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Raiders kicking Jano to the curb

Sebastian Janikowski headed for free agency

NFL teams looking for a kicker can start considering Sebastian Janikowski. The Raiders have informed the long-time veteran that he’s not in their plans for 2018, according to an ESPN report.

Janikowski, who’ll be 40 next month, spent all of last year on injured reserve. The Raiders intend to cut him loose, making him an unrestricted free agent, a source tells Adam Schefter.

It’s not surprising. I expect some teams will want to kick the tires, but I have long considered Janikowski to be one of the most overrated players at that position. He’s been one of the highest-paid kickers for years, but he’s never been quite as accurate as the top-tier options.

Over the last five years, Janikowski has converted under 80 percent of his field goals, worst in the league among the 25 kickers with at least 100 attempts. Lower even than the likes of Blair Walsh, Mike Nugent and Randy Bullock.

FIELD GOAL ACCURACY (last 5 years)
PlayerFGFGAPct
Stephen Gostkowski17018691.40%
Justin Tucker17219190.05%
Steven Hauschka12614090.00%
Adam Vinatieri14616389.57%
Robbie Gould11713189.31%
Matt Bryant13515388.24%
Matt Prater12914787.76%
Dan Bailey12514387.41%
Dan Carpenter10912686.51%
Graham Gano14216685.54%
Nick Novak11813885.51%
Mason Crosby12514785.03%
Ryan Succop11213284.85%
Greg Zuerlein12715084.67%
Kai Forbath9911784.62%
Phil Dawson13115584.52%
Chandler Catanzaro10312284.43%
Cairo Santos9010784.11%
Nick Folk11113383.46%
Randy Bullock10112282.79%
Caleb Sturgis11113781.02%
Mike Nugent10112580.80%
Brandon McManus9211480.70%
Blair Walsh11914979.87%
Sebastian Janikowski9011379.65%

Janikowski has hit a lot of long-range field goals during his career, but he’s actually been overrated in that regard as well – not any more accurate on those kicks than most of the league’s other kickers.

Over the past five years, for example, 33 kickers have attempted at least 10 field goals from 50-plus yards. Only three of those kickers have been less accurate on those long-range kicks.

50-YARD FIELD GOALS (last 5 years)
PlayerFGFGAPct
Steven Hauschka121485.71%
Stephen Gostkowski162080.00%
Josh Brown81080.00%
Adam Vinatieri232979.31%
Matt Prater283677.78%
Robbie Gould141877.78%
Matt Bryant243275.00%
Phil Dawson182572.00%
Dan Bailey223170.97%
Justin Tucker294367.44%
Dan Carpenter142166.67%
Nick Folk111764.71%
Josh Scobee71163.64%
Mason Crosby152462.50%
Kai Forbath101662.50%
Graham Gano122060.00%
Josh Lambo61060.00%
Greg Zuerlein172958.62%
Wil Lutz71258.33%
Patrick Murray71258.33%
Nick Novak111957.89%
Blair Walsh142556.00%
Randy Bullock61154.55%
Connor Barth61154.55%
Caleb Sturgis132454.17%
Chandler Catanzaro71353.85%
Cairo Santos71353.85%
Jason Myers101952.63%
Brandon McManus112152.38%
Sebastian Janikowski132552.00%
Ryan Succop91947.37%
Mike Nugent61442.86%
Dustin Hopkins51338.46%

Way back when, the Raiders used a first-round pick on Janikowski. In hindsight, the smarter move would have been to simply hang onto Phil Dawson (who was on their roster in 1998 and has had a far more impressive career).

—Ian Allan

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