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LA Chargers

Receiver subtractions move Johnston into the spotlight

Keenan Allen is gone. Mike Williams is gone. And the focus shifts to Quentin Johnston. It sure would be nice for the Chargers if he emerges as a viable receiver.

The first-year production was underwhelming. He had plenty of opportunities to contribute and didn’t do much with them. He caught only 38 of the 67 passes thrown his way, with 2 TDs. There was a big drop late at Green Bay that salted away a loss.

Making things more painful, when the Chargers selected him with the 21st pick, there were other options available. The next two picks were also wide receivers, and both had great rookie seasons – Zay Flowers and Jordan Addison. Rashee Rice and Jayden Reed were both chosen in the second round.

Jim Harbaugh is familiar with Johnston. Johnston’s most notable game came when he led Texas Christian to a win over Michigan in a national semifinal game a year ago. Johnston caught 6 passes for 163 yards in that game, including a crossing route that turned into a long touchdown. No doubt they’ll be giving him every opportunity to turn things around.

While Johnston at this point doesn’t look particularly compelling, it’s not unusual for receivers to ignite after a year or two.

Below see the list of the 29 wide receivers in the 32-team era who’ve put up rookie numbers comparable to Johnston. These are all players who finished within 10 points of Johnston (using PPR scoring). None of these receivers was a huge star in their second season, but six finished between 17th and 26th in production. I’ve got those guys tagged with black dots.

Another four put up top-40 numbers. Another four put up good numbers later in their career (Davante Adams and Roddy White moved up to the elite level, while Sidney Rice and DeVante Parker had some success.

I’m not a big Johnston fan. I don’t expect I’ll be considering to draft him in any leagues this year. But the possibility can’t be ignored.

In the chart, I stuck with players selected in the first three rounds. That allowed me to avoid listing the likes of Trent Taylor, Brandon Coleman and Malcolm Mitchell (who didn’t even play in his second year). But Romeo Doubs and Rashid Shaheed, who both came in around 40th in their second season, also got trimmed.

SLOW-STARTING ROOKIE RECEIVERS
YearPlayerNoYdsTDPPRNext YrRk
2002Deion Branch, N.E.434892103.957-803-336
2002Ashley Lelie, Den.355252103.537-628-256
2021Rashod Bateman, Balt.465151103.515-285-2111
2018Dante Pettis, S.F.274675103.511-109-2133
2002Jabar Gaffney, Hou.414831103.334-402-279
2005• Braylon Edwards, Cle.325123101.261-884-626
2018TreQuan Smith, N.O.284275100.718-234-591
2014Davante Adams, G.B.384463100.650-483-169
2002Josh Reed, Buff.37509299.958-588-244
2007Sidney Rice, Min.31396499.315-141-494
2020• Michael Pittman, Ind.40503198.988-1082-618
2018• Michael Gallup, Dall.33507297.766-1107-624
2010Brandon LaFell, Car.38468196.836-613-360
2014Donte Moncrief, Ind.32444396.164-733-637
2017• Kenny Golladay, Det.28477394.670-1063-522
2007Ted Ginn, Mia.34420294.356-790-233
2022Treylon Burks, Ten.33444194.116-221-0124
2023Quentin Johnston, LAC38431294.0?-?-??
2015DeVante Parker, Mia.26494393.456-744-450
2016Corey Coleman, Cle.33413393.323-305-292
2021Josh Palmer, LAC33353492.972-769-337
2005Roddy White, Atl.29446392.830-506-078
2017• Chris Godwin, T.B.34525192.559-842-725
2020KJ Hamler, Den.30381390.15-74-0174
2020Henry Ruggs, L.V.26452288.124-469-286
2020Jalen Reagor, Phil.31396187.233-299-296
2007Laurent Robinson, Atl.37437186.75-52-0149
2003• Nate Burleson, Min.29455286.568-1006-917
2014Marqise Lee, Jac.37422186.115-191-1118
2003Bryant Johnson, Ari.35438184.849-537-159
2023Jonathan Mingo, Car.43418084.8?-?-??

—Ian Allan

Fantasy Index