We've previewed both games over the course of the week. Now time to put numbers to the text, and see who the best players should be.
Josh Allen looks best at quarterback. He's carried the offense in recent clashes with Kansas City, and run more than usual in these matchups. Maybe Buffalo changes things up and leans on the conventional running game; they've got three capable backs. But Allen seems more likely to be carrying the ball around the goal line than usual, and he's got one of the week's two best matchups for passing, too.
Nobody with the luxury of starting Saquon Barkley this week will be nudging any backs ahead of him. The debate comes at the No. 2 option, with James Cook, a Washington back or Kareem Hunt all viable candidates. But Cook has been his team's most regular lead back of those options.
Terry McLaurin is the top wide receiver still playing, but Khalil Shakir, Xavier Worthy and both Eagles are also viable. The Eagles merit some discussion: Jalen Hurts has a knee injury that's been limiting him in practice. I've ratcheted Hurts' rushing production well down from usual, and I think it could affect the passing game too -- his mobility should be compromised. If you're in the camp that thinks Hurts will be a-OK, DeVonta Smith and A.J. Brown, and Hurts himself, would get a little boost. I think the Eagles offense will be the Saquon Barkley show, again, and am not to keen to be starting other Eagles players.
Travis Kelce has averaged 20 more yards per game in three of his last four postseasons than in the regular season, and kept that going in last week's 117-yard performance. Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert have their merits, but I'm not going to slot either guy as comparable to Kelce.
Rankings are below, sorted by PPR (but Standard and TD-only projected point totals are also shown). Good luck in your competitions.
CHAMPIONSHIP GAME RANKINGS | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pos | Tm | Player | Pass | Rec | Run | Tot | TD | Std | PPR | TD |
QB | BUF | Josh Allen | 235 | 0 | 47 | 282 | 2.20 | 26.2 | 26.2 | 9.9 |
QB | WAS | Jayden Daniels | 228 | 0 | 41 | 269 | 1.85 | 23.4 | 23.4 | 7.9 |
RB | PHI | Saquon Barkley | 0 | 14 | 131 | 145 | 1.10 | 21.2 | 22.8 | 6.6 |
QB | KC | Patrick Mahomes | 252 | 0 | 20 | 272 | 1.89 | 22.3 | 22.3 | 7.7 |
QB | PHI | Jalen Hurts | 183 | 0 | 23 | 206 | 1.87 | 19.9 | 19.9 | 8.4 |
TE | KC | Travis Kelce | 1 | 61 | 0 | 62 | .39 | 8.5 | 15.7 | 2.4 |
WR | WAS | Terry McLaurin | 0 | 69 | 0 | 69 | .50 | 9.9 | 14.8 | 3.0 |
WR | BUF | Khalil Shakir | 0 | 58 | 0 | 58 | .31 | 7.7 | 13.0 | 1.9 |
WR | KC | Xavier Worthy | 0 | 51 | 4 | 55 | .44 | 8.2 | 12.9 | 2.6 |
WR | PHI | DeVonta Smith | 0 | 54 | 1 | 54 | .42 | 8.0 | 12.3 | 2.5 |
RB | BUF | James Cook | 0 | 14 | 60 | 74 | .50 | 10.4 | 12.2 | 3.0 |
WR | PHI | A.J. Brown | 0 | 54 | 0 | 54 | .38 | 7.6 | 11.8 | 2.3 |
WR | WAS | Dyami Brown | 0 | 41 | 1 | 43 | .31 | 6.1 | 10.1 | 1.8 |
WR | KC | Marquise Brown | 0 | 41 | 0 | 41 | .31 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 1.9 |
TE | PHI | Dallas Goedert | 0 | 43 | 0 | 43 | .35 | 6.4 | 10.0 | 2.1 |
RB | WAS | Brian Robinson | 0 | 12 | 45 | 56 | .43 | 8.2 | 9.6 | 2.6 |
RB | WAS | Austin Ekeler | 0 | 28 | 22 | 49 | .31 | 6.8 | 9.4 | 1.9 |
RB | KC | Kareem Hunt | 0 | 12 | 44 | 56 | .38 | 7.9 | 9.4 | 2.3 |
TE | WAS | Zach Ertz | 0 | 35 | 0 | 35 | .40 | 5.9 | 9.3 | 2.4 |
PK | BUF | Tyler Bass | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .00 | 8.1 | 8.1 | 8.1 |
PK | KC | Harrison Butker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .00 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 |
PK | PHI | Jake Elliott | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .00 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 7.4 |
WR | BUF | Curtis Samuel | 0 | 26 | 1 | 27 | .23 | 4.1 | 7.2 | 1.4 |
WR | KC | DeAndre Hopkins | 0 | 28 | 0 | 28 | .26 | 4.4 | 7.0 | 1.6 |
PK | WAS | Zane Gonzalez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .00 | 6.8 | 6.8 | 6.8 |
RB | BUF | Ty Johnson | 0 | 22 | 13 | 35 | .24 | 4.9 | 6.7 | 1.5 |
TE | BUF | Dalton Kincaid | 0 | 30 | 0 | 30 | .14 | 3.8 | 6.7 | .8 |
RB | KC | Isiah Pacheco | 0 | 5 | 33 | 38 | .25 | 5.2 | 6.0 | 1.5 |
WR | WAS | Olamide Zaccheaus | 0 | 25 | 0 | 26 | .16 | 3.5 | 5.8 | 1.0 |
RB | KC | Samaje Perine | 0 | 23 | 4 | 27 | .15 | 3.6 | 5.8 | .9 |
WR | BUF | Keon Coleman | 0 | 24 | 0 | 24 | .19 | 3.5 | 4.9 | 1.1 |
TE | KC | Noah Gray | 0 | 20 | 0 | 20 | .17 | 3.0 | 4.9 | 1.0 |
WR | BUF | Amari Cooper | 0 | 22 | 0 | 22 | .19 | 3.3 | 4.8 | 1.1 |
RB | PHI | Kenneth Gainwell | 0 | 7 | 19 | 26 | .16 | 3.6 | 4.6 | 1.0 |
TE | BUF | Dawson Knox | 0 | 22 | 0 | 22 | .10 | 2.8 | 4.4 | .6 |
WR | BUF | Mack Hollins | 0 | 17 | 0 | 17 | .19 | 2.8 | 4.1 | 1.1 |
RB | BUF | Ray Davis | 0 | 5 | 12 | 17 | .09 | 2.2 | 2.8 | .6 |
WR | WAS | Jamison Crowder | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 | .05 | 1.2 | 2.4 | .3 |
WR | PHI | Jahan Dotson | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 | .06 | 1.3 | 2.1 | .3 |
WR | KC | Justin Watson | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | .07 | 1.2 | 1.8 | .4 |
WR | KC | JuJu Smith-Schuster | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .06 | 0.8 | 1.2 | .3 |
TE | WAS | John Bates | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .02 | 0.6 | 1.0 | .1 |
RB | WAS | Jeremy McNichols | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | .04 | 0.8 | .9 | .2 |
WR | WAS | Luke McCaffrey | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | .02 | 0.3 | .6 | .1 |
TE | WAS | Ben Sinnott | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | .00 | 0.2 | .6 | .0 |
TE | PHI | Grant Calcaterra | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | .01 | 0.3 | .4 | .1 |
RB | WAS | Chris Rodriguez | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .01 | 0.2 | .2 | .1 |
QB | KC | Carson Wentz | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .02 | 0.2 | .2 | .1 |
TE | PHI | E.J. Jenkins | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .01 | 0.1 | .2 | .0 |
QB | BUF | Mitchell Trubisky | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .02 | 0.2 | .2 | .1 |
WR | PHI | Johnny Wilson | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .01 | 0.1 | .2 | .0 |
QB | WAS | Marcus Mariota | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .02 | 0.2 | .2 | .1 |
TE | BUF | Reggie Gilliam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .01 | 0.1 | .2 | .0 |
RB | PHI | Will Shipley | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .01 | 0.1 | .2 | .0 |
TE | BUF | Quintin Morris | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .02 | 0.1 | .2 | .1 |
RB | KC | Carson Steele | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .00 | 0.1 | .1 | .0 |
TE | WAS | Colson Yankoff | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .00 | 0.1 | .1 | .0 |
QB | PHI | Kenny Pickett | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .01 | 0.1 | .1 | .0 |
TE | KC | Peyton Hendershot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .00 | 0.0 | .1 | .0 |
WR | KC | Nikko Remigio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .00 | 0.1 | .1 | .1 |
WR | PHI | Parris Campbell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .00 | 0.0 | .0 | .0 |
Defense rankings are below. As you might expect from four of the offenses who turned it over the fewest during the season, there's not a slam dunk best choice. Eagles and Bills look best, but not a heavy favorite.
DEFENSE RANKINGS | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | Fum | Int | Pass | Run | Pts | Sack | TD D | TD K | Std | PPR | TD |
Eagles | .45 | .60 | 230 | 115 | 21.5 | 1.9 | .08 | .01 | 4.56 | 5.06 | 0.565 |
Bills | .45 | .55 | 255 | 105 | 24.0 | 2.1 | .09 | .02 | 4.74 | 4.74 | 0.642 |
Commanders | .55 | .65 | 190 | 160 | 27.0 | 2.5 | .09 | .02 | 5.53 | 3.78 | 0.630 |
Kansas City | .40 | .30 | 235 | 130 | 25.0 | 1.7 | .06 | .02 | 3.59 | 3.09 | 0.486 |