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Strength of schedule

Run- and pass-specific data for SOS

Typically with Strength of Schedule, I tend to stick to win-loss records and to points allowed (by opposing defenses). But I also will together charts geared towards rushing and passing production.

For rushing, the easiest schedule project to be played by Dallas and the four teams in the NFC North. That’s using combined rushing yards and touchdowns allowed by opponents last year. (And I’m blending them into one using fantasy scoring of 6 points for TDs and 1 for every 10 yards).

The hardest schedules seem to belong to the 49ers and the four teams in the AFC East.

This isn’t necessarily how things will turn out, of course. It’s just how it projects to turn out, using last year’s stats.

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE -- RUSHING
TeamYardsTDRFPG
Chicago29,59420916.5
Minnesota29,21520116.1
Dallas29,93118716.1
Green Bay29,01019916.0
Detroit30,11117815.9
NY Giants30,03617315.8
Philadelphia28,70719415.8
Tennessee28,57619515.7
Washington28,98018415.6
Tampa Bay27,39520315.5
Carolina27,61919715.4
Houston27,95918915.4
Seattle28,09418515.3
Jacksonville28,06918315.3
New Orleans26,34721115.2
Denver27,39219315.2
Los Angeles26,75420115.2
Oakland27,04419315.1
Atlanta27,43718515.1
Pittsburgh28,56416515.0
Arizona27,43418115.0
San Diego27,07318715.0
Kansas City26,66119314.9
Baltimore28,02416314.8
Cincinnati27,93916014.7
Indianapolis26,98617514.6
Cleveland27,65116214.6
NY Jets27,43716414.6
San Francisco26,47216714.3
Buffalo26,51115814.1
New England26,35815513.9
Miami26,34815313.9

For passing production, the easiest schedule project to belong to the Cowboys, Giants and four teams in the AFC North.

The hardest schedules belong to the Saints, 49ers and Bucs.

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE -- PASSING
TeamYardsTDPFPG
Dallas68,89449838.6
Baltimore69,33344737.6
NY Giants67,48245937.1
Cincinnati67,05146037.0
Cleveland67,97544136.9
Pittsburgh67,38944936.8
Detroit66,70745336.7
Washington67,50943036.4
Chicago66,78243136.2
Minnesota65,81443836.0
Seattle67,12441435.9
Philadelphia66,81341635.8
Green Bay65,65643435.8
San Diego65,55543535.8
Denver66,56341835.8
NY Jets66,64641535.8
Atlanta66,26042135.8
Buffalo67,07440535.7
Carolina66,17342035.7
Houston65,88141935.6
Kansas City65,90341835.5
Tennessee65,26142235.4
Los Angeles66,28340235.3
Miami65,88040535.2
Arizona66,35739735.2
Indianapolis64,73342135.2
Oakland64,51742435.1
New England65,17640635.0
Jacksonville63,74742734.9
Tampa Bay65,34239134.7
San Francisco64,73039434.5
New Orleans65,38137134.2

—Ian Allan

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