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Footballs are flying in New Orleans

Shough looks like sneaky value at Tampa Bay

It’s early, but I kind of like Tyler Shough for Week 14. He’s holding up just fine for a rookie, and Kellen Moore knows how to draw up a passing game.

The Saints, of course, have a popgun offense. They’ve scored only 12 touchdowns in their last 10 games. But all but 2 of them, at least, have come through the air.

And they pass a bunch. I think they might finish above-average in passing.

Since Shough took over at quarterback, he’s averaging 235 passing yards per game. There are 36 other quarterbacks who’ve started at least four games, and only 13 are averaging more passing yards per start.

This week, the Saints are on the road against Tampa Bay. They’ll likely lose, but I expect they’ll go down slinging and flinging. And they should have some success. Only three defenses have allowed more passing yards than the Bucs.

To me, that makes Shough a nice choice for 240-plus yards, and I expect he’ll get a touchdown in there somewhere. That makes him a decent enough Superflex choice. If he happens to get that second touchdown, then he’s one of the better quarterback values of the week.

The Bucs are allowing almost twice as many touchdowns passing as rushing.

QUARTERBACKS; passing yards per start
TeamGYdsPctTDInt
Jacoby Brissett, Ari.7312.667.8134
Dak Prescott, Dall.12271.869.3258
Patrick Mahomes, K.C.12269.864.6227
Mac Jones, S.F.8268.969.6136
Drake Maye, N.E.12260.871.0216
Matthew Stafford, LAR12256.166.3324
Daniel Jones, Ind.12253.467.9197
Jared Goff, Det.12252.169.8255
Joe Flacco, Cle.-Cin.10245.160.21510
Carson Wentz, Min.5243.265.165
Sam Darnold, Sea.12242.868.21910
Justin Herbert, LAC12236.866.92110
Josh Allen, Buff.12236.069.41910
Tyler Shough, N.O.4235.068.253
Jordan Love, G.B.12232.867.0193
Brock Purdy, S.F.5229.466.397
Bo Nix, Den.12228.561.6199
Caleb Williams, Chi.12226.858.1175
Michael Penix, Atl.9220.260.193
C.J. Stroud, Hou.9219.866.1116
Trevor Lawrence, Jac.12219.759.71611
Baker Mayfield, T.B.12216.762.8195
Marcus Mariota, Was.6216.064.495
Geno Smith, L.V.12211.067.31514
Jalen Hurts, Phil.12209.566.1192
Lamar Jackson, Balt.9204.664.8154
Jaxson Dart, NYG7202.462.7103
Spencer Rattler, N.O.8198.368.085
Jayden Daniels, Was.6197.362.582
Cam Ward, Ten.12195.959.776
Bryce Young, Car.12194.863.4189
Kyler Murray, Ari.5192.468.363
Tua Tagovailoa, Mia.12190.067.21714
Aaron Rodgers, Pitt.11189.665.2197
J.J. McCarthy, Min.6154.854.1610
Dillon Gabriel, Cle.6153.058.962
Justin Fields, NYJ9139.962.771

—Ian Allan

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