Around the NFL

July 07, 2025

Dyami Brown getting some hype

What are odds of a Year 5 breakout?

There has been some positive press for Dyami Brown in Jacksonville, both from camp watchers and players, including Trevor Lawrence. I'm not sure whether to buy into it.

Certainly, he's a talented guy. Washington's third-round pick back in 2021, Brown made some big plays in his second season (just 5 receptions, but he averaged nearly 30 yards per catch on them). Last year he had his most productive season, catching 30 passes for 308 yards and a touchdown. The Jaguars signed him to a one-year, $10 million deal, so they clearly view him as having a role, probably as a field-stretching No. 3 (behind Brian Thomas and Travis Hunter).

But coming into significant value in fantasy leagues after his quiet first few seasons seems a little less likely.

Using the search tools at pro-football-reference.com, I generated a list of wide receivers this century who at the start of their careers (minimum 50 games, so typically 3-4 seasons) caught fewer than 100 passes, like Brown (he's at 59 catches in 63 games), but at least 50 (so as to exclude the pure special-teamers). I came up with a list of 49 wideouts who met the criteria, and then I went looking for each player's best season.

From that group, there are just 2 top-25 fantasy seasons (PPR): Miles Austin with Dallas, and Jerry Porter with the Raiders. Six others at least had a top-50 season at some point in their careers.

But aside from those guys, very modest top seasons from those players. That seems like the likeliest scenario from Dyami: maybe putting together a season like Jacoby Jones, Richie James or Devin Duvernay. Perhaps a spot starter in fantasy leagues (more if someone gets hurt), but unlikely to put up difference-making numbers.

Table shows the totals (receptions, yards, touchdowns) for those 49 wide receivers in their first four seasons, as well as their career-best seasons (the year indicated), sorted by ranking that year in PPR leagues.

WIDE RECEIVERS WITH 50-100 RECEPTIONS, FIRST FOUR SEASONS (2000-)
Year	Player	G	Rec	Yds	TD	Best	Rk
2009	Miles Austin, Dall.	53	99	1674	14	81-1320-11	6
2004	Jerry Porter, Oak.	53	99	1275	10	64-998-9	22
2013	Riley Cooper, Phil.	56	93	1514	13	47-835-8	31
2005	Antonio Chatman, G.B.	51	74	817	5	49-549-5	43
2021	Cedrick Wilson, Dall.	53	97	1203	6	45-602-6	45
2007	Roydell Williams, Ten.	56	92	1248	6	55-719-4	45
2022	Mack Hollins, L.V.	65	56	750	6	57-690-4	46
2022	Richie James, NYG	57	95	1258	7	57-569-4	50
2019	Breshad Perriman, T.B.	51	95	1561	11	36-645-6	51
2024	Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, Ten.	61	94	1276	10	32-497-9	54
2017	Ryan Grant, Was.	64	84	985	6	45-573-4	54
2003	Dante Hall, K.C.	50	60	745	4	40-423-5	55
2022	Isaiah McKenzie, Buff.	50	79	744	6	42-423-5	55
2005	Greg Lewis, Phil.	59	95	1187	3	48-561-1	56
2021	Byron Pringle, K.C.	57	77	1033	9	42-568-5	57
2010	Jacoby Jones, Hou.	59	96	1229	9	51-562-3	57
2022	DeAndre Carter, LAC	60	58	682	3	46-538-3	60
2022	Devin Duvernay, Balt.	59	94	898	5	37-407-5	61
2018	Rashard Higgins, Cle.	54	76	1016	7	39-572-4	61
2024	Demarcus Robinson, LAR	64	75	949	8	31-505-7	62
2023	Tutu Atwell, LAR	54	99	1343	4	39-483-3	62
2008	Johnnie Lee Higgins, Oak.	60	57	779	4	22-366-7	63
2017	Jaron Brown, Ari.	55	55	700	5	31-477-4	65
2022	Olamide Zaccheaus, Atl.	55	94	1328	8	40-533-3	65
2010	Ben Obomanu, Sea.	58	83	1151	7	30-494-4	68
2003	Freddie Mitchell, Phil.	63	90	1263	5	35-498-2	69
2016	Brian Quick, LAR	51	64	935	7	41-564-3	70
2008	Hank Baskett, Phil.	59	76	1080	6	33-440-3	71
2011	Legedu Naanee, Car.	54	63	746	3	44-467-1	71
2019	Phillip Dorsett, N.E.	57	95	1237	6	29-397-5	71
2019	Alex Erickson, Cin.	64	81	947	1	43-529-0	72
2020	Scott Miller, T.B.	50	74	924	4	33-501-3	73
2016	Tajae Sharpe, Ten.	51	92	1167	8	41-522-2	73
2007	Roscoe Parrish, Buff.	55	97	1052	5	35-352-3	75
2017	Bennie Fowler, Den.	55	72	897	6	29-350-3	78
2007	Brad Smith, NYJ	60	60	513	2	32-325-2	79
2011	Arrelious Benn, T.B.	52	64	978	6	30-441-3	81
2007	Derek Hagan, Mia.	52	61	746	4	29-373-2	82
2022	Ben Skowronek, LAR	55	63	644	1	39-376-1	86
2020	Jakeem Grant, Mia.	52	53	635	4	36-373-2	90
2021	Laquon Treadwell, Jac.	53	65	701	2	33-434-1	90
2020	Jalen Reagor, Phil.	56	79	937	4	31-396-2	91
2018	Aldrick Robinson, Min.	52	50	931	7	17-231-5	96
2015	Keshawn Martin, N.E.	57	62	685	5	24-269-2	96
2024	Dyami Brown, Was.	63	59	784	4	30-308-1	97
2017	Justin Hardy, Atl.	57	76	751	9	20-221-3	98
2022	Equanimeous St. Brown, Chi.	53	58	866	2	21-323-1	100
2006	David Tyree, NYG	61	50	615	4	19-197-2	103

Maybe at the end of a best-ball draft I'd be considering Brown for a pick, but that's probably it.

--Andy Richardson

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