Factoid

September 26, 2014

Buccaneers Defense: Allowing 50 points

The Buccaneers gave up 56 points at Atlanta last week. They travel to Pittsburgh on Sunday. Does this mean we should all be filling our lineups with Steelers players, and expect another embarrassing loss for Tampa Bay?

Not really. Over the last 10 years, teams have allowed at least 50 points on 32 occasions (not including Week 17 and playoff games, in which case they didn't play the following week). The next week, 18 of those 32 teams actually came back and won. They allowed an average of 24 points, which is slightly more than average, and allowed 20 points or less 14 times, so nearly half.

About 10 percent of the time (3 out of 32), that team came back and served up 40-plus points again. So if you're starting Steelers reserves (say, LeGarrette Blount or receivers like Lance Moore or Justin Brown), those are your odds of one of those guys being part of a points explosion, at least based on the last 10 years.

The results the following week for the teams that gave up 50 points over the last decade are presented below.

ALLOWING 50 POINTS, 2004-2013
Year	Team	Allowed	Opponent	Next Week?
2013	Raiders	56	Kansas City	L, 26-13 at S.D.
2013	Steelers	55	Patriots	W, 23-10 vs. Buff.
2013	Bears	54	Eagles	L, 33-28 vs. G.B.
2013	Eagles	52	Broncos	W, 36-21 at NYG
2013	Cowboys	51	Broncos	W, 31-16 vs. Wash.
2013	Titans	51	Broncos	L, 37-34 vs. Ariz.
2012	Titans	59	Patriots	W, 30-13 vs. Jac.
2012	Cardinals	58	Seahawks	W, 38-10 vs. Det.
2012	Raiders	55	Ravens	L, 38-17 vs. N.O.
2012	Titans	55	Packers	W, 38-20 vs. Jac.
2012	Bills	52	Patriots	L, 45-3 at S.F.
2012	Saints	52	Giants	W, 41-0 vs. T.B.
2012	Titans	51	Bears	W, 37-3 vs. Mia.
2012	Bills	50	Seahawks	L, 24-10 at Mia.
2011	Colts	62	Saints	L, 27-10 at Tenn.
2010	Washington	59	Eagles	W, 19-16 at Tenn.
2010	Broncos	59	Raiders	L, 24-16 at S.F.
2009	Titans	59	Patriots	W, 30-13 vs. Jac.
2008	Cardinals	56	Jets	W, 41-17 vs. Buff.
2008	Kansas City	54	Bills	W, 20-13 at Oak.
2008	Packers	51	Saints	L, 35-31 vs. Car.
2007	Lions	56	Eagles	W, 37-27 vs. Chi.
2007	Bills	56	Patriots	L, 36-14 at Jac.
2007	Washington	52	Patriots	W, 23-20 at NYJ
2007	Bengals	51	Browns	L, 24-21 at Sea.
2007	Lions	56	Eagles	W, 37-27 vs. Chi.
2007	Lions	51	Chargers	W, 25-20 vs. K.C.
2005	49ers	52	Washington	W, 15-10 vs. T.B.
2005	Saints	52	Packers	L, 34-31 vs. Atl.
2004	Browns	58	Bengals	L, 42-15 vs. N.E.
2004	Falcons	56	Kansas City	W, 41-28 at Den.
2004	Titans	51	Colts	L, 49-38 vs. K.C.

--Andy Richardson

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