Fantasy Index Blackout

December 13, 2022

A big week for conventional wisdom

What a week for the wisdom of crowds! A lineup composed of the players picked most often in Blackout last week would have outscored all but four of the entries. The best of those four was Jack Silverman of Mendota Heights, Minn., whose 249.15 points was only 8 points more than the Wisdom Of Crowds lineup. We're sending him a $25 Fantasy Index gift certificate nonetheless. Click through to see his winning lineup, the perfect lineup for the week, the most frequently picked players, and the overall top 25.

Enter now for Week 15 at https://fantasyindex.com/members/competitions/2022/blackout/.

So what moves did Jack make to outscore the crowd? Jack chose:

Christian McCaffrey (29.3) instead of Austin Ekeler (24.4);
Tyler Lockett (17.0) instead of DeAndre Hopkins (14.9); and
Daniel Carlson and Harrison Butker (20) instead of Brett Maher and Justin Tucker (19)

Week 14 highest score
Jack Silverman, Mendota Heights, Minn., - "Douches"
(Maximum-points picks in bold)
Pos	Name	Team	Score
QB	Jalen Hurts	PHI	32.55
QB	Patrick Mahomes	KC	29.30
RB	Christian McCaffrey	SF	29.30
RB	Derrick Henry	TEN	24.50
WR	A.J. Brown	PHI	17.00
WR	JaMarr Chase	CIN	28.50
WR	Tyler Lockett	SEA	17.00
TE	T.J. Hockenson	MIN	13.70
TE	Pat Freiermuth	PIT	12.30
PK	Daniel Carlson	LV	10.00
PK	Harrison Butker	KC	10.00
ST	Kansas City	KC	16.00
ST	Philadelphia	PHI	9.00
	Total		249.15

Week 14 perfect score
(Blackouts in ~~strikethrough~~)
Pos	Name	Team	Score
QB	Trevor Lawrence	JAC	37.10
QB	Jalen Hurts	PHI	32.55
RB	Jerick McKinnon	KC	32.40
RB	Christian McCaffrey	SF	29.30
WR	Jerry Jeudy	DEN	33.30
WR	~~Justin Jefferson~~	~~MIN~~	~~33.30~~
WR	JaMarr Chase	CIN	28.50
WR	JuJu Smith-Schuster	KC	22.40
TE	Evan Engram	JAC	39.20
TE	David Njoku	CLE	18.70
PK	Eddy Pineiro	CAR	12.00
PK	Riley Patterson	JAC	12.00
PK	Jake Elliott	PHI	12.00
ST	Kansas City	KC	16.00
ST	New England	NE	16.00
	Total		329.45

The Wisdom of Crowds score was 96.8 percent of the high score for the week -- by far the highest percentage we've ever seen. That figure is almost always between 75-85 percent.

Week 14 Wisdom Of Crowds score
(Maximum-points picks in bold)
Pos	Name	Team	Score
QB	Jalen Hurts	PHI	32.55
QB	Patrick Mahomes	KC	29.30
RB	Austin Ekeler	LAC	24.40
RB	Derrick Henry	TEN	24.50
WR	JaMarr Chase	CIN	28.50
WR	A.J. Brown	PHI	17.00
WR	DeAndre Hopkins	ARI	14.90
TE	T.J. Hockenson	MIN	13.70
TE	Pat Freiermuth	PIT	12.30
PK	Brett Maher	DAL	9.00
PK	Justin Tucker	BAL	10.00
ST	Philadelphia	PHI	9.00
ST	Kansas City	KC	16.00
	Total		241.15

We have a new leader in the overall chase. Mark Christie leapfrogged Steve Klitzner. He leads by 1.6 points, or .055516 percent. That's about 1/20th of 1 percent -- sort of like the cash value of a grocery store coupon.

Top 25 overall after the Week 14 games
Rk	Last	Pts	Team	Owner	Hometown
1.	2.	2883.65	Renegades	Mark Christie	Fairport, NY
2.	1.	2882.05	Steve K.	Steve Klitzner	Miami, FL
3.	3.	2851.95	Ralph C.	Ralph Cunningham	Owasso, OK
4.	4.	2841.50	Bellview Bashers	Treavor Phipps	Salem, IN
5.	5.	2834.85	Travis P.	Travis Perry	Coeburn, VA
6.	9.	2811.80	CRAIG MACHINE	Craig Smith	Humble, TX
7.	12.	2809.70	Henne to Manningham	Michael Garves	La Crosse, WI
8.	11.	2807.30	Bob R.	Bob Reck	MUKWONAGO, WI
9.	6.	2807.25	Mike T.	Mike Taylor	Meridian, ID
10.	8.	2805.45	DT BOMBERS	Dennis Thomas	Royal Oaks, CA
11.	13.	2804.60	SA Maddogs	Micahel Espinosa	Helotes, TX
12.	15.	2799.45	18 rocks	Brad Dengler	Morton, WA
13.	7.	2790.85	Paulie's Playhouse	Paul Grubb	Timnath, CO
14.	14.	2790.30	Steven H.	Steven Hecker	Powell, OH
15.	20.	2784.30	Last Call	Steve Brun	Beavercreek, OH
16.	17.	2779.50	Crushers	James Zabloudil	Plainfield, IL
17.	10.	2778.90	@AngryMoose1	Ben MacLeod	Concord, NH
18.	23.	2776.45	For Who? For What?	Steve Knight	West Chester, PA
19.	25.	2768.45	DeutschlandEXPRESS	Paul Deutsch	Sioux Falls, SD
20.	18.	2765.15	SHAMROCKS	Robert Cassidy	Florence, OR
21.	24.	2760.00	FIUSER0824	Victor Kitzes	Black Diamond, WA
22.	22.	2759.90	Naugatuck Riverrattlers	Chris Bielik	Beacon Falls, CT
23.	27.	2753.80	Saquon Destroy	Michael Livengood	Ward, AR
24.	31.	2753.25	Steven T.	Steven Torres	Nipomo, CA
25.	30.	2752.80	Scott K	Scott Kaliska	Winnipeg, MB

Weekly scoring leaders, 2022 season
Week	Name	Hometown	Team	Points	Perfect score	Pct Perfect
14	Jack Silverman	Mendota Heights, Minn.	Douches	249.15	329.45	75.6%
13	Michael Espinosa	Helotes, Texas	SA Maddogs	236.30	322.90	73.2%
12	Fred Wright	New Palestine, Ind.	Newpal	255.15	314.95	81.0%
11	Marc DeStefano	King Of Prussia, Pa.	Marc D.	235.85	331.80	71.1%
10	Ed Burke	Clifton Heights, Pa.	Ed From Philly	237.00	322.75	73.4%
9	David Weissmiller	Mount Carroll, Ill.	Joe Kapp	269.05	355.25	75.7%
8	Robert Cassidy	Florence, Ore	SHAMROCKS	297.00	345.20	86.0%
7	John Yert	Kirtland, Ohio	YRTY	198.25	305.45	64.9%
6	Bob Adelman	St. Louis, Mo.	Bob A.	216.90	297.25	73.0%
5	Scott Behiel	Angels Camp, Calif.	ScottBLucky	227.15	322.85	70.4%
4	Robert Cassidy	Florence, Ore	SHAMROCKS	265.40	340.90	77.9%
3	Jason Schuetz	Fort Collins, Colo.	Jason S.	220.00	294.40	74.7%
2	Chris Hertzberg	Austin, Texas	Austin Oh-Fers	282.65	389.25	72.6%
1	John Wulf	Williamsville, N.Y.	Wulfpack	229.25	292.65	78.3%

It's hard to know how many players to black out. Does the crowd just pick the next-highest player in the Fantasy Index rankings? JaMarr Chase appeared in almost 75 percent of lineups, and he was a maximum points player. Contrarians who chose his teammates Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd choked on donuts.

Percentage of Week 14 lineups that included the player
Pct	Score	Name	Pos	Team
74.5%	13.70	T.J. Hockenson	TE	MIN
74.5%	28.50	JaMarr Chase	WR	CIN
53.2%	17.00	A.J. Brown	WR	PHI
51.3%	12.30	Pat Freiermuth	TE	PIT
47.9%	32.55	Jalen Hurts	QB	PHI
43.5%	24.40	Austin Ekeler	RB	LAC
39.7%	9.00	Philadelphia	ST	PHI
38.6%	29.30	Patrick Mahomes	QB	KC
37.1%	24.50	Derrick Henry	RB	TEN
36.7%	16.00	Kansas City	ST	KC
34.5%	20.95	Joe Burrow	QB	CIN
32.6%	14.90	DeAndre Hopkins	WR	ARI
31.5%	9.00	Brett Maher	PK	DAL
31.1%	29.30	Christian McCaffrey	RB	SF
29.2%	10.00	Justin Tucker	PK	BAL
28.1%	5.10	Jaylen Waddle	WR	MIA
27.7%	8.00	Tyler Bass	PK	BUF
27.0%	10.00	Harrison Butker	PK	KC
21.7%	14.05	Tua Tagovailoa	QB	MIA
20.6%	18.10	DK Metcalf	WR	SEA
19.9%	10.00	Daniel Carlson	PK	LV
19.9%	22.20	Tony Pollard	RB	DAL
18.7%	3.00	Rhamondre Stevenson	RB	NE
18.4%	6.80	George Kittle	TE	SF
17.6%	2.00	Pittsburgh	ST	PIT
16.5%	8.00	Buffalo	ST	BUF
16.5%	6.00	San Francisco	ST	SF
15.7%	5.00	Evan McPherson	PK	CIN
15.4%	8.00	Baltimore	ST	BAL
15.4%	21.20	Keenan Allen	WR	LAC
14.6%	7.20	Greg Dulcich	TE	DEN
14.2%	17.00	Tyler Lockett	WR	SEA
13.1%	10.60	Dalvin Cook	RB	MIN
12.7%	23.15	Justin Herbert	QB	LAC
12.4%	2.00	Seattle	ST	SEA
11.2%	13.80	Garrett Wilson	WR	NYJ
10.9%	29.40	Jared Goff	QB	DET
10.1%	6.00	Jason Myers	PK	SEA
9.4%	7.80	Gerald Everett	TE	LAC
8.6%	10.40	Chris Godwin	WR	TB
8.2%	6.00	Las Vegas	ST	LV
7.9%	12.60	Joe Mixon	RB	CIN
7.9%	16.00	New England	ST	NE
7.9%	9.50	Christian Kirk	WR	JAC
7.5%	10.00	Michael Badgley	PK	DET
7.5%	29.25	Kirk Cousins	QB	MIN
7.5%	4.00	Cincinnati	ST	CIN
7.1%	9.00	Nick Folk	PK	NE
7.1%	10.00	Hunter Henry	TE	NE
7.1%	0.00	Tee Higgins	WR	CIN
6.7%	27.20	Geno Smith	QB	SEA
6.0%	20.50	Dak Prescott	QB	DAL
5.6%	8.40	Nick Chubb	RB	CLE
4.9%	16.40	Deebo Samuel	WR	SF
4.5%	5.00	Jason Sanders	PK	MIA
4.5%	0.00	Tennessee	ST	TEN
3.8%	8.50	D'Onta Foreman	RB	CAR
3.8%	6.90	D'Andre Swift	RB	DET
3.4%	4.00	Miami	ST	MIA
3.4%	2.00	Tampa Bay	ST	TB
3.0%	7.95	Derek Carr	QB	LV
2.6%	5.00	Robbie Gould	PK	SF
2.6%	5.00	Greg Joseph	PK	MIN
2.6%	6.80	Saquon Barkley	RB	NYG
2.6%	0.00	Minnesota	ST	MIN
2.6%	18.70	David Njoku	TE	CLE
2.6%	18.50	Chigoziem Okonkwo	TE	TEN
2.3%	14.10	Dawson Knox	TE	BUF
2.3%	0.00	Mike Gesicki	TE	MIA
1.9%	12.00	Jake Elliott	PK	PHI
1.9%	4.00	Greg Zuerlein	PK	NYJ
1.9%	7.50	Tyler Huntley	QB	BAL
1.9%	0.75	Kyler Murray	QB	ARI
1.9%	12.30	Isiah Pacheco	RB	KC
1.9%	39.20	Evan Engram	TE	JAC
1.5%	11.00	Cameron Dicker	PK	LAC
1.5%	1.00	Ryan Succop	PK	TB
1.5%	17.10	Ezekiel Elliott	RB	DAL
1.5%	4.90	Daniel Bellinger	TE	NYG
1.5%	0.00	Foster Moreau	TE	LV
1.5%	0.00	Noah Fant	TE	SEA
1.5%	33.30	Jerry Jeudy	WR	DEN
1.5%	6.10	Gabe Davis	WR	BUF
1.1%	28.50	Miles Sanders	RB	PHI
1.1%	8.00	Denver	ST	DEN
1.1%	0.00	Isaiah Likely	TE	BAL
1.1%	17.40	DeVonta Smith	WR	PHI
1.1%	13.70	Brandon Aiyuk	WR	SF
1.1%	8.40	Mike Evans	WR	TB
1.1%	6.00	Michael Gallup	WR	DAL
1.1%	4.40	DeVante Parker	WR	NE
1.1%	0.60	DJ Moore	WR	CAR
0.8%	5.00	Matt Gay	PK	LAR
0.8%	4.00	Brandon McManus	PK	DEN
0.8%	2.00	Randy Bullock	PK	TEN
0.8%	2.00	Graham Gano	PK	NYG
0.8%	23.55	Brock Purdy	QB	SF
0.8%	3.70	Jamaal Williams	RB	DET
0.8%	2.60	Jeff Wilson	RB	MIA
0.8%	8.00	Detroit	ST	DET
0.8%	5.00	N.Y. Jets	ST	NYJ
0.8%	3.00	Arizona	ST	ARI
0.8%	6.80	Cade Otton	TE	TB
0.8%	5.80	Trey McBride	TE	ARI
0.8%	19.50	Adam Thielen	WR	MIN
0.8%	19.40	D. Peoples-Jones	WR	CLE
0.8%	10.80	George Pickens	WR	PIT
0.8%	6.20	Amari Cooper	WR	CLE
0.4%	12.00	Eddy Pineiro	PK	CAR
0.4%	0.00	Matthew Wright	PK	PIT
0.4%	30.05	Russell Wilson	QB	DEN
0.4%	21.05	Daniel Jones	QB	NYG
0.4%	16.65	Tom Brady	QB	TB
0.4%	13.40	Mike White	QB	NYJ
0.4%	23.40	James Conner	RB	ARI
0.4%	13.80	Dameon Pierce	RB	HOU
0.4%	5.40	Raheem Mostert	RB	MIA
0.4%	3.20	Travis Etienne	RB	JAC
0.4%	3.20	Kareem Hunt	RB	CLE
0.4%	2.50	James Cook	RB	BUF
0.4%	0.00	Damien Harris	RB	NE
0.4%	7.00	Carolina	ST	CAR
0.4%	4.00	L.A. Rams	ST	LAR
0.4%	7.80	Tyler Conklin	TE	NYJ
0.4%	3.10	Tyler Higbee	TE	LAR
0.4%	1.70	C.J. Uzomah	TE	NYJ
0.4%	1.50	Jordan Akins	TE	HOU
0.4%	22.40	JuJu Smith-Schuster	WR	KC
0.4%	21.70	Zay Jones	WR	JAC
0.4%	9.30	Joshua Palmer	WR	LAC
0.4%	0.00	Tyler Boyd	WR	CIN
0.4%	0.00	Jakobi Meyers	WR	NE
0.4%	0.00	Treylon Burks	WR	TEN

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A little feedback from a long time customer.

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