 win  San Francisco (A)
 win  Miami (H)
 loss  Washington (A)
 loss  NY Jets (A)
 win  Buffalo (H)
 win  Dallas (H)
 loss  Carolina (A)
 45%  St. Louis (A)
 90%  San Francisco (H)
 50%  Seattle (A)
 45%  NY Giants (H)
 30%  Philadelphia (A)
 80%  St. Louis (H)
 65%  Minnesota (H)
 30%  New England (A)
 85%  Seattle (H)
   
Atlanta
 win  Detroit (H)
 loss  Tampa Bay (A)
 win  Kansas City (H)
 loss  Carolina (A)
 win  Green Bay (A)
 win  Chicago (H)
 loss  Philadelphia (A)
 50%  Oakland (A)
 55%  New Orleans (H)
 55%  Denver (H)
 40%  Carolina (H)
 20%  San Diego (A)
 30%  New Orleans (A)
 50%  Tampa Bay (H)
 30%  Minnesota (A)
 70%  St. Louis (H)
   
Baltimore
 win  Cincinnati (H)
 win  Cleveland (H)
 loss  Pittsburgh (A)
 loss  Tennessee (H)
 loss  Indianapolis (A)
 win  Miami (A)
 win  Oakland (H)
 40%  Cleveland (A)
 35%  Houston (A)
 4%  NY Giants (A)
 40%  Philadelphia (H)
 60%  Cincinnati (A)
 40%  Washington (H)
 40%  Pittsburgh (H)
 20%  Dallas (A)
 50%  Jacksonville (H)
   
Buffalo
 win  Seattle (H)
 win  Jacksonville (A)
 win  Oakland (H)
 win  St. Louis (A)
 loss  Arizona (A)
 win  San Diego (H)
 loss  Miami (A)
 65%  NY Jets (H)
 30%  New England (A)
 75%  Cleveland (H)
 80%  Kansas City (A)
 90%  San Francisco (H)
 70%  Miami (H)
 45%  NY Jets (A)
 40%  Denver (A)
 45%  New England (H)
   
Carolina
 win  San Diego (A)
 win  Chicago (H)
 loss  Minnesota (A)
 win  Atlanta (H)
 win  Kansas City (H)
 loss  Tampa Bay (A)
 win  New Orleans (H)
 win  Arizona (H)
 65%  Oakland (A)
 98%  Detroit (H)
 60%  Atlanta (A)
 45%  Green Bay (A)
 80%  Tampa Bay (H)
 85%  Denver (H)
 40%  NY Giants (A)
 50%  New Orleans (A)
   
Chicago
 win  Indianapolis (A)
 loss  Carolina (A)
 loss  Tampa Bay (H)
 win  Philadelphia (H)
 win  Detroit (A)
 loss  Atlanta (A)
 win  Minnesota (H)
 97%  Detroit (H)
 55%  Tennessee (H)
 40%  Green Bay (A)
 55%  St. Louis (A)
 40%  Minnesota (A)
 60%  Jacksonville (H)
 60%  New Orleans (H)
 55%  Green Bay (H)
 45%  Houston (A)
   
Cincinnati
 loss  Baltimore (A)
 loss  Tennessee (H)
 loss  NY Giants (A)
 loss  Cleveland (H)
 loss  Dallas (A)
 loss  NY Jets (A)
 loss  Pittsburgh (H)
 loss  Houston (A)
 35%  Jacksonville (H)
 15%  Philadelphia (H)
 5%  Pittsburgh (A)
 40%  Baltimore (H)
 10%  Indianapolis (A)
 25%  Washington (H)
 25%  Cleveland (A)
 65%  Kansas City (H)
   
Cleveland
 loss  Dallas (H)
 loss  Pittsburgh (H)
 loss  Baltimore (A)
 win  Cincinnati (A)
 win  NY Giants (H)
 loss  Washington (A)
 win  Jacksonville (A)
 60%  Baltimore (H)
 50%  Denver (H)
 25%  Buffalo (A)
 50%  Houston (H)
 35%  Indianapolis (H)
 10%  Tennessee (A)
 10%  Philadelphia (A)
 75%  Cincinnati (H)
 10%  Pittsburgh (A)
   
Dallas
 win  Cleveland (A)
 win  Philadelphia (H)
 win  Green Bay (A)
 loss  Washington (H)
 win  Cincinnati (H)
 loss  Arizona (A)
 loss  St. Louis (A)
 win  Tampa Bay (H)
 15%  NY Giants (A)
 40%  Washington (A)
 85%  San Francisco (H)
 85%  Seattle (H)
 35%  Pittsburgh (A)
 45%  NY Giants (H)
 80%  Baltimore (H)
 45%  Philadelphia (A)
   
Denver
 win  Oakland (A)
 win  San Diego (H)
 win  New Orleans (H)
 loss  Kansas City (A)
 win  Tampa Bay (H)
 loss  Jacksonville (H)
 loss  New England (A)
 65%  Miami (H)
 50%  Cleveland (A)
 45%  Atlanta (A)
 75%  Oakland (H)
 45%  NY Jets (A)
 90%  Kansas City (H)
 15%  Carolina (A)
 60%  Buffalo (H)
 20%  San Diego (A)
   
Detroit
 loss  Atlanta (A)
 loss  Green Bay (H)
 loss  San Francisco (A)
 loss  Chicago (H)
 loss  Minnesota (A)
 loss  Houston (A)
 loss  Washington (H)
 3%  Chicago (A)
 30%  Jacksonville (H)
 2%  Carolina (A)
 30%  Tampa Bay (H)
 15%  Tennessee (H)
 30%  Minnesota (H)
 3%  Indianapolis (A)
 30%  New Orleans (H)
 2%  Green Bay (A)
   
Green Bay
 win  Minnesota (H)
 win  Detroit (A)
 loss  Dallas (H)
 loss  Tampa Bay (A)
 loss  Atlanta (H)
 win  Seattle (A)
 win  Indianapolis (H)
 45%  Tennessee (A)
 40%  Minnesota (A)
 60%  Chicago (H)
 45%  New Orleans (A)
 55%  Carolina (H)
 65%  Houston (H)
 43%  Jacksonville (A)
 45%  Chicago (A)
 98%  Detroit (H)
   
Houston
 loss  Pittsburgh (A)
 loss  Tennessee (A)
 loss  Jacksonville (A)
 loss  Indianapolis (H)
 win  Miami (H)
 win  Detroit (H)
 win  Cincinnati (H)
 45%  Minnesota (A)
 65%  Baltimore (H)
 35%  Indianapolis (A)
 50%  Cleveland (A)
 60%  Jacksonville (H)
 35%  Green Bay (A)
 55%  Tennessee (H)
 55%  Oakland (A)
 55%  Chicago (H)
   
Indianapolis
 loss  Chicago (H)
 win  Minnesota (A)
 loss  Jacksonville (H)
 win  Houston (A)
 win  Baltimore (H)
 loss  Green Bay (A)
 loss  Tennessee (A)
 60%  New England (H)
 35%  Pittsburgh (A)
 65%  Houston (H)
 35%  San Diego (A)
 65%  Cleveland (A)
 90%  Cincinnati (H)
 97%  Detroit (H)
 50%  Jacksonville (A)
 60%  Tennessee (H)
   
Jacksonville
 loss  Tennessee (A)
 loss  Buffalo (H)
 win  Indianapolis (A)
 win  Houston (H)
 loss  Pittsburgh (H)
 win  Denver (A)
 loss  Cleveland (H)
 65%  Cincinnati (A)
 70%  Detroit (A)
 50%  Tennessee (H)
 58%  Minnesota (H)
 40%  Houston (A)
 40%  Chicago (A)
 57%  Green Bay (H)
 50%  Indianapolis (H)
 50%  Baltimore (A)
   
Kansas City
 loss  New England (A)
 loss  Oakland (H)
 loss  Atlanta (A)
 win  Denver (H)
 loss  Carolina (A)
 loss  Tennessee (H)
 loss  NY Jets (A)
 17%  Tampa Bay (H)
 3%  San Diego (A)
 20%  New Orleans (H)
 20%  Buffalo (H)
 25%  Oakland (A)
 10%  Denver (A)
 22%  San Diego (H)
 25%  Miami (H)
 35%  Cincinnati (A)
   
Miami
 loss  NY Jets (H)
 loss  Arizona (A)
 win  New England (A)
 win  San Diego (H)
 loss  Houston (A)
 loss  Baltimore (H)
 win  Buffalo (H)
 35%  Denver (A)
 75%  Seattle (H)
 65%  Oakland (H)
 40%  New England (H)
 35%  St. Louis (A)
 30%  Buffalo (A)
 70%  San Francisco (H)
 75%  Kansas City (A)
 25%  NY Jets (A)
   
Minnesota
 loss  Green Bay (A)
 loss  Indianapolis (H)
 win  Carolina (H)
 loss  Tennessee (A)
 win  New Orleans (A)
 win  Detroit (H)
 loss  Chicago (A)
 55%  Houston (H)
 60%  Green Bay (H)
 35%  Tampa Bay (A)
 42%  Jacksonville (A)
 60%  Chicago (H)
 70%  Detroit (A)
 35%  Arizona (A)
 70%  Atlanta (H)
 45%  NY Giants (H)
   
New England
 win  Kansas City (H)
 win  NY Jets (A)
 loss  Miami (H)
 win  San Francisco (A)
 loss  San Diego (A)
 win  Denver (H)
 win  St. Louis (H)
 40%  Indianapolis (A)
 70%  Buffalo (H)
 75%  NY Jets (H)
 60%  Miami (A)
 65%  Pittsburgh (H)
 55%  Seattle (A)
 75%  Oakland (A)
 70%  Arizona (H)
 55%  Buffalo (A)
   
New Orleans
 win  Tampa Bay (H)
 loss  Washington (A)
 loss  Denver (A)
 win  San Francisco (H)
 loss  Minnesota (H)
 win  Oakland (H)
 loss  Carolina (A)
 win  San Diego (N)
 45%  Atlanta (A)
 80%  Kansas City (A)
 55%  Green Bay (H)
 25%  Tampa Bay (A)
 70%  Atlanta (H)
 40%  Chicago (A)
 70%  Detroit (A)
 50%  Carolina (H)
   
NY Giants
 win  Washington (H)
 win  St. Louis (A)
 win  Cincinnati (H)
 win  Seattle (H)
 loss  Cleveland (A)
 win  San Francisco (H)
 win  Pittsburgh (A)
 85%  Dallas (H)
 50%  Philadelphia (A)
 96%  Baltimore (H)
 55%  Arizona (A)
 50%  Washington (A)
 65%  Philadelphia (H)
 55%  Dallas (A)
 60%  Carolina (H)
 55%  Minnesota (A)
   
NY Jets
 win  Miami (A)
 loss  New England (H)
 loss  San Diego (A)
 win  Arizona (H)
 win  Cincinnati (H)
 loss  Oakland (A)
 win  Kansas City (H)
 35%  Buffalo (A)
 65%  St. Louis (H)
 25%  New England (A)
 20%  Tennessee (A)
 55%  Denver (H)
 45%  San Francisco (A)
 55%  Buffalo (H)
 45%  Seattle (A)
 75%  Miami (H)
   
Oakland
 loss  Denver (H)
 win  Kansas City (A)
 loss  Buffalo (A)
 loss  San Diego (H)
 loss  New Orleans (A)
 win  NY Jets (H)
 loss  Baltimore (A)
 50%  Atlanta (H)
 35%  Carolina (H)
 35%  Miami (A)
 25%  Denver (A)
 75%  Kansas City (H)
 15%  San Diego (A)
 25%  New England (H)
 45%  Houston (H)
 15%  Tampa Bay (A)
   
Philadelphia
 win  St. Louis (H)
 loss  Dallas (A)
 win  Pittsburgh (H)
 loss  Chicago (A)
 loss  Washington (H)
 win  San Francisco (A)
 win  Atlanta (H)
 80%  Seattle (A)
 50%  NY Giants (H)
 85%  Cincinnati (A)
 60%  Baltimore (A)
 70%  Arizona (H)
 35%  NY Giants (A)
 90%  Cleveland (H)
 45%  Washington (A)
 55%  Dallas (H)
   
Pittsburgh
 win  Houston (H)
 win  Cleveland (A)
 loss  Philadelphia (A)
 win  Baltimore (H)
 win  Jacksonville (A)
 win  Cincinnati (A)
 loss  NY Giants (H)
 45%  Washington (A)
 65%  Indianapolis (H)
 65%  San Diego (H)
 95%  Cincinnati (H)
 35%  New England (A)
 65%  Dallas (H)
 60%  Baltimore (A)
 45%  Tennessee (A)
 90%  Cleveland (H)
   
San Diego
 loss  Carolina (H)
 loss  Denver (A)
 win  NY Jets (H)
 win  Oakland (A)
 loss  Miami (A)
 win  New England (H)
 loss  Buffalo (A)
 loss  New Orleans (N)
 97%  Kansas City (H)
 35%  Pittsburgh (A)
 65%  Indianapolis (H)
 80%  Atlanta (H)
 85%  Oakland (H)
 78%  Kansas City (A)
 25%  Tampa Bay (A)
 80%  Denver (H)
   
San Francisco
 loss  Arizona (H)
 win  Seattle (A)
 win  Detroit (H)
 loss  New Orleans (A)
 loss  New England (H)
 loss  Philadelphia (H)
 loss  NY Giants (A)
 loss  Seattle (H)
 10%  Arizona (A)
 55%  St. Louis (H)
 15%  Dallas (A)
 10%  Buffalo (A)
 55%  NY Jets (H)
 30%  Miami (A)
 20%  St. Louis (A)
 35%  Washington (H)
   
Seattle
 loss  Buffalo (A)
 loss  San Francisco (H)
 win  St. Louis (H)
 loss  NY Giants (A)
 loss  Green Bay (H)
 loss  Tampa Bay (A)
 win  San Francisco (A)
 20%  Philadelphia (H)
 25%  Miami (A)
 50%  Arizona (H)
 45%  Washington (H)
 15%  Dallas (A)
 45%  New England (H)
 25%  St. Louis (A)
 55%  NY Jets (H)
 15%  Arizona (A)
   
St. Louis
 loss  Philadelphia (A)
 loss  NY Giants (H)
 loss  Seattle (A)
 loss  Buffalo (H)
 win  Washington (A)
 win  Dallas (H)
 loss  New England (A)
 55%  Arizona (H)
 35%  NY Jets (A)
 45%  San Francisco (A)
 45%  Chicago (H)
 65%  Miami (H)
 20%  Arizona (A)
 75%  Seattle (H)
 80%  San Francisco (H)
 30%  Atlanta (A)
   
Tampa Bay
 loss  New Orleans (A)
 win  Atlanta (H)
 win  Chicago (A)
 win  Green Bay (H)
 loss  Denver (A)
 win  Carolina (H)
 win  Seattle (H)
 loss  Dallas (A)
 83%  Kansas City (A)
 65%  Minnesota (H)
 70%  Detroit (A)
 75%  New Orleans (H)
 20%  Carolina (A)
 50%  Atlanta (A)
 75%  San Diego (H)
 85%  Oakland (H)
   
Tennessee
 win  Jacksonville (H)
 win  Cincinnati (A)
 win  Houston (H)
 win  Minnesota (H)
 win  Baltimore (A)
 win  Kansas City (A)
 win  Indianapolis (H)
 55%  Green Bay (H)
 45%  Chicago (A)
 50%  Jacksonville (A)
 80%  NY Jets (H)
 85%  Detroit (A)
 90%  Cleveland (H)
 45%  Houston (A)
 55%  Pittsburgh (H)
 40%  Indianapolis (A)
 
Washington
 loss  NY Giants (A)
 win  New Orleans (H)
 win  Arizona (H)
 win  Dallas (A)
 win  Philadelphia (A)
 loss  St. Louis (H)
 win  Cleveland (H)
 win  Detroit (A)
 55%  Pittsburgh (H)
 60%  Dallas (H)
 55%  Seattle (A)
 50%  NY Giants (H)
 60%  Baltimore (A)
 75%  Cincinnati (A)
 55%  Philadelphia (H)
 65%  San Francisco (A)

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