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Posted Jun. 20 at 12:18 AM

Publisher Ian Allan fields your questions on strategy, how to run your league, player ratings -- and whatever else you think of. Updated every Friday during the season; Tuesdays and Fridays during the last two months of the preseason. You must be registered and signed-in to submit a mailbag question. After you sign in at the top of the page, the link to submit a mailbag question will become visible.



Question 1:

I put out my order for the annual FFI draft issue yesterday, but I'm too much a fantasy junkie to wait that long, and I'm curious to see what your 'take' is on Vernon Davis. History says Mike Martz doesn't utilize the TE much in the passing game, but history also shows that he's never had anything like Davis in the past to work with. Given the aged (Isaac Bruce) or undistinguished (everyone else) WR corps, do you see Davis becoming the go-to receiver, with true fantasy relevance ala Antonio Gates?


Paul Desimone [HAYWARD, CA]

A:

I'm not a big Vernon Davis fan (though I did wind up selecting him in the Fanex draft a month ago, after 10 other tight ends had been selected). He's got the phenomenal speed and outstanding strength -- I think the most physically talented player to ever play the position -- but you know who he reminds me of? Johnny Mitchell, who never really quite got over the hump after being selected in the middle of the first round by the Jets in 1992. Speed and strength or nice, but you’ve got to have that feel for playing the game – that knack of settling into open spots where the quarterback can find you. And I think Davis’ hands are probably average at best; he’ll drop some balls, and he doesn’t have that knack of being able to come up with catches while tightly covered – he’s no Todd Heap.

Now, Davis is going to work with an offensive coordinator (Mike Martz) who’s historically ignored the tight end. Detroit’s tight ends the last two years caught a league-low 9 percent of their team’s passes. In the previous three seasons, Martz’s tight ends in St. Louis caught a league-low 7 percent of their team’s completions. Now Davis is going to turn into a 70-catch tight end? I don’t see it. And there’s an implosion factor, I think, as well. I don’t think Davis is particularly smart or works particularly hard, and Martz has a notoriously complex offense. Calvin Johnson was completely lost in the Martz offense last season, leading him to be used as a decoy for most of the year. So I would advise against banking on a big season from Davis.


Question 2:

How do you see Maroney looking in the upcoming season? I play in a keeper league and will be keeping Randy Moss, I usually don't like to have too many people on one team, but know the Patriots will still score a lot of points. I can keep him with a fair value against my auction points, but worried I might depend on the Pats too much? What are your thoughts on this combo? Would it be a good move top keep Maroney as well?


Keith Swiniarski [FT LAUDERDALE, FL]

A:

The Patriots probably will lead the league in scoring, so I have no problem with protecting both Moss and Maroney. The team may run a little more often in the red zone this season, as opponents make mor eof an effort to keep Moss under control, and that could benefit Maroney. And the Patriots run the ball more often around the goal line than most people realize anyway. They had a league-high 33 running plays inside the 5 last year. They've scored 37 rushing TDs in the last two years, which is No. 3 behind San Diego and Jacksonville -- so you could wind up kicking yourself for releasing Maroney.

On the downside, Maroney hasn't been particularly durable, and I don't think he'll ever be a full-time back. I expect Kevin Faulk to get most of the playing time in obvious passing situations, and I think Sammy Morris might get a dozen touches per game as a change-of-pace guy. Morris runs hard between the tackles, so he might wind up getting more carries at the goal line than Maroney -- Bill Belichick is a believer in using a running back by committee approach. That said, I would protect Maroney if the price is right.


Question 3:

Thanks for the advice the past two weeks on setting up a drauction. Now the $24 dollar question: Will you have drauction cheet sheets/drauction values/mock drauctions available in the coming weeks?


Matt Tinker [ORLEANS, VT]

A:

We're doing testing right now on an auction price generator that will work for Drauctions. If you buy an update, you'll be able to access a computer program deal which will interface with the most current rankings and stat projections -- you'll be able to enter in your league's scoring system and auction parameters, and it will kick out exact player values.

In the case of a "Drauction", you'll just enter in different guidelines than a typical auction owner -- you'll say that you don't want kickers or defenses included, and you'll be able to define that perhaps the No. 11 wide receiver and running back on the draft board will each be worth $1. The computer will then calculate the values of the remaining players, using your dollar recommendations and give you down-to-the-penny values for each of the 35 (or whatever) guys you feel will be purchased in your mini auction.


Readers' Comments

Question 3: Thanks for the advice the...

Posted by MICHAEL ROPER | Jun. 20 at 06:25 AM

Ian - Just a heads up on your drauction price generator. Maybe I'm wrong, but I think that prices should be different depending on whether the league determines that each team will come out of the drauction with the same amount of players or they are free to get as many or as few players as their budgeting allows. If the league decides that each team will come out with the same number of players, I could see good players going for $1 or $2 because everyone is guarenteed to get 3 solid players. However, if a league decided to allow more flexability and not limit how many players could be purchased, bidding is much more competitive. Using our league as an example, we've had only one player go for less then $10 in the 3 year history of our drauctions. (The always impressive David Martin who was nominated by an owner who only had $7 left when it was his turn to nominate.) The other thing that makes the drauction so diffcult to predict is if you allow the owners to nominate who they want, it's not always the 36 best players that get nominated. I spend hours every year coming up with values of what I'm willing to pay for each player using my own formula only to have it go out the window when 4 of the top 12 players never get nominated. That having been said, there's nothing better then having total control of your team... :-)

Question 3: Thanks for the advice the...

Posted by IAN ALLAN | Jun. 20 at 08:05 AM

Agreed. For leagues where there is added value to finishing the drauction with the most money, that won't be included in this model. The prices, however, should be a good starting point.

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