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Andy Richardson

Index Bets: Giving Javonte one more chance

Bet modest over on Broncos back

Last year we started a separate weekly newsletter during the season. Index Bets looks at the week's games from a gambling perspective: best overs, unders and prop bets each week. Hit rate has crept up nicely over the first three weeks, as the season starts to take shape.

Below is sneak peek at a couple of examples from the two dozen or so recommendations for this week. You can purchase Index Bets at the Fantasy Index Store -- by the month, or for the entire season. Happy betting, and good luck! (Please bet responsibly.)

  • I know Javonte Williams has struggled, and the Broncos have worked Tyler Badie into the mix. But Javonte should get one more week as the main guy, and this is a workable matchup (at the Jets). While New York has a great defense, it's allowed at least 130 rushing yards twice in three games (the exception was the Patriots, and their offense barely counts). Williams has a rushing over-under at DraftKings of just 28.5, which is awfully low for a starting running back (which I still believe he is); low even for a committee back.

  • The Colts, meanwhile, have one of the best backs in Jonathan Taylor, but he’s facing one of the best defenses so far this year in the Steelers. It’s going to be hard for him to find much room to work with, but his rushing/receiving yardage over-under is 89.5. Talented guy, but that number is too high against a defense played as well as Pittsburgh.

Available now at the Fantasy Index Store! You purchase a downloadable PDF newsletter there, or buy it for the next month or rest of the season and get it emailed to you every Thursday morning.

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