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Factoid

London calling

Are games played in Europe lower scoring?

I’ve seen it mentioned a few times on the site: readers worried about scoring being down in the games played in England (for Week 7, Rams and Jaguars). Teams are thrown off by jet lag, the theory goes – avoid those players in fantasy lineups, the theory goes.

I ran the numbers. I don’t see much in it.

There have been 41 games played in the United Kingdom, plus a Steelers-Vikings game in nearby Dublin a few weeks ago. In half of those games, the teams scored more than the over-under out of Vegas, and in half they scored fewer.

Those 84 teams averaged 22.0 points, which doesn’t seem out of the ordinary to me.

I pulled the below numbers off pro-football-reference.com. I’m not sure where they got the over-under figures. But if we total up the figures for the over-unders and the actual results, they’re only 5.5 points different after 42 games, which is remarkable.

SCORING IN GAMES PLAYED IN ENGLAND
YearWinnerLoserScoreTotalO/UResult
2025DenverNY Jets13-112443.5under
2025PittsburghMinnesota24-214541.0over
2025MinnesotaCleveland21-173835.5over
2024MinnesotaNY Jets23-174041.0under
2024ChicagoJacksonville35-165145.0over
2024JacksonvilleNew England32-164842.5over
2023JacksonvilleBuffalo25-204548.5under
2023BaltimoreTennessee24-164042.5under
2023JacksonvilleAtlanta23-73042.5under
2022DenverJacksonville21-173840.5under
2022MinnesotaNew Orleans28-255342.0over
2022NY GiantsGreen Bay27-224941.5over
2021JacksonvilleMiami23-204347.0under
2021AtlantaNY Jets27-204745.0over
2019LA RamsCincinnati24-103448.5under
2019HoustonJacksonville26-32946.0under
2019CarolinaTampa Bay37-266348.5over
2019OaklandChicago24-214539.5over
2018LA ChargersTennessee20-193946.0under
2018PhiladelphiaJacksonville24-184244.0under
2018SeattleOakland27-33048.0under
2017New OrleansMiami20-02051.5under
2017LA RamsArizona33-03345.5under
2017MinnesotaCleveland33-164938.5over
2017JacksonvilleBaltimore44-75138.0over
2016NY GiantsLA Rams17-102744.5under
2016(tie) Wash.(tie) Cin.27-275449.0over
2016JacksonvilleIndianapolis30-275748.0over
2015NY JetsMiami27-144142.0under
2015JacksonvilleBuffalo34-316541.0over
2015Kansas CityDetroit45-105545.0over
2014DetroitAtlanta22-214345.5under
2014DallasJacksonville31-174845.0over
2014MiamiOakland38-145240.5over
2013MinnesotaPittsburgh34-276141.5over
2013San FranciscoJacksonville42-105240.0over
2012New EnglandSt. Louis45-75246.0over
2011ChicagoTampa Bay24-184244.0under
2010San FranciscoDenver24-164041.5under
2009New EnglandTampa Bay35-74244.5under
2008New OrleansSan Diego37-326945.5over
2007NY GiantsMiami13-102348.0under

—Ian Allan

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