ASK THE EXPERTS appears weekly from training camp to Super Bowl with answers to a new question being posted Thursday morning. How the guest experts responded when we asked them: Which Week 1 flop will turn things around the rest of the way?
ERIC CATURIA
Perhaps the stock answer for top bounce-back candidate is David Wilson, considering the injuries -- Andre Brown's broken leg during the preseason and Da'Rel Scott's knee concern suffered in drills Wednesday -- that have befallen the Giants' running back corps to date. The besieged Wilson, whose bout with fumbilitis placed his starting gig in jeopardy, is now the assumed clear-cut No. 1, even with the bruising Brandon Jacobs once again a Giant after a year-long hiatus with the 49ers. Nevertheless, another running back deserves a careful examination: Buccaneers star back Doug Martin. His output in Sunday's opener at the Jets -- 64 combined rushing and receiving yards -- was surpassed in all but three games last year, but a second-quarter touchdown salvaged what could have been a truly disastrous day, as he fumbled more times (twice) than during his entire entire rookie campaign (once). In actuality, the absence of fullback Eric Lorig due to a calf concern aided and abetted in Martin's shoddy execution (2.7 YPC), thereby inputting RB Brian Leonard and TE Luke Stocker into the backfield blocking scheme, a role that neither player could handle even adequately. After Lorig returned to full practice Wednesday, he is poised to pave the way for Martin once again, as he did in all 16 games last year, during Week 2's tilt versus the Saints. Barring a setback, Martin should find himself with plenty of vacant avenues in which to mimic his initial season.
Caturia is a writer/editor of NFL, MLB, and NBA content for RotoWire. He can be found on Twitter @etcat30.
MIKE CLAY
James Jones failed to record a single reception on two Week 1 targets, but we've seen performances like this from him before. Consider that Jones was targeted fewer than six times on six occasions (nearly 40 percent of his appearances) during a breakout 2012 season that saw him lead the NFL with 14 receiving touchdowns. During one stretch of the season, Jones totaled nine targets in four games before bouncing back to average eight per-game over the next three weeks. Jones remains an every-down player (he played every snap in Week 1) in the Packers’ high-powered offense. His production will be a bit inconsistent, but he’s a slam dunk rebound candidate.
Clay is the Managing Editor and Director at Pro Football Focus Fantasy. It's there that he created a batch of advanced statistics, most notably average depth of target (aDOT). Mike also works as an NFL writer at Rotoworld.com and has contributed at PhiladelphiaEagles.com and for Athlon Sports.
TIM HEANEY
By default, Stevan Ridley will return to being a fantasy force now that Shane Vereen (wrist) can't take a game field until at least Week 11. It looks bad that, after four 'rooskis last year, Ridley dropped the rock twice in his first contest of the following season (he was ruled down by contact on one, so it didn't register in the books). But he averaged 5.1 yards per carry Sunday, and with a cluster of underwhelming backups behind him, he should get back to business soon. He's the best pure runner they have, and sans Vereen, they can't turn away from him. Plus, with the depleting crop of receiving options for Tom Brady, they'll want to go with a weapon they know, and Ridley falls into that category. Ridley's schedule is pretty darn favorable, too.
Since 1996, KFFL.com has been combining its award-winning news service with fantasy analysis. KFFL.com offers services including daily news, draft guides and in-season advice. Completely free, KFFL.com is your destination for fantasy baseball, football and NASCAR cheat sheets, tips, sleepers and much more. KFFL.com has won more than a dozen expert championships and was listed as "One of the 10 essential sports-related online destinations for fans, athletes and fantasy owners" by Time.com. KFFL.com is property of USA TODAY Sports Media Group.
MICAH JAMES
I wouldn’t call it entirely disastrous, since Trent Richardson did finish as the 25th running back for Week 1, but it was certainly an underwhelming and disappointing performance for a player you likely took with a first-round pick. However, TRich owners should take solace for a couple of reasons. Whether it was due to Cleveland’s game plann or the Dolphins’ focus on stopping the run, Richardson had only 13 carries on Sunday. Add to that two receptions and you have a total of 15 touches. For a player that needs to be the main focal point of the Browns’ attack, that opportunity number will escalate along with his fantasy point output. (And let’s not overlook the fact that Miami’s defense is very underrated.) One final positive – he didn’t get hurt, which was probably the biggest knock against him heading into Week 1. One week doesn’t define a season, for a NFL team or for your fantasy team. Richardson will be a solid performer in the weeks to come.
James, the FFMagicMan, has been playing fantasy football since 2000. James won the FSTA Accuracy Rankings Challenge in 2012, finishing 1st out of 61 expert entries with an unprecedented Top-9 performance across all four skill positions. You can follow James on Twitter (@FFMagicMan) and be sure to listen to his weekly fantasy football strategy podcast, The Magic Formula.
IAN ALLAN
Stevan Ridley and David Wilson both got benched for fumbling, but those guys will turn it around. They’re talented guys, and their teams really don’t have other viable options to replace them. The Patriots have Shane Vereen, but he’s really more of a change-of-pace type guy, and he’s out for eight games now anyway. With Wilson, I think they’ll pull him on third downs and at the goal line, but he’s still an awfully talented and explosive guy.
Allan is the senior writer for Fantasy Football Index. He's been in that role since 1987, generating most of the player rankings and analysis for that publication. His work can be seen in Fantasy Football Index magazine, and also at www.fantasyindex.com.
PRETZEL MAY
This one has to be Trent Richardson. He had 26 yards on his first 4 runs and then went into witness protection as Cleveland tried to win on the strength of Weeden's arm. That did not turn out too well for them. Games in Cleveland will be won on the legs of Richardson. They will get back on the program and feed him the rock.
The May brothers have more than 20 years of combined fantasy football experience and are the co-founders of FantasyDraftMaster.com. In FDM's first 3 years as part of the Fantasy Index Experts Poll, they have amassed 1st- and 2nd-place finishes. The cornerstone of FantasyDraftMaster.com is the UberRank which is a revolutionary approach to the traditional fantasy football cheat sheet. FantasyDraftMaster.com also offers insightful and humorous commentary and recommendations on waiver wire pickups, lineup submissions and weekly pick em' pools. For more info on FDM, visit the web site or email info@fantasydraftmaster.com.
SAM HENDRICKS
Marshawn Lynch faced an incredibly tough Carolina front seven in week 1. Now he gets to return home. Unfortunately it is against SF. But in both games versus the 49ers last year Lynch ran for over 100 yards. Plan on the same in week 2 and a TD to boot. Others nominated but not selected in the "disastrous but set to turn things around category" are C.J Spiller and Trent Richardson. C.J. seems destined for a RBBC with Fred Jackson and Richardson needs RG Jason Pinkston to return from IR in week 9 but more likely 11 after the Brown bye in week 10.
Hendricks is the author of Fantasy Football Guidebook, Fantasy Football Tips and Fantasy Football Basics, all available at ExtraPointPress.com, at all major bookstores, and at Amazon and BN.com. He is a 20-plus year fantasy football veteran who regularly participates in the National Fantasy Football Championship (NFFC) and finished 7th and 16th overall (out of 228 competitors) in the 2008 and 2009 Fantasy Football Players Championship (FFPC). Follow him at his web site, www.ffguidebook.com.
ALAN SATTERLEE
I have to go with Stevan Ridley primarily due to the injury to Shane Vereen (sadly). Ridley is by far and away the best running back on the team so there is no choice there. Prior to the Vereen news, I would have said David Wilson. I believe (very much so) in Wilson's talents. Wilson needs to fix/improve his ball security issues of course but his skill set is too elite for the Giants not to continue to stick with him. If I had Wilson (which I do) I would stick with him this week even against the difficult Broncos match-up.
Satterlee is Co-Owner and Chief Editor/COO of FantasyFootballWarehouse.com. FFW features comprehensive profiles for all the major 2013 skill-position rookies, its Trading Spaces series, the team Deep Dives, the Speed Bump competition plus draft strategies, rankings, projections and more. FFW runs in tandem with its dynasty site DynastyFootballWarehouse.com.
SCOTT SACHS
Trent Richardson & Chris Johnson come to mind. Both are similar in a number of ways. They are their respective teams' best overall players, they can score from anywhere on the field, and they have nobody pushing them for playing time. The Browns & Titans may not be playoff bound, but they are still attempting to win games in divisions with just 1 clear-cut front-runner. The only way for these teams to be competitive game in & game out is to give these guys the rock 20-30 times a game--sweeps, traps, delays, up the middle, swing passes, screens--whatever/however, just get the ball in their hands. Without T-Rich & CJ toting the rock at every available opportunity, Cleveland & Tennessee are in for a long, hard 2013.
Sachs runs Perfect Season Fantasy Football, offering LIVE Talk/Text/Email consulting & advice. Winner of Fantasy Football Index's 2012 Experts Poll & 2011 Mock Auction League, Scott can be found at http://perfectseasonffb.com/.
MIKE NAZAREK
Patriots RB Stevan Ridley will turn it around and carry the load without issues moving forward, having a big season in the process.
Nazarek is the CEO of Fantasy Football Mastermind Inc. His company offers a preseason draft guide, customizable cheat sheets, a multi-use fantasy drafting program including auction values, weekly in-season fantasy newsletters, injury reports and free NFL news (updated daily) at its web site. He has been playing fantasy football since 1988 and is a four-peat champion of the SI.com Experts Fantasy League, a nationally published writer in several fantasy magazines and a former columnist for SI.com. For more info go to www.ffmastermind.com. Nazarek can be reached via email at miken@ffmastermind.com.
ANDY RICHARDSON
I am going to continue to ride the Trent Richardson bus. His quiet Week 1 was the result of Cleveland's bizarre approach, nothing else, and I am convinced they'll figure out that they're going to win games with Richardson, not Brandon Weeden, leading the way. Maybe it won't be at Baltimore, but it will happen sooner rather than later.
Richardson has been a columnist and contributor to the Fantasy Football Index magazine and web site for 12 years. His responsibilities include team defense and IDP projections and various site features, and he has run the magazine's annual draft and auction leagues since their inception. He previews all the NFL games on Saturdays and writes a wrap-up column on Mondays during the NFL season.