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Ditching the 7th round?

Hits rare in fantasy, at least

I saw some discussion online about getting rid of the 7th round of the NFL Draft. I'm not sure if it's team or media driven, but the basic contention was that teams weren't finding many players they wanted to draft at that point.

(In my main dynasty league, we've had a three-round rookie draft for years, but last year we added a fourth round. I'm not sure there will be a lot of great rookies to select by that point this year. But I digress.)

As a fan and fantasy guy, I wouldn't care if the NFL Draft went to just six rounds. I guess as a college player hopeful of being drafted, more rounds is better; it's nice to see someone have their dream come true by being a draft pick. So a 7th round ensures at least 32 more kids will have their dream come true.

The reality for a while, at least at the key positions for fantasy, is that you're more likely to find hits that go undrafted than are selected in the 7th round. Not really sure why that is, beyond the numbers -- the pool of undrafted players is obviously much, much larger than the pool of 7th-rounders. If 5 percent of undrafted players who sign with teams hit and 5 percent of guys selected in the seventh round do, the former group is substantially bigger.

Anyway. I looked at the last 10 years of players selected in the seventh round of the draft, and players undrafted entirely those years. Table shows all running backs and wide receivers who had at least one top-50 fantasy season (PPR), and all quarterbacks and tight ends who had a top-25 season. (A quarterback or tight end finishing in the top 50 in a season didn't have to do very much.) I used each player's best season; Austin Ekeler (pictured), for example, had a bunch of qualifying seasons.

In the last 10 years, there have been eight 7th-round picks to fit the criteria. Two last year, but on average, one per season. There have been 32 undrafted guys to do it, so a little over three per season. Table shows each player's best season, not always their draft year, but they've all entered the league since 2016.

7TH-ROUND AND UNDRAFTED TOP-30 OR 50, 2016-PRESENT
YearRdPlayerPosPassTDRunNoRecTDRk
2022FAAustin Ekeler, LACRB00915107722181
2020FARobert Tonyan, G.B.TE00052586115
20237Brock Purdy, S.F.QB4280311440027
2020FAJames Robinson, Jac.RB00107049344107
2022FATaysom Hill, N.O.TE240257597797
2025FAJuwan Johnson, N.O.TE0007788938
20197Chris Carson, Sea.RB00123037266912
2018FAPhillip Lindsay, Den.RB001037352411013
20237Isiah Pacheco, K.C.RB0093544244915
2020FAJ.D. McKissic, Was.RB0036580589317
2025FARico Dowdle, Car.RB00107639297717
2025FAJaylen Warren, Pitt.RB0095840333818
2017FARobby Anderson, NYJWR00963941718
2024FAJakobi Meyers, L.V.WR0023871027419
2021FATaylor Heinicke, Was.QB3419203131-2119
2021FADarrel Williams, K.C.RB0055847452821
2020FADan Arnold, Ari.TE00031438422
2019FAJacob Hollister, Sea.TE00041349323
20247Jauan Jennings, S.F.WR00077975624
2020FAAnthony Firkser, Ten.TE00039387125
20217Myles Gaskin, Mia.RB0061249234725
2023FAGus Edwards, Balt.RB00810121801326
2018FAMatt Breida, S.F.RB0081427261526
2018FAJalen Richard, Oak.RB0025968607129
2022FAJeff Wilson, 2TMRB0086022185629
20257Kyle Monangai, Chi.RB0078318164531
2018FAPeyton Barber, T.B.RB008712092631
20257Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Was.RB00805968832
2021FAKendrick Bourne, N.E.WR25112555800532
2022FAAllen Lazard, G.B.WR00060788634
2025FAJordan Mason, Min.RB007581451636
2016FARobert Kelley, Was.RB007041282738
2025FARashid Shaheed, 2TMWR006959687439
2021FATim Patrick, Den.WR00053734542
2021FAMarquez Callaway, N.O.WR00046698643
2024FAJaleel McLaughlin, Den.RB004962476346
2020FAKeelan Cole, Jac.WR00255642647
2024FAEmanuel Wilson, G.B.RB005021148548
2025FAZonovan Knight, Ari.RB0026922160549
20227Richie James, NYGWR00657569450

This doesn't include 7th-round hits at other positions -- offensive line, linebackers, etc.

The big, enduring hits from the last decade include Ekeler (undrafted), Jakobi Meyers (undrafted) and probably Brock Purdy (7th). There are a bunch of running backs who have carved out respectable careers with at least one and in some cases multiple good seasons. Chris Carson, Isiah Pacheco, Jaylen Warren, Rico Dowdle. Clearly, running back is the best position from which to pull undrafted guys, probably why it can be hard for many top players to get paid at the position -- there's an undrafted guy out there waiting to take your job. Purdy the lone hit at QB (Taylor Heinicke made the table, granted).

Looking at this year's 7th round, there are a couple of running backs who will maybe find their way onto dynasty rosters. The Steelers took Navy back Eli Heidenreich, and the Colts took Kentucky back Seth McGowan. Both teams have the top of their depth charts set but might be looking for a No. 3 or even a No. 2. But realistically, long shots to do more than contribute on special teams, if they make rosters at all.

--Andy Richardson

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