Factoid

April 14, 2024

Brock Purdy

Seventh-rounder a rare hit

I've got Brock Purdy as one of my two quarterbacks in my main dynasty league; the other is Kyler Murray. Since Murray was a first overall pick, it's weird to think that Purdy might be the more valuable dynasty quarterback. But he had a pretty remarkable season last year.

Purdy's 4,280 passing yards and 33 total touchdowns ranked him 7th among quarterbacks in typical fantasy leagues. This century, there have been only three other quarterbacks selected in the 7th round to finish with top-12 fantasy numbers in a season: Ryan Fitzpatrick (who did it multiple times), and Matt Cassel and Tyler Thigpen, who did it once each.

It's not just rare for 7th-rounders to hit; it's rare for any quarterbacks selected outside the fourth round. (The fourth round isn't particularly common either, but there a couple of those guys starting in the league these days, Kirk Cousins and Dak Prescott.) The only 5th-rounders to put up top-12 fantasy numbers in a season this century are Mark Brunell and Sam Howell (last year). Not many 6th-rounders: Tom Brady, many times, and Matt Hasselbeck, Marc Bulger and Derek Anderson.

There are more players who weren't drafted at all (a group that Purdy was just one pick away from joining) who have made it since 200o than 7th-rounders. That's a group that includes Kurt Warner, Tony Romo, Jeff Garcia and a couple of other guys. Some good examples, it seems, that Purdy should have more good years coming up (more reasonable to compare him to someone like Romo than Tyler Thigpen).

Table shows the best fantasy seasons from quarterbacks selected after the 4th round (or undrafted) since 2000, sorted by fantasy points.

BEST QBS DRAFTED RD 5 ON (OR UNDRAFTED), 2000-PRESENT
Rd	Year	Player	Pass	TD	Int	Run	TD	FPts	Rk
6	2007	Tom Brady, N.E.	4806	50	8	98	2	462.1	1
6	2021	Tom Brady, T.B.	5316	43	12	81	2	457.9	3
6	2011	Tom Brady, N.E.	5235	39	12	109	3	446.7	4
6	2015	Tom Brady, N.E.	4770	36	7	53	3	410.4	2
6	2020	Tom Brady, T.B.	4633	40	12	6	3	410.3	7
FA	2000	Jeff Garcia, S.F.	4278	31	10	414	4	405.3	2
6	2012	Tom Brady, N.E.	4827	34	8	32	4	404.6	3
FA	2001	Kurt Warner, St.L.	4830	36	22	60	0	393.5	1
FA	2007	Tony Romo, Dall.	4211	36	19	129	2	379.5	2
FA	2012	Tony Romo, Dall.	4903	28	19	49	1	373.0	7
7	2023	Brock Purdy, S.F.	4280	31	11	144	2	364.4	7
FA	2001	Jeff Garcia, S.F.	3538	32	12	254	5	364.3	2
6	2017	Tom Brady, N.E.	4577	32	8	28	0	363.7	3
7	2015	Ryan Fitzpatrick, NYJ	3905	31	15	270	2	358.3	12
FA	2008	Kurt Warner, Ari.	4583	30	14	-2	0	351.0	4
8	2004	Trent Green, K.C.	4591	27	17	85	0	348.1	4
6	2010	Tom Brady, N.E.	3900	36	4	30	1	348.0	6
FA	2009	Tony Romo, Dall.	4483	26	9	105	1	344.7	5
6	2022	Tom Brady, T.B.	4694	25	9	-1	1	344.6	10
6	2009	Tom Brady, N.E.	4398	28	13	44	1	344.3	6
FA	2011	Tony Romo, Dall.	4184	31	10	46	1	343.8	9
6	2014	Tom Brady, N.E.	4109	33	9	57	0	343.2	11
5	2023	Sam Howell, Was.	3946	21	21	263	5	343.0	11
8	2000	Elvis Grbac, K.C.	4169	28	14	110	1	337.5	6
6	2007	Derek Anderson, Cle.	3787	29	19	70	3	332.4	5
FA	2004	Jake Delhomme, Car.	3886	29	15	71	1	327.4	7
6	2005	Tom Brady, N.E.	4110	26	14	89	1	324.4	2
6	2013	Tom Brady, N.E.	4343	25	11	18	0	323.0	11
FA	2006	Jon Kitna, Det.	4208	21	22	156	2	322.0	3
6	2007	Matt Hasselbeck, Sea.	3966	28	12	89	0	321.2	6
6	2002	Tom Brady, N.E.	3764	28	14	110	1	321.2	8
6	2003	Matt Hasselbeck, Sea.	3841	26	15	125	2	320.6	3
8	2002	Trent Green, K.C.	3690	26	13	225	1	319.0	9
8	2003	Trent Green, K.C.	4039	24	12	83	2	318.3	4
6	2006	Marc Bulger, St.L.	4301	24	8	44	0	317.5	5
6	2003	Marc Bulger, St.L.	3845	22	22	75	4	313.8	5
FA	2002	Jeff Garcia, S.F.	3344	21	10	353	3	312.5	10
7	2008	Matt Cassel, N.E.	3693	21	11	270	2	311.7	8
6	2004	Marc Bulger, St.L.	3964	21	14	89	3	311.1	9
7	2011	Ryan Fitzpatrick, Buff.	3832	24	23	215	0	311.1	11
FA	2001	Jay Fiedler, Mia.	3290	20	19	321	4	300.6	9
9	2003	Brad Johnson, T.B.	3811	26	21	33	0	299.7	9
5	2000	Mark Brunell, Jac.	3640	20	14	236	2	299.6	7
6	2004	Tom Brady, N.E.	3692	28	14	28	0	299.4	10
FA	2003	Jon Kitna, Cin.	3591	26	15	113	0	294.9	10
6	2005	Matt Hasselbeck, Sea.	3459	24	9	124	1	287.4	6
6	2006	Tom Brady, N.E.	3529	24	12	102	0	286.7	7
FA	2007	Kurt Warner, Ari.	3417	27	17	15	1	286.4	10
6	2003	Tom Brady, N.E.	3620	23	12	63	1	285.3	11
FA	2008	Tony Romo, Dall.	3448	26	14	41	0	280.5	10
8	2001	Trent Green, K.C.	3783	17	24	158	0	280.1	11
8	2005	Trent Green, K.C.	4014	17	10	82	0	278.9	9
7	2008	Tyler Thigpen, K.C.	2608	18	12	386	3	271.7	12
FA	2007	Jon Kitna, Det.	4068	18	20	63	0	283.6	11
FA	2005	Jake Delhomme, Car.	3421	24	16	31	1	276.2	12
FA	2003	Jeff Garcia, S.F.	2704	18	13	319	7	284.7	12

For now I'll be hanging onto both Purdy and Kyler. Arizona seems committed to him, and just maybe they'll be using the 4th overall pick on a franchise wideout to help him take another step up next year. Or maybe they'll shock us all and draft a quarterback, in which case I'll be very glad I have Purdy. I see no reason to think he won't keep things going over the next few years.

--Andy Richardson

Brock Purdy

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