Fantasy Index

Factoid

June 12, 2016

Running backs

Can running backs from losing teams put up good numbers?

I posted the Factoid yesterday, mentioning that I like Carlos Hyde this year. A couple of guys weighed in with the question of whether Hyde can be any good, given that his team won’t be any good. A fair question (and certainly the 49ers will have a losing record) so I figured I’d take a look at just how many good running backs come from bad teams.

Below are the top 100 running backs of the last 10 years – the top-10 guys from each of the last 10 years, using standard scoring.

For each guy, you can see his total yards, touchdowns, fantasy points and the win-loss record of his team. The guys from losing records are in bold.

Of these 100 good running backs, only 32 of them came from teams with losing records. Another 19 came from teams that went 8-8 (designated with a black ball). And 49 of them – essentially half – came from teams with winning records.

So I would say that while it would be preferable if the 49ers were going to win 9-10 games, that won’t necessarily stop Carlos Hyde from being a fantasy-relevent back.

TOP 100 RUNNING BACKS OF LAST 10 YEARS
YearPlayerYardsTDPointsW-L Record
2006LaDainian Tomlinson, S.D.2,32331426.3(14-2-0)
2009Chris Johnson, Tenn.2,50916348.9(7-9-0)
2006Larry Johnson, K.C.2,19919333.9(9-7-0)
2010Arian Foster, Hou.2,22018330.0(6-10-0)
2006• Steven Jackson, St.L.2,33416329.4(8-8-0)
2013Jamaal Charles, K.C.1,98019312.0(11-5-0)
2012Adrian Peterson, Minn.2,31413311.4(7-9-0)
2007LaDainian Tomlinson, S.D.1,94918306.9(11-5-0)
2014DeMarco Murray, Dall.2,26113304.1(12-4-0)
2011Ray Rice, Balt.2,06815300.8(12-4-0)
2009Adrian Peterson, Minn.1,81918289.9(10-6-0)
2014LeVeon Bell, Pitt.2,21511287.5(11-5-0)
2008DeAngelo Williams, Car.1,63620285.6(12-4-0)
2007• Brian Westbrook, Phil.2,10412282.4(8-8-0)
2011• LeSean McCoy, Phil.1,62420282.4(8-8-0)
2013LeSean McCoy, Phil.2,14611280.6(10-6-0)
2008Michael Turner, Atl.1,74017276.0(11-5-0)
2009Maurice Jones-Drew, Jac.1,76516272.5(7-9-0)
2006Frank Gore, S.F.2,1809272.0(7-9-0)
2014Marshawn Lynch, Sea.1,67317269.3(12-4-0)
2006• Willie Parker, Pitt.1,71616267.6(8-8-0)
2013• Matt Forte, Chi.1,93312267.3(8-8-0)
2012Arian Foster, Hou.1,64117266.1(12-4-0)
2012Doug Martin, T.B.1,92612264.6(7-9-0)
2011Maurice Jones-Drew, Jac.1,98011264.0(5-11-0)
2006Brian Westbrook, Phil.1,91611257.6(10-6-0)
2011Arian Foster, Hou.1,84112256.1(10-6-0)
2009Ray Rice, Balt.2,0418252.1(9-7-0)
2012Marshawn Lynch, Sea.1,78612250.6(11-5-0)
2014Matt Forte, Chi.1,84610248.6(5-11-0)
2008Adrian Peterson, Minn.1,88510248.5(10-6-0)
2015• Devonta Freeman, Atl.1,63414247.4(8-8-0)
2012Alfred Morris, Wash.1,69013247.0(9-7-0)
2008Matt Forte, Chi.1,71512243.5(9-7-0)
2010Peyton Hillis, Clev.1,65413243.4(7-9-0)
2006• Tiki Barber, NYG2,1275242.7(8-8-0)
2008Thomas Jones, NYJ1,51915241.9(9-7-0)
2010Adrian Peterson, Minn.1,63913241.9(5-10-1)
2010Jamaal Charles, K.C.1,9358241.5(10-6-0)
2013Marshawn Lynch, Sea.1,57314241.3(13-3-0)
2014Arian Foster, Hou.1,57313239.3(9-7-0)
2007Adrian Peterson, Minn.1,60913238.9(3-13-0)
2015Adrian Peterson, Minn.1,70711236.7(11-5-0)
2013Knowshon Moreno, Den.1,58613236.6(13-3-0)
2007Joseph Addai, Ind.1,43615235.6(13-3-0)
2007Clinton Portis, Wash.1,65111235.1(3-13-0)
2014Eddie Lacy, G.B.1,56613234.6(12-4-0)
2006• Maurice Jones-Drew, Jac.1,37716233.7(8-8-0)
2010Chris Johnson, Tenn.1,60912232.9(2-14-0)
2009• Frank Gore, S.F.1,52613230.6(8-8-0)
2009Thomas Jones, Chi.1,46014230.0(7-9-0)
2010• Darren McFadden, Oak.1,66410226.4(8-8-0)
2008• Steve Slaton, Hou.1,65910225.9(8-8-0)
2008• LaDainian Tomlinson, S.D.1,53612225.6(8-8-0)
2008Clinton Portis, Wash.1,7059224.5(4-12-0)
2008Maurice Jones-Drew, Jac.1,38914222.9(5-11-0)
2012Ray Rice, Balt.1,62110222.1(10-6-0)
2010Rashard Mendenhall, Pitt.1,44013222.0(12-4-0)
2010LeSean McCoy, Phil.1,6729221.2(10-6-0)
2007Jamal Lewis, Clev.1,55211221.2(4-12-0)
2011Marshawn Lynch, Sea.1,41613219.6(7-9-0)
2009Ricky Williams, Mia.1,38513218.5(7-9-0)
2012C.J. Spiller, Buff.1,7038218.3(6-10-0)
2008Brian Westbrook, Phil.1,33814217.8(9-6-1)
2010Michael Turner, Atl.1,45612217.6(13-3-0)
2010Matt Forte, Chi.1,6169217.6(11-5-0)
2011Michael Turner, Atl.1,50811216.8(10-6-0)
2014Jamaal Charles, K.C.1,32414216.4(9-7-0)
2006• Rudi Johnson, Cin.1,43312215.3(8-8-0)
2009Ryan Grant, G.B.1,45011211.0(11-5-0)
2012Jamaal Charles, K.C.1,7456210.5(2-14-0)
2013Adrian Peterson, Minn.1,43711209.7(11-5-0)
2013Eddie Lacy, G.B.1,43511209.5(8-7-1)
2015Doug Martin, T.B.1,6737209.3(6-10-0)
2013• DeMarco Murray, Dall.1,47110207.1(8-8-0)
2012Frank Gore, S.F.1,44810204.8(11-4-1)
2012Trent Richardson, Clev.1,31712203.7(3-13-0)
2014Justin Forsett, Balt.1,5298202.9(10-6-0)
2013Chris Johnson, Tenn.1,42210202.2(3-13-0)
2009Joseph Addai, Ind.1,16413198.4(14-2-0)
2009Steven Jackson, St.L.1,7384197.8(1-15-0)
2007Marion Barber, Dall.1,25712197.7(13-3-0)
2015DeAngelo Williams, Pitt.1,27411195.4(10-6-0)
2013Reggie Bush, Det.1,5127193.2(7-9-0)
2007Willis McGahee, Balt.1,4388191.8(5-11-0)
2006Deuce McAllister, N.O.1,25511191.5(10-6-0)
2014• Lamar Miller, Mia.1,3749191.4(8-8-0)
2011Darren Sproles, N.O.1,31310191.3(13-3-0)
2011• Ryan Mathews, S.D.1,5466190.6(8-8-0)
2007Frank Gore, S.F.1,5386189.8(5-11-0)
2015Todd Gurley, St.L.1,29410189.4(7-9-0)
2011Adrian Peterson, Minn.1,10913188.9(5-10-1)
2014Jeremy Hill, Cin.1,3399187.9(10-5-1)
2011• Michael Bush, Oak.1,3958187.5(8-8-0)
2015Lamar Miller, Mia.1,26910186.9(6-10-0)
2007• Edgerrin James, Ariz.1,4267184.6(8-8-0)
2015David Johnson, Ariz.1,03813181.8(13-3-0)
2015Chris Ivory, NYJ1,2878176.7(10-6-0)
2015Matt Forte, Chi.1,2877172.7(6-10-0)
2015Latavius Murray, Oak.1,2986165.8(7-9-0)

—Ian Allan

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