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Rookie receivers / immediate impact

Rare to see success right away

Everyone tend to get excited about players selected in the first round, but with wide receivers, the reality is that you tend to see little immediate success. Ian Allan explores.

I will focus for just a moment on DeAndre Hopkins and Cordarrelle Patterson. These are the wide receivers selected late in the first round.

The Texans and Vikings are hoping these guys can be big stars.

Maybe they will be. Neither team has any reason yet to express buyer's remorse.

But it's rare to see receivers selected in that range of the draft make much of an impact as a rookie.

In this century (that is, since 2000), 26 wide receivers have been selected in the second half of the first round. Of that group of 26, only a handful had much of any success as rookies.

None of them reached 1,000 yards, for example. Dwayne Bowe came close (995), and Santonio Holmes finished with 824. Only three others reached 700.

Three managed to catch 6 TDs -- Dez Bryant, Percy Harvin and Hakeem Nicks. With Bryant and Harvin, they also scored 2 TDs each on kick returns, so some value there. Only two other wide receivers in this group of 26 scored 5 TDs.

And that's pretty much it.

If you want to simply average the production of these other receivers, you get 33 catches, 451 yards and 2.7 TDs. That's the kind of production to expect from Hopkins and Patterson. Not guys you should be targeting in fantasy leagues with the notion they'll be helping you this year.

RECEIVERS DRAFTED IN SECOND HALF OF FIRST ROUND
YearTeamReceiverNoYdsAvgTD
2000K.C.Sylvester Morris4867814.13
2000Jac.R. Jay Soward1415411.01
2001Ind.Reggie Wayne2734512.80
2001Phil.Freddie Mitchell2128313.51
2002Den.Ashley Lelie3552515.02
2002G.B.Javon Walker2331913.91
2003Ariz.Bryant Johnson3543812.51
2004S.F.Rashaun Woods716022.91
2004Atl.Michael Jenkins711917.00
2005Atl.Roddy White2944615.43
2005Jac.Matt Jones3643212.05
2005Balt.Mark Clayton4447110.73
2006Pitt.Santonio Holmes4982416.83
2007S.D.Craig Davis201889.41
2007K.C.Dwayne Bowe7099514.25
2007Ind.Anthony Gonzalez3757615.63
2007N.O.Robert Meachem00---0
2009Phil.Jeremy Maclin 5677313.84
2009NYGHakeem Nicks 4779016.86
2009Tenn.Kenny Britt 4270116.73
2009Minn.Percy Harvin 6079013.28
2010Den.Demaryius Thomas2228312.92
2010Dall.Dez Bryant4556112.58
2011K.C.Jon Baldwin2125412.11
2012S.F.A.J. Jenkins00---0
2012Tenn.Kendall Wright646269.84
2013Hou.DeAndre Hopkins
2013Minn.Cordarrelle Patterson

Fantasy Index