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Why I'll win the Fanex League

The projections behind my seemingly off-the-wall picks

Most Fantasy Index readers don't like the team Ian Allan drafted in the Fanex Analysis Draft. He gets out his stat projections to explain why he believes his team is the best.

I posted a few articles on the Fanex Analysis Draft a few weeks back. This was the draft where I traded down four times and tended to collect wide receivers, while most other experts were trying to hoard running backs.

Most readers who chimed in tended to think I should have also emphasized running backs -- starting with taking Ray Rice or Jamaal Charles rather than trading the 6th pick.

But there is a method to the madness. I am a professional. I know what I'm doing. I've been in this league six times, and I've won it in three of those years. (I also placed 2nd one year).

So while most of the I-gotta-take-running-backs crowd will probably still disagree with me, I will attempt to show numerically why I believe my team is the best. And not just by a little. According to my stat projections, I should finish over 200 points ahead of most of the other teams.

I've listed out all of the teams below, along with my stat projection for each player. This is PPR scoring, so you want guys who will catch a lot of passes. You also must start 3 wide receivers, and there's a flex guy.

For crude scoring, I'm listing for each team a QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, PK, Defense and 2 flex (RB-WR-TE). Now, with actual scoring, you use only one flex, but with injuries and byes, I figured I'd just throw another one in there. I'll ignore the final nine games on each roster.

Using my player projections, I think my team should finish among the leaders. It's well ahead of the other 11 franchises. The team I believe will finish in last is managed by the guy who went most crazy for running backs (opening his draft with four of them).

FANEX ANALYSIS DRAFT -- Expected Scores
TeamPoints
Ian Allan2,431
Duane Cahill2,278
Mike Harmon2,262
Tony Holm2,219
Rito / Nazarek2,213
T.C. Cannon2,190
Mike Nease2,170
Greg Kellogg2,152
Dolfi / Walls2,126
Jim Day2,115
Matt Schauf2,093
Dish Adams1,941
Team-by-Team projections
Dish AdamsPts
Michael Vick261
Matt Forte216
Cecil Shorts III200
Chris Johnson189
Emmanuel Sanders185
David Wilson182
Josh Gordon169
DeSean Jackson160
Brandon Pettigrew158
Josh Brown114
Atlanta 108
Dolfi / WallsPts
Peyton Manning349
C.J. Spiller212
Marshawn Lynch210
James Jones208
Stevie Johnson200
Dennis Pitta195
Mike Wallace191
Denarius Moore164
DeAndre Hopkins148
Seattle 130
Connor Barth120
Duane CahillPts
Colin Kaepernick338
A.J. Green276
Jimmy Graham238
Percy Harvin219
Pierre Garcon218
Rob Gronkowski203
DeMarco Murray200
Justin Blackmon187
Lamar Miller172
Matt Prater119
Pittsburgh109
Greg KelloggPts
Matthew Stafford317
Roddy White272
Doug Martin270
Dwayne Bowe224
Tony Gonzalez204
Anquan Boldin183
Frank Gore171
Chris Ivory159
Houston 123
Fred Jackson116
Mason Crosby113
Ian AllanPts
Matt Ryan348
Larry Fitzgerald275
Randall Cobb252
Danny Amendola246
Antonio Brown228
Darren Sproles228
Tavon Austin210
Greg Olsen191
Vick Ballard190
Phil Dawson145
Cincinnati118
Jim DayPts
Russell Wilson315
Eric Decker236
Alfred Morris212
Mike Williams211
Hakeem Nicks199
Reggie Bush194
Steven Jackson190
Vernon Davis181
Antonio Gates135
Greg Zuerlein122
St. Louis 121
Matt SchaufPts
Tony Romo311
Adrian Peterson250
LeSean McCoy222
Marques Colston213
Jordy Nelson202
Lance Moore186
Miles Austin171
Jermichael Finley163
Jared Cook140
Dan Bailey118
Baltimore 116
Mike HarmonPts
Andrew Luck323
Arian Foster283
Demaryius Thomas259
Victor Cruz247
Wes Welker221
Kyle Rudolph183
LeVeon Bell175
Giovani Bernard169
Andre Brown158
San Francisco 123
Justin Tucker120
Mike NeasePts
Drew Brees369
Brandon Marshall275
Jamaal Charles248
Montee Ball212
T.Y. Hilton181
Alshon Jeffery180
Brandon Myers160
Eddie Lacy160
Chris Givens148
Blair Walsh123
Chicago 113
Rito / NazarekPts
Cam Newton360
Dez Bryant282
Ray Rice249
Andre Johnson240
Steve Smith209
Aaron Hernandez188
Owen Daniels159
Ryan Mathews142
Kenny Britt142
Matt Bryant124
Green Bay 118
T.C. CannonPts
Aaron Rodgers368
Calvin Johnson299
Reggie Wayne218
Jason Witten212
Greg Jennings208
Maurice Jones-Drew208
Stephen Gostkowski144
Jeremy Maclin137
Greg Little135
Mark Ingram133
Denver127
Tony HolmPts
Tom Brady377
Trent Richardson255
Julio Jones253
Vincent Jackson244
Torrey Smith207
Kendall Wright172
Danario Alexander171
Darren McFadden167
Coby Fleener135
New England 123
Sebastian Janikowski116

Fantasy Index