Fantasy Index

Ian Allan

Fine-tuning preseason picks

Denver, Seattle look like Super Bowl favorites

After seeing each team three times, we can revise our projected wins for each teams. After looking at each of the remaining 208 regular-season games, the playoff field gets a few tweeks.

Denver, New England, Baltimore and Houston. Those look like your division winners on the AFC side. Broncos and Patriots should have the first-round byes.

In the NFC, Seattle, New Orleans, Chicago and Dallas look like the division winners, with the Seahawks and Saints the favorites for home-field advantage. (Those teams meet at CenturyLink later this year in a key game.)

Wild cards: Kansas City, Cincinnati, Green Bay and San Francisco.

Colts, Dolphins, Titans and Lions all could wind up with 9 wins and miss the postseason. There's also no room for the Falcons.

At the other end of the spectrum, I've got two Florida teams holding the top 2 picks of the draft: Jaguars and Bucs.

Let me know where you think I'm wrong.

Projected Wins For Each Team
TeamWins
Denver12.7
New England12.2
Seattle12.0
New Orleans11.0
Kansas City10.6
Baltimore10.1
Chicago10.1
Cincinnati10.0
Houston9.8
Green Bay9.6
Indianapolis9.4
Miami9.2
San Francisco9.2
Dallas9.1
Tennessee8.9
Detroit8.5
Atlanta8.4
St. Louis7.6
Carolina7.4
Philadelphia7.2
San Diego6.7
Buffalo6.2
NY Giants6.1
NY Jets6.0
Pittsburgh6.0
Cleveland5.6
Arizona5.5
Washington5.4
Oakland5.0
Minnesota4.8
Tampa Bay3.5
Jacksonville2.9

WIN POTENTIAL FOR REMAINING GAMES
Week 4
Philadelphia 5% at Denver 95%
Miami 15% at New Orleans 85%
NY Jets 15% at Tennessee 85%
NY Giants 25% at Kansas City 75%
Chicago 45% at Detroit 55%
Seattle 45% at Houston 55%
Washington 45% at Oakland 55%
San Francisco 45% at St. Louis 55%
Arizona 45% at Tampa Bay 55%
Dallas 50% at San Diego 50%
New England 55% at Atlanta 45%
Pittsburgh 55% at Minnesota 45%
Baltimore 60% at Buffalo 40%
Cincinnati 65% at Cleveland 35%
Indianapolis 85% at Jacksonville 15%

Week 5
Jacksonville 7% at St. Louis 93%
NY Jets 15% at Atlanta 85%
Detroit 15% at Green Bay 85%
Philadelphia 40% at NY Giants 60%
Houston 40% at San Francisco 60%
Carolina 45% at Arizona 55%
New Orleans 45% at Chicago 55%
Buffalo 45% at Cleveland 55%
Kansas City 45% at Tennessee 55%
Seattle 50% at Indianapolis 50%
New England 55% at Cincinnati 45%
Baltimore 55% at Miami 45%
San Diego 55% at Oakland 45%
Denver 60% at Dallas 40%

Week 6
Jacksonville 2% at Denver 98%
Arizona 10% at San Francisco 90%
Tennessee 10% at Seattle 90%
Oakland 15% at Kansas City 85%
NY Giants 25% at Chicago 75%
Washington 25% at Dallas 75%
St. Louis 35% at Houston 65%
New Orleans 35% at New England 65%
Green Bay 40% at Baltimore 60%
Carolina 40% at Minnesota 60%
Detroit 50% at Cleveland 50%
Pittsburgh 55% at NY Jets 45%
Indianapolis 55% at San Diego 45%
Philadelphia 55% at Tampa Bay 45%
Cincinnati 60% at Buffalo 40%

Week 7
Tampa Bay 10% at Atlanta 90%
Cleveland 10% at Green Bay 90%
Buffalo 30% at Miami 70%
St. Louis 35% at Carolina 65%
Minnesota 35% at NY Giants 65%
Cincinnati 45% at Detroit 55%
Dallas 45% at Philadelphia 55%
Houston 50% at Kansas City 50%
San Francisco 50% at Tennessee 50%
Chicago 50% at Washington 50%
San Diego 55% at Jacksonville 45%
Baltimore 55% at Pittsburgh 45%
Denver 60% at Indianapolis 40%
Seattle 65% at Arizona 35%
New England 90% at NY Jets 10%

Week 8
NY Jets 10% at Cincinnati 90%
Washington 10% at Denver 90%
Cleveland 10% at Kansas City 90%
Miami 10% at New England 90%
Buffalo 15% at New Orleans 85%
NY Giants 35% at Philadelphia 65%
Dallas 45% at Detroit 55%
Pittsburgh 45% at Oakland 55%
Seattle 50% at St. Louis 50%
Green Bay 55% at Minnesota 45%
Atlanta 60% at Arizona 40%
Carolina 60% at Tampa Bay 40%
San Francisco 80% at Jacksonville 20%

Week 9
Tampa Bay 2% at Seattle 98%
Pittsburgh 5% at New England 95%
Minnesota 20% at Dallas 80%
Chicago 35% at Green Bay 65%
San Diego 35% at Washington 65%
Atlanta 40% at Carolina 60%
Tennessee 40% at St. Louis 60%
Indianapolis 45% at Houston 55%
Kansas City 50% at Buffalo 50%
Cincinnati 55% at Miami 45%
Philadelphia 55% at Oakland 45%
Baltimore 65% at Cleveland 35%
New Orleans 75% at NY Jets 25%

Week 10
Jacksonville 10% at Tennessee 90%
Carolina 15% at San Francisco 85%
Philadelphia 20% at Green Bay 80%
Oakland 20% at NY Giants 80%
Buffalo 20% at Pittsburgh 80%
Detroit 25% at Chicago 75%
Dallas 25% at New Orleans 75%
St. Louis 35% at Indianapolis 65%
Cincinnati 40% at Baltimore 60%
Washington 40% at Minnesota 60%
Seattle 50% at Atlanta 50%
Miami 60% at Tampa Bay 40%
Houston 65% at Arizona 35%
Denver 75% at San Diego 25%

Week 11
Minnesota 5% at Seattle 95%
Oakland 10% at Houston 90%
Cleveland 15% at Cincinnati 85%
San Diego 30% at Miami 70%
NY Jets 35% at Buffalo 65%
Kansas City 35% at Denver 65%
Washington 35% at Philadelphia 65%
San Francisco 40% at New Orleans 60%
Detroit 40% at Pittsburgh 60%
Baltimore 45% at Chicago 55%
Arizona 45% at Jacksonville 55%
Indianapolis 45% at Tennessee 55%
Green Bay 50% at NY Giants 50%
New England 60% at Carolina 40%
Atlanta 65% at Tampa Bay 35%

Week 12
NY Jets 5% at Baltimore 95%
Jacksonville 5% at Houston 95%
Tampa Bay 10% at Detroit 90%
Minnesota 10% at Green Bay 90%
San Diego 30% at Kansas City 70%
Carolina 35% at Miami 65%
Pittsburgh 40% at Cleveland 60%
Dallas 40% at NY Giants 60%
New Orleans 45% at Atlanta 55%
Chicago 45% at St. Louis 55%
Denver 50% at New England 50%
Tennessee 55% at Oakland 45%
San Francisco 55% at Washington 45%
Indianapolis 60% at Arizona 40%

Week 13
Oakland 10% at Dallas 90%
Pittsburgh 15% at Baltimore 85%
Tampa Bay 15% at Carolina 85%
Jacksonville 15% at Cleveland 85%
New Orleans 25% at Seattle 75%
Arizona 30% at Philadelphia 70%
St. Louis 30% at San Francisco 70%
Tennessee 40% at Indianapolis 60%
NY Giants 40% at Washington 60%
Green Bay 45% at Detroit 55%
Atlanta 50% at Buffalo 50%
New England 50% at Houston 50%
Chicago 50% at Minnesota 50%
Miami 50% at NY Jets 50%
Denver 55% at Kansas City 45%
Cincinnati 60% at San Diego 40%

Week 14
Cleveland 5% at New England 95%
Minnesota 15% at Baltimore 85%
Tennessee 15% at Denver 85%
Carolina 20% at New Orleans 80%
Atlanta 25% at Green Bay 75%
Oakland 25% at NY Jets 75%
Detroit 35% at Philadelphia 65%
Dallas 40% at Chicago 60%
Indianapolis 40% at Cincinnati 60%
Miami 40% at Pittsburgh 60%
NY Giants 40% at San Diego 60%
Seattle 45% at San Francisco 55%
St. Louis 50% at Arizona 50%
Kansas City 50% at Washington 50%
Buffalo 55% at Tampa Bay 45%
Houston 80% at Jacksonville 20%

Week 15
San Diego 7% at Denver 93%
Arizona 15% at Tennessee 85%
Washington 20% at Atlanta 80%
NY Jets 20% at Carolina 80%
Philadelphia 40% at Minnesota 60%
Green Bay 45% at Dallas 55%
Baltimore 45% at Detroit 55%
Houston 45% at Indianapolis 55%
New Orleans 45% at St. Louis 55%
Buffalo 50% at Jacksonville 50%
Cincinnati 55% at Pittsburgh 45%
Seattle 60% at NY Giants 40%
Kansas City 60% at Oakland 40%
Chicago 65% at Cleveland 35%
San Francisco 65% at Tampa Bay 35%
New England 70% at Miami 30%

Week 16
Arizona 5% at Seattle 95%
Tampa Bay 10% at St. Louis 90%
Minnesota 15% at Cincinnati 85%
Pittsburgh 15% at Green Bay 85%
Oakland 20% at San Diego 80%
NY Giants 25% at Detroit 75%
Atlanta 30% at San Francisco 70%
Cleveland 35% at NY Jets 65%
New England 45% at Baltimore 55%
Miami 45% at Buffalo 55%
New Orleans 45% at Carolina 55%
Indianapolis 45% at Kansas City 55%
Chicago 50% at Philadelphia 50%
Dallas 50% at Washington 50%
Denver 55% at Houston 45%
Tennessee 55% at Jacksonville 45%

Week 17
Jacksonville 5% at Indianapolis 95%
Buffalo 5% at New England 95%
Tampa Bay 5% at New Orleans 95%
St. Louis 20% at Seattle 80%
NY Jets 25% at Miami 75%
Cleveland 25% at Pittsburgh 75%
Philadelphia 30% at Dallas 70%
Carolina 35% at Atlanta 65%
Washington 40% at NY Giants 60%
Baltimore 45% at Cincinnati 55%
Detroit 45% at Minnesota 55%
Kansas City 45% at San Diego 55%
Houston 45% at Tennessee 55%
Green Bay 50% at Chicago 50%
San Francisco 55% at Arizona 45%
Denver 90% at Oakland 10%

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