Fantasy Index

Factoid

Looking for nobody running backs

Sometimes it's better to go undrafted

It’s fun to kick around the potential of the later-round running backs. Devin Neal (Saints) and Kyle Monangai (Bears) are in the group. There’s not much in front of them, making it reasonable to wonder if they might get on the field.

In the case of Monangai (pictured), he played his college ball at Rutgers. The last seventh-round rookie running back to make much of an impact came from that school (Isiah Pacheco). Monangai was a much better college player, while Pacheco came out with better physical traits.

But hitting on later-round running backs is notoriously tough.

With the numbers in front of me, I see that there’s actually been fewer notable running backs drafted in late rounds than ones that weren’t even drafted at all.

In the last 10 years, there’s been only one running back selected in the seventh round who’s put up top-50 stats in his first season (Pacheco). And there’s been only one who was selected in the sixth round (Elijah Mitchell). That’s using PPR scoring.

But there have been 10 such backs who signed as free agents, with James Robinson and Phillip Lindsay leading the way.

Undrafted running backs also have outperformed those selected in the fifth round. Tyrone Tracy had a good rookie season for the Giants last year, but only four others have posted top-50 stats in their rookie season.

When we get up into the fourth round, that’s where it flips, with running backs in that group able to outperform what’s simply available on the street.

Finding these nobodies, of course, is difficult. For myself, I think it comes down to waiting to see them do something of note in a preseason game. James Robinson, Phillip Lindsay and Jaleel McLaughlin definitely fit that profile – they made it known they were something in August.

And these guys tend to come from less-heralded schools. Of the 10 best undrafted running backs listed below, only two came from major schools. Lindsay was productive at Colorado but was ridiculously small. Warren weighed 215 and had some production at Oklahoma State – he shouldn’t have been overlooked.

For each of the below charts, you’re seeing the 10 most productive picks of the last 10 years, using PPR scoring.

BEST 10 UNDRAFTED RUNNING BACKS
YearPlayerRunRecTotTDPPRRk
2020James Robinson, Jac.1,0703441,41410252.47
2018Phillip Lindsay, Den.1,0372411,27810222.813
2015Charcandrick West, K.C.6342148485134.835
2015Thomas Rawls, Sea.830769065129.637
2016Robert Kelley, Was.704827867132.638
2016Jalen Richard, Oak.4911946853115.542
2017Austin Ekeler, LAC2602795395110.944
2023Jaleel McLaughlin, Den.4101605703106.046
2022Jaylen Warren, Pitt.379214593193.347
2017Matt Breida, S.F.4651806453103.547
Avg10 best backs628198826514035
7TH ROUND, BEST 10 RUNNING BACKS
YearPlayerRunRecTotTDPPRRk
2022Isiah Pacheco, K.C.8301309605139.037
2016Dwayne Washington, Det.26562327148.774
2018Justin Jackson, LAC206135341261.175
2017Chris Carson, Sea.20859267139.786
2019Myles Gaskin, Mia.13351184131.490
2020Malcolm Perry, Mia.59297124.799
2021Eno Benjamin, Ari.11842160128.0100
2021Jermar Jefferson, Det.742397225.7102
2022Zander Horvath, LAC8816218.6107
2019Kerrith Whyte, Pitt.1229131014.1107
Avg10 best backs1966125814387
6TH ROUND, BEST 10 RUNNING BACKS
YearPlayerRunRecTotTDPPRRk
2021Elijah Mitchell, S.F.9631371,1006165.026
2017Elijah McGuire, NYJ315177492280.262
2021Khalil Herbert, Chi.43396529278.963
2019Ty Johnson, Det.273109382062.266
2023Chris Rodriguez, Was.24712259239.977
2021Demetric Felton, Cle.24181205250.579
2018Trenton Cannon, NYJ113144257148.780
2021Chris Evans, Cin.77151228249.883
2024Kimani Vidal, LAC15562217132.784
2019Darwin Thompson, K.C.12843171132.188
Avg10 best backs27211138416470
5TH ROUND, BEST 10 RUNNING BACKS
YearPlayerRunRecTotTDPPRRk
2016Jordan Howard, Chi.1,3132981,6117232.110
2024Tyrone Tracy, NYG8392841,1236186.326
2022Tyler Allgeier, Atl.1,0351391,1744159.430
2015Karlos Williams, Buff.517966139126.338
2021Kenneth Gainwell, Phil.2912535446125.440
2016DeAndre Washington, Oak.467115582287.256
2018Jaylen Samuels, Pitt.256199455389.558
2016Paul Perkins, NYG456162618076.860
2023Chase Brown, Cin.179156335153.563
2017Aaron Jones, G.B.44822470480.063
Avg10 best backs580172752412144
4TH ROUND, BEST 10 RUNNING BACKS
YearPlayerRunRecTotTDPPRRk
2024Bucky Irving, T.B.1,1223921,5148246.415
2022Dameon Pierce, Hou.9391651,1045170.425
2018Nyheim Hines, Ind.3144257394160.928
2017Tarik Cohen, Chi.3703537234154.428
2021Michael Carter, NYJ6393259644156.429
2016Devontae Booker, Den.6122658775148.729
2015Javorius Allen, Balt.5143538673149.729
2015Jeremy Langford, Chi.5372798167147.630
2017Jamaal Williams, G.B.5562628186142.834
2021Chuba Hubbard, Car.6121747866139.636
Avg10 best backs621299920516128

—Ian Allan

Fantasy Index