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The Book On Eli

Giants sticking with Manning for another season

The Giants gave Eli Manning a $5 million bonus. Looks like they’re going to pay him $17 million this year, and it looks like he’s going to get another season as a starter. (We’ll see what the do in the draft; maybe they draft a quarterback who takes over during the season.)

Manning is 38, and one narrative is that he simply can’t play anymore. He’s lost some arm strength, hurting his ability to connect on long passes. He has no mobility, making it tough for him to buy time when pass protection starts breaking down. And he’s never been an accurate passer.

Over the last two years, he’s 8-23 as a starter. That’s worst among all quarterbacks who’ve started at least half the time.

WIN-LOSS RECORDS SINCE 2017
PlayerWLTPct
Drew Brees2470.774
Jared Goff2470.774
Patrick Mahomes1340.765
Tom Brady2480.750
Ben Roethlisberger2191.694
Carson Wentz1680.667
Philip Rivers21110.656
Deshaun Watson1480.636
Andrew Luck1060.625
Alex Smith15100.600
Dak Prescott19130.594
Russell Wilson19130.594
Mitchell Trubisky15110.577
Marcus Mariota16120.571
Case Keenum17130.567
Cam Newton17130.567
Tyrod Taylor971.559
Matt Ryan17150.531
Joe Flacco13120.520
Kirk Cousins15161.484
Matthew Stafford15170.469
Blake Bortles13150.464
Aaron Rodgers10121.457
Andy Dalton12150.444
Derek Carr10210.323
Josh McCown5110.313
Jameis Winston6160.273
Eli Manning8230.258

But as I pick through his stats from 2018, they’re not as bad as I expected. I completed 66 percent of his passes; that’s the highest of his career. He finished with the lowest interception rate of his career. And he averaged 7.5 yards per attempt, his best since the 2011 season.

Like the offense around him, Manning got better in the second half of the season, after they started feeding the ball more to Saquon Barkley. The Giants averaged 58 fewer passing yards per game in those final eight games, but with Manning throwing 13 TDs versus only 5 interceptions.

And the offense was working. New York got shut out by Tennessee, but that was its only poor effort in the second half of the season. It lost 25-22 at Philadelphia and scored at least 27 points in each of its other six final games. The Giants averaged 27.4 points in the second half of the season; only four teams scored more. That’s a nice turnaround from the first eight games, when they averaged only 18.8 (with only five teams scoring fewer).

Not that Manning is great (certainly not a guy anybody should be drafting in a fantasy league). But he played well enough in the second half of the year that I don’t think it would have made sense to replace him with somebody along the lines of Joe Flacco, Case Keenum or Nick Foles.

—Ian Allan

Fantasy Index