Fantasy Index

Factoid

Smashmouth in Seattle

Seahawks, 49ers have top defenses

Seattle and San Francisco both have rugged defenses. They're kind of replaced Pittsburgh-Baltimore has the premier Alley Fight Rivalry in the league right now. So points should be precious on Sunday.

The over-under for this game is 39.5 points, and that might be a little high. Both teams are better on defense than offense, and they know each other.

Seattle's has gone five straight games without scoring more than 2 TDs.

In three of the four meetings between these teams the past two years, they've scored under 37 points.

In 2012, San Francisco won 13-6 in a Thursday-night game, then Seattle won the rematch 42-13 late in the year.

Early this year, it was a low-scoring defensive game until the Seahawks broke it open late, winning 29-3. Then San Francisco got a field goal late to win 19-17 at Candlestick.

Neither team is giving the ball away, and these are both very rugged defenses.

In the last 10 years, there have been eight playoff games between teams with top-5 defenses. In all but two of those games, there were under 40 points scored.

Playoff matchups of top-5 defenses
2005Panthers 29, Bears 21
2008Eagles 23, Giants 11
2008Steelers 23, Ravens 14
2009Jets 24, Bengals 14
2010Steelers 24, Jets 19
2011Ravens 20, Texans 13
2013Seahawks 23, Saints 15
201349ers 23, Panthers 10

--Ian Allan

Fantasy Index