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Time for Seahawks to cool off

Seattle has hardest upcoming schedule

Seattle’s offense has been a pleasant surprise thus far, averaging 3 touchdowns per week. But the upcoming schedule suggests it should be falling off that clip.

The Seahawks’ next five games are against Jacksonville, Houston, Washington, Arizona and the Rams. Those teams currently are allowing an average of 18.6 points – over 2 points less than all but two other teams. So I don’t know that Sam Darnold will be putting together another 4-touchdown came soon (though the opponent he faces on Sunday tends to stop the run, forcing teams to pass).

Only two other teams will be their next five games against teams that currently (as a group) are allowing less than 21 points – Jacksonville and Tennessee.

If looking for teams likely to get a boost from scheduling, perhaps the Browns and Bears. Those are the only teams whose next five are against opponents that currently are allowing over 27 points per game.

Cleveland’s next five are against the Steelers, Dolphins, Patriots, Jets and Ravens. Not that the Browns will be putting up monster numbers, but I like the look of Quinshon Judkins (as in, this guy looks like a top-10 back).

The Bears’ next five are against the Commanders, Saints, Ravens, Bengals and Giants. I think they’ll be scoring points and gaining yards in that stretch.

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE, POINTS (next 5)
TeamPoints
Cleveland28.1
Chicago27.4
Carolina26.4
Cincinnati26.1
Minnesota26.1
New England25.4
Denver25.2
Washington25.0
Miami24.7
Baltimore24.7
LA Rams24.5
Green Bay24.3
Buffalo24.2
New Orleans24.0
LA Chargers23.8
Philadelphia23.5
Las Vegas23.4
NY Jets23.1
Pittsburgh22.8
Indianapolis22.6
Detroit22.2
Tampa Bay22.2
NY Giants22.1
Arizona22.0
Kansas City22.0
Atlanta21.8
Dallas21.3
Houston21.1
San Francisco21.1
Jacksonville20.4
Tennessee19.5
Seattle18.6

We can look also not at points allowed but wins and losses. Using that method, the Broncos project to have the easiest schedule for the next five weeks (next five games for each team). The Cardinals (who might have to play without Kyler Murray this week) have the hardest upcoming schedule.

Only three teams rank among the six easiest using both systems (Browns, Bears, Panthers). Only one team ranks in the bottom six using both wins/losses and scoring defense – the Texans.

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE, WINS (next 5 G)
TeamWLTPct
Denver7181.288
Cleveland8160.333
Chicago9170.346
New England9150.375
Baltimore9140.391
Carolina9132.417
Dallas11140.440
NY Jets11140.440
Buffalo11130.458
Miami11130.458
Indianapolis11120.478
LA Chargers11120.478
Jacksonville12130.480
Cincinnati10101.500
Las Vegas12121.500
Green Bay13120.520
LA Rams13120.520
San Francisco13120.520
Tennessee13120.520
Pittsburgh12111.521
Philadelphia12102.542
Minnesota14110.560
Seattle14110.560
Washington13101.563
New Orleans14100.583
Detroit15100.600
Kansas City15100.600
Houston15100.600
Atlanta1690.640
Tampa Bay1690.640
NY Giants1581.646
Arizona1572.667

—Ian Allan

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