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Dobbins nearing return for Broncos

Veteran has outplayed rookie RJ Harvey

It was overshadowed by the Bo Nix injury, but I was surprised by the lack of production from RJ Harvey on Saturday. I figured he’d be a key player against Buffalo’s 28th-ranked run defense, but he wasn’t much of a factor.

The Bills have struggled against the run at times, allowing 5.1 yards per carry. Only two defenses allowed more yards per carry during the regular season. Yet, Harvey carried 6 times for only 20 yards.

Harvey scored 12 touchdowns as a rookie, which is an impressive total. He had a 50-yard run in his first game and later popped loose for 40- and 38-yard touchdowns. But he didn’t actually have much success on a down-to-down basis.

The Broncos were getting better play at the tailback position when J.K. Dobbins was healthy. Dobbins averaged 15.3 carries for 77 yards in the first 10 games of the season. Since his injury, Harvey has averaged 12.8 carries for 43 yards in his eight starts.

In the regular season, 49 running backs carried the ball at least 100 times. Only six of those running backs averaged more yards per attempt than Dobbins, while only seven averaged fewer yards per carry than Harvey.

RUNNING BACKS, YARDS PER CARRY
PlayerGAttYardsAvgLgTD
DeVon Achane, Mia.1623813505.7598
James Cook, Buff.1730916215.26412
Derrick Henry, Balt.1730715955.25916
Bijan Robinson, Atl.1728714785.1937
Blake Corum, LAR171457465.1486
TreVeyon Henderson, N.E.171809115.1699
J.K. Dobbins, Den.101537725.0414
Jahmyr Gibbs, Det.1724312235.07813
Jonathan Taylor, Ind.1732315854.98318
D'Andre Swift, Chi.1622310874.9259
Kyren Williams, LAR1725912524.83410
Jordan Mason, Min.161597584.8246
Javonte Williams, Dall.1625212014.86611
Kenneth Gainwell, Pitt.171145374.7555
Kenneth Walker, Sea.1722110274.6555
Rhamondre Stevenson, N.E.141306034.6567
Kyle Monangai, Chi.171697834.6395
Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Was.171758054.6728
Rico Dowdle, Car.1723610764.6536
Jaylen Warren, Pitt.162119584.5456
David Montgomery, Det.171587164.5728
Tony Pollard, Ten.1724210824.5655
Chris Rodriguez, Was.131125004.5486
Omarion Hampton, LAC91245454.4544
Chase Brown, Cin.1723210194.4376
Breece Hall, NYJ1624310654.4594
Rachaad White, T.B.171325724.3394
Travis Etienne, Jac.1726011074.3717
Tyrone Tracy Jr., NYG151767404.2312
Aaron Jones, Min.121325484.2312
Kimani Vidal, LAC131556434.1593
Nick Chubb, Hou.151225064.1303
Saquon Barkley, Phi.1628011404.1657
Cam Skattebo, NYG81014104.1245
Josh Jacobs, G.B.152349294.04013
Emanuel Wilson, G.B.171254964.0153
Zach Charbonnet, Sea.161847304.03012
Isiah Pacheco, K.C.131184623.9161
Christian McCaffrey, S.F.1731112023.94110
Chuba Hubbard, Car.151345113.8141
Kareem Hunt, K.C.171636113.7338
RJ Harvey, Den.171465403.7507
Devin Singletary, NYG171194373.7295
Ashton Jeanty, L.V.172669753.7645
Quinshon Judkins, Cle.142308273.6467
Alvin Kamara, N.O.111314713.6181
Tyler Allgeier, Atl.171435143.6218
Woody Marks, Hou.161967033.6232
Bucky Irving, T.B.101735883.4321

In Harvey’s eight starts, he’s averaged more than 3.4 yards per attempt in only two of them. He dipped down to only 6 attempts on Saturday (his fewest as a starter), with backup Jaleel McLaughlin actually running for more yards.

Now, Dobbins has been designated to return from injured reserve. He was a limited participant at practice on Wednesday. If Dobbins checks out OK physically, I expect he’ll be finishing with more carries and rushing yards than Harvey. (On the Harvey side of the ledger, he’s a better pass catcher.)

Harvey may eventually become a good back. He’s generated some big plays, and he’s found the end zone 12 times. Since the move to 32 teams, only 18 running backs have scored more than 10 touchdowns. But Harvey has the fewest rushing yards and total yards of those guys, and with the 2nd-lowest yards-per-carry average.

ROOKIE RUNNING BACKS WITH 11-PLUS TOUCHDOWNS
YearPlayerAttYdsAvgTDReceivingT YdTTD
2002Clinton Portis, Den.27315085.51533-364-2187217
2006Maurice Jones-Drew, Jac.1669415.71346-436-2137716
2016Ezekiel Elliott, Dall.32216315.11532-363-1199416
2018Saquon Barkley, NYG26113075.01191-721-4202815
2017Alvin Kamara, N.O.1207286.1881-826-5155414
2007Adrian Peterson, Min.23813415.61219-268-1160913
2012Alfred Morris, Was.33516134.81311-77-0169013
2015David Johnson, Ari.1255814.7836-457-4103813
2020Jonathan Taylor, Ind.23211695.01136-299-1146812
2012Doug Martin, T.B.31914544.61149-472-1192612
2008Matt Forte, Chi.31612383.9863-477-4171512
2025RJ Harvey, Den.1465403.7747-356-589612
2012Trent Richardson, Cle.2679503.61151-367-1131712
2023DeVon Achane, Mia.1038007.8827-197-399711
2023Jahmyr Gibbs, Det.1829455.21052-316-1126111
2017Kareem Hunt, K.C.27213274.9853-455-3178211
2020Antonio Gibson, Was.1707954.71136-247-0104211
2013Eddie Lacy, G.B.28411784.21135-257-0143511

—Ian Allan

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