Ian Allan runs the entries through three different scoring systems, trying to gauge the best way to grade the entries for next year. Best to put the premium on the early picks? Or give more credit for hitting on sleepers in the teens?
Last week, we crowned Tom Deskovitz of South Lyon, Michigan, with the crown for the 2013 Fantasy Index Open. Of the 209 entries, he was able to put together the best preseason top 20 lists at each position.
Deskovitz wins a big trophy from Affordable Trophies. They’re the sponsor of this competition.
Michael Livengood from Ward, Arkansas, was the 2nd-place finisher. Like Deskovitz, he’ll compete in the regular Experts Poll in the 2014 edition of Fantasy Football Index.
But with this competition, I always have my eye on how we’re running the thing. Are we using the best scoring system? For years, I graded the Experts Poll using a system of 20 points (as multipliers) for the players ranked No. 1, sliding down to just 1 point for the 20th guys. More recently, I’ve used a scale sliding from 30 down to 11.
With the 20-1 scoring system, that puts the premium on getting the right picks at the top. My fear with that scoring system is that it doesn’t matter enough if you happen to be one of the few guys who comes through with a breakout player in the later teens – think Josh Gordon, LeVeon Bell and Philip Rivers.
But with the 30-11 scoring system, those teen picks might be TOO valuable. With that scoring system, it seems that if you hit on those picks in the teens, that might be a lot more important than whether you had Jamaal Charles 2nd or 5th.
An additional option is to split it down the middle. So I ran the numbers this morning on the 25-6 scale. Right now (and thinking out loud), I think the 25-6 grading scale is the frontrunner for the 2014 season. We take two entries for the Experts Poll, and maybe it would be good to take winners from multiple formats.
The three categories this year were won by two guys. Deskovitz won the official scoring. The other two systems I looked at were both won by Dana Duffield of Rochester, Minn. So if Deskovitz is the WBC champ, than Duffield can claim the WBA and IBF belts.
Below are the top 20 for each of those scoring systems, as well as the average of all three (the average of your place finishes in the three systems). Then I’ve listed all 209 entries, with how they would finish in each of the formats.
OFFICIAL SCORING (30-11 scale) | |||
---|---|---|---|
Rk | Name | Hometown | Points |
1 | Tom Deskovitz | South Lyon, Mich. | 393,916 |
2 | Michael Livengood | Ward, Ark. | 393,379 |
3 | Dana Duffield | Rochester, Minn. | 393,042 |
4 | Steve Moyer | Alameda, Calif. | 392,817 |
5 | Tom Overberger | Bedminster, Pa. | 392,708 |
6 | Jamie Alberts | Sturgeon Bay, Wis. | 391,938 |
7 | Aaron Sucov | Monmouth Junction, N.J. | 391,650 |
8 | Derek Mathis | North Charleston, S.C. | 391,647 |
9 | John D. Smith | Mount Laurel, N.J. | 390,809 |
10 | Doug Pawlak | Knoxville, Tenn. | 390,751 |
11 | Scott Liles | Russellville, Ark. | 390,725 |
12 | Dean Tuffie | Aliquippa, Pa. | 390,670 |
13 | S. Lind | Monmouth Junction, N.J. | 390,659 |
14 | Stephen Mckenzie | Red Wing, Minn. | 390,413 |
15 | Mike Clay | Fleetwood, Pa. | 390,338 |
16 | Juan Novo | Miami, Fla. | 390,177 |
17 | Curt Goldgrabe | Boise, Idaho | 390,107 |
18 | Zach Leavitt | Highlands Ranch, Colo. | 390,012 |
19 | Mike Balliet | Milton, Pa. | 389,848 |
20 | Joseph Michelangelo | Oceanside, N.Y. | 389,758 |
PREMIUM ON TOP PICKS (20-1 scale) | |||
---|---|---|---|
Rk | Name | Hometown | Points |
1 | Dana Duffield | Rochester, Minn. | 207,386 |
2 | Mike Nease | West Chicago, Ill. | 207,160 |
3 | Brian Sauber | Denver, Colo. | 206,991 |
4 | Mike Carlson | Sacramento, Calif. | 206,964 |
5 | Bradley Wolfrum | Alpharetta, Ga. | 206,927 |
6 | Curt Goldgrabe | Boise, Idaho | 206,880 |
7 | Michael Livengood | Ward, Ark. | 206,579 |
8 | Scott Liles | Russellville, Ark. | 206,562 |
9 | S. Lind | Monmouth Junction, N.J. | 206,522 |
10 | Steve Moyer | Alameda, Calif. | 206,326 |
11 | Aaron Sucov | Monmouth Junction, N.J. | 206,326 |
12 | Jeff Richey | Flower Mound, Texas | 206,306 |
13 | John D. Smith | Mount Laurel, N.J. | 206,231 |
14 | Mike Clay | Fleetwood, Pa. | 206,196 |
15 | Stephen Mckenzie | Red Wing, Minn. | 206,184 |
16 | Tom Deskovitz | South Lyon, Mich. | 206,159 |
17 | Chad Eisenhower | Reading, Pa. | 206,042 |
18 | Brant Hollenbeck | Lansing, Mich. | 205,954 |
19 | John O'Kane | Flemington, N.J. | 205,946 |
20 | Tom Overberger | Bedminster, Pa. | 205,890 |
POSSIBLE 2014 SCORING (25-6 scale) | |||
---|---|---|---|
Rk | Name | Hometown | Points |
1 | Dana Duffield | Rochester, Minn. | 300,214 |
2 | Tom Deskovitz | South Lyon, Mich. | 300,037 |
3 | Michael Livengood | Ward, Ark. | 299,979 |
4 | Steve Moyer | Alameda, Calif. | 299,572 |
5 | Tom Overberger | Bedminster, Pa. | 299,299 |
6 | Aaron Sucov | Monmouth Junction, N.J. | 298,988 |
7 | Scott Liles | Russellville, Ark. | 298,643 |
8 | Derek Mathis | North Charleston, S.C. | 298,628 |
9 | S. Lind | Monmouth Junction, N.J. | 298,590 |
10 | Jamie Alberts | Sturgeon Bay, Wis. | 298,576 |
11 | John D. Smith | Mount Laurel, N.J. | 298,520 |
12 | Curt Goldgrabe | Boise, Idaho | 298,493 |
13 | Mike Nease | West Chicago, Ill. | 298,341 |
14 | Mike Carlson | Sacramento, Calif. | 298,308 |
15 | Stephen Mckenzie | Red Wing, Minn. | 298,298 |
16 | Mike Clay | Fleetwood, Pa. | 298,267 |
17 | Bradley Wolfrum | Alpharetta, Ga. | 298,169 |
18 | Brian Sauber | Denver, Colo. | 298,083 |
19 | Dean Tuffie | Aliquippa, Pa. | 298,071 |
20 | Juan Novo | Miami, Fla. | 297,935 |
AVERAGE OF THREE SCORING SYSTEMS (Top 20) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rk | Name | Hometown | 20-1 | 25-6 | 30-11 |
1 | Dana Duffield | Rochester, Minn. | 1 | 1 | 3 |
2 | Michael Livengood | Ward, Ark. | 7 | 3 | 2 |
3 | Steve Moyer | Alameda, Calif. | 10 | 4 | 4 |
4 | Tom Deskovitz | South Lyon, Mich. | 16 | 2 | 1 |
5 | Aaron Sucov | Monmouth Junction, N.J. | 11 | 6 | 7 |
6 | Scott Liles | Russellville, Ark. | 8 | 7 | 11 |
7 | Tom Overberger | Bedminster, Pa. | 20 | 5 | 5 |
8 | S. Lind | Monmouth Junction, N.J. | 9 | 9 | 13 |
9 | John D. Smith | Mount Laurel, N.J. | 13 | 11 | 9 |
10 | Curt Goldgrabe | Boise, Idaho | 6 | 12 | 17 |
11 | Mike Nease | West Chicago, Ill. | 2 | 13 | 23 |
12 | Mike Carlson | Sacramento, Calif. | 4 | 14 | 21 |
13 | Derek Mathis | North Charleston, S.C. | 28 | 8 | 8 |
14 | Stephen Mckenzie | Red Wing, Minn. | 15 | 15 | 14 |
15 | Mike Clay | Fleetwood, Pa. | 14 | 16 | 15 |
16 | Bradley Wolfrum | Alpharetta, Ga. | 5 | 17 | 25 |
17 | Brian Sauber | Denver, Colo. | 3 | 18 | 27 |
18 | Jamie Alberts | Sturgeon Bay, Wis. | 37 | 10 | 6 |
19 | Dean Tuffie | Aliquippa, Pa. | 29 | 19 | 12 |
20 | Mike Balliet | Milton, Pa. | 21 | 21 | 19 |
AVERAGE OF THREE SCORING SYSTEMS (Alphabetical) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Name | 20-1 | 25-6 | 30-11 | Avg |
Aaron Sucov | 11 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
Adam Holtz | 146 | 157 | 158 | 153 |
Adam Locke | 55 | 39 | 40 | 40 |
Adam Renzoni | 155 | 167 | 176 | 167 |
Adam Sheets | 38 | 40 | 53 | 39 |
Adam Thygeson | 127 | 130 | 124 | 131 |
Alan Kaster | 153 | 143 | 130 | 144 |
Alessandro Miglio | 51 | 91 | 121 | 87 |
Andy Gough | 141 | 144 | 142 | 145 |
Andy Richardson | 80 | 87 | 90 | 83 |
Austin Lee | 61 | 68 | 66 | 64 |
Bill Mason | 184 | 181 | 175 | 181 |
Bill Rehor | 99 | 86 | 83 | 89 |
Bob Adelman | 161 | 137 | 112 | 141 |
Bob Buchner | 197 | 197 | 197 | 198 |
Bob Stone | 182 | 186 | 189 | 186 |
Bob Tecca | 56 | 44 | 45 | 49 |
Brack Varnon | 70 | 51 | 43 | 55 |
Brad Freeman | 120 | 118 | 118 | 118 |
Brad Henderson | 30 | 59 | 74 | 54 |
Bradley Wolfrum | 5 | 17 | 25 | 16 |
Brant Hollenbeck | 18 | 22 | 22 | 22 |
Brent Miles | 31 | 49 | 63 | 46 |
Brett Sanborn | 44 | 58 | 64 | 56 |
Brian Carlson | 193 | 184 | 172 | 184 |
Brian George | 183 | 172 | 162 | 172 |
Brian Laskiewicz | 58 | 81 | 103 | 78 |
Brian Sauber | 3 | 18 | 27 | 17 |
Brian Staines | 103 | 102 | 108 | 102 |
Bryan Sweet | 130 | 111 | 98 | 112 |
Chad Eisenhower | 17 | 29 | 38 | 28 |
Chris Blacksmith | 129 | 116 | 106 | 117 |
Chris Durham | 147 | 147 | 147 | 149 |
Chris Lingen | 136 | 136 | 126 | 138 |
Chris Whitney | 187 | 195 | 196 | 193 |
Chris Winder | 85 | 113 | 129 | 110 |
Clifford Quinn | 74 | 110 | 134 | 105 |
Cory Bonini | 33 | 48 | 58 | 43 |
Craig Robinson | 204 | 201 | 199 | 201 |
Curt Goldgrabe | 6 | 12 | 17 | 10 |
Dan Frye | 140 | 163 | 170 | 158 |
Dan Schneier | 134 | 148 | 152 | 148 |
Dana Duffield | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Daniel Bowman | 76 | 46 | 34 | 50 |
Darrell Duke | 116 | 134 | 140 | 133 |
Dave Bernhard | 142 | 164 | 168 | 160 |
Dave Cohen | 101 | 127 | 137 | 127 |
Dave Iampieri | 180 | 183 | 184 | 183 |
Dave Read | 113 | 103 | 101 | 104 |
David Aikenhead | 186 | 188 | 188 | 190 |
David Digregorio | 106 | 139 | 149 | 136 |
David J Thornton | 208 | 208 | 208 | 208 |
Dean Tuffie | 29 | 19 | 12 | 19 |
Dennis Thomas | 108 | 138 | 148 | 135 |
Derek Mathis | 28 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
Dish Adams | 105 | 128 | 136 | 128 |
Don Pavelka | 201 | 202 | 203 | 203 |
Doug Pawlak | 73 | 28 | 10 | 32 |
Ed O'Hair | 139 | 131 | 119 | 132 |
Ed Weiss | 47 | 41 | 49 | 42 |
Eddie Tietchen | 156 | 161 | 165 | 163 |
Edward Winklosky | 100 | 67 | 46 | 71 |
Eric Buchholz | 75 | 75 | 79 | 75 |
Eric Gustitus | 48 | 36 | 37 | 33 |
Eric Hotz | 92 | 107 | 120 | 108 |
Eric Scolnick | 126 | 99 | 86 | 100 |
Eric Stancliff | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 |
Gary Allen | 198 | 198 | 198 | 200 |
Gary Stehly | 200 | 194 | 191 | 195 |
Geoff Maleman | 97 | 80 | 77 | 82 |
Gilberto Baca | 112 | 124 | 127 | 124 |
Greg Heminway | 118 | 106 | 104 | 111 |
Hank Dabruzzi | 195 | 150 | 132 | 162 |
Harriett Hunt | 207 | 207 | 207 | 207 |
Henry Goers | 181 | 168 | 156 | 169 |
Henry Karsen | 205 | 205 | 205 | 205 |
Ian Allan | 131 | 142 | 144 | 143 |
Isaac Mcnally | 163 | 146 | 123 | 147 |
Jake Boegel | 192 | 200 | 201 | 199 |
James Sutter | 157 | 154 | 153 | 156 |
James Wimmers | 49 | 53 | 56 | 53 |
Jamie Alberts | 37 | 10 | 6 | 18 |
Jason Collington | 165 | 149 | 143 | 151 |
Jason Howe | 79 | 96 | 109 | 95 |
Jason Pilon | 86 | 121 | 139 | 114 |
Jason Spann | 143 | 122 | 100 | 125 |
Jeff Fell | 159 | 174 | 185 | 173 |
Jeff Fossett | 172 | 171 | 169 | 171 |
Jeff Richey | 12 | 23 | 28 | 23 |
Jeff Slawson | 170 | 176 | 181 | 176 |
Jeffery Lebeouf | 77 | 56 | 47 | 60 |
Jeremy Schwartz | 78 | 90 | 97 | 88 |
Jim Costello | 50 | 73 | 85 | 70 |
Jim Dilorenzo | 24 | 52 | 67 | 47 |
Jim Kangas | 154 | 160 | 160 | 159 |
Jim Nienaber | 162 | 165 | 164 | 165 |
Joe Vlcek | 167 | 151 | 145 | 154 |
John D. Smith | 13 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
John Duggins | 150 | 135 | 115 | 139 |
John Isett | 168 | 162 | 159 | 164 |
John Marino | 171 | 175 | 177 | 175 |
John Moore | 144 | 145 | 141 | 146 |
John O'Kane | 19 | 27 | 30 | 25 |
John Richmond | 194 | 193 | 192 | 194 |
John Roberts | 69 | 109 | 135 | 103 |
John Ruppe | 169 | 173 | 179 | 174 |
Jon Elliott Hansen | 191 | 187 | 182 | 188 |
Jonathan Mora | 91 | 74 | 70 | 76 |
Joseph Michelangelo | 32 | 24 | 20 | 24 |
Juan Novo | 26 | 20 | 16 | 21 |
Justin Morris | 188 | 190 | 187 | 191 |
Keenan Raverty | 63 | 60 | 57 | 61 |
Keith Mason | 149 | 133 | 114 | 137 |
Keith Mcgrail | 54 | 35 | 36 | 35 |
Ken Yuen | 125 | 77 | 61 | 86 |
Kent Bailey | 84 | 152 | 167 | 140 |
Kevin Cuozzo | 88 | 57 | 44 | 62 |
Kevin Hall | 41 | 45 | 54 | 45 |
Kevin Smith | 67 | 89 | 105 | 85 |
Kevin Weakland | 176 | 179 | 180 | 179 |
Kirk Kennedy | 90 | 62 | 50 | 67 |
Lou Sanicola | 174 | 189 | 194 | 187 |
Louis Dale Gander | 71 | 82 | 87 | 77 |
Manny De Jesus | 123 | 100 | 89 | 101 |
Marc Price | 35 | 61 | 72 | 58 |
Mark Burns | 82 | 50 | 35 | 57 |
Mark Faber | 23 | 65 | 81 | 59 |
Mark Kundrotas | 119 | 104 | 96 | 107 |
Mark Stoecker | 45 | 43 | 52 | 44 |
Matt Becker | 36 | 38 | 51 | 36 |
Matt Hayes | 95 | 94 | 92 | 94 |
Matt Kons | 202 | 196 | 193 | 197 |
Michael Cabaza | 96 | 97 | 95 | 96 |
Michael Crow | 164 | 155 | 151 | 157 |
Michael Kolton | 160 | 159 | 157 | 161 |
Michael Livengood | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Michael Mcaninch | 104 | 105 | 111 | 109 |
Michael Mccleary | 135 | 119 | 107 | 123 |
Michael Mcilraith | 137 | 141 | 138 | 142 |
Michael Murillo | 190 | 185 | 178 | 185 |
Michael O'Brien | 42 | 55 | 60 | 52 |
Michael Phillips | 111 | 120 | 125 | 119 |
Michael Sarmento | 109 | 123 | 128 | 122 |
Michael Stanco | 53 | 93 | 122 | 90 |
Miguel Tames | 114 | 78 | 69 | 84 |
Mike Balliet | 21 | 21 | 19 | 20 |
Mike Carlson | 4 | 14 | 21 | 12 |
Mike Clay | 14 | 16 | 15 | 15 |
Mike Craig | 166 | 129 | 84 | 130 |
Mike Green | 178 | 178 | 174 | 178 |
Mike Mcilraith | 133 | 115 | 99 | 115 |
Mike Nease | 2 | 13 | 23 | 11 |
Mike Todd | 152 | 156 | 155 | 155 |
Mike Wells | 145 | 153 | 154 | 150 |
Mitch Wurst | 115 | 88 | 78 | 93 |
Moishe Steigmann | 83 | 66 | 55 | 68 |
Nathan Kline | 117 | 112 | 113 | 113 |
Nathan Priest | 72 | 76 | 80 | 74 |
Nathan Roberts | 179 | 177 | 173 | 177 |
Paul Hazen | 93 | 64 | 48 | 69 |
Paul Kuchar | 110 | 63 | 41 | 72 |
Peter Steinke | 68 | 85 | 93 | 80 |
Rey Diaz | 66 | 84 | 94 | 79 |
Rich Hodges | 175 | 191 | 195 | 189 |
Richard Brisacher | 177 | 182 | 186 | 182 |
Richard Jackson | 64 | 42 | 39 | 48 |
Richard Loppnow | 122 | 95 | 82 | 97 |
Richard Meadors | 196 | 204 | 204 | 202 |
Rick Calabro | 102 | 140 | 150 | 134 |
Rob Dammers | 203 | 203 | 202 | 204 |
Rob Reiber | 57 | 33 | 32 | 34 |
Robert Cowart | 60 | 69 | 68 | 65 |
Rocky Petrella | 107 | 125 | 133 | 126 |
Ronald John Robuck | 206 | 206 | 206 | 206 |
Russell Ditnes | 185 | 192 | 190 | 192 |
Rustin Paul | 98 | 101 | 110 | 99 |
Rusty Stephens | 34 | 72 | 88 | 63 |
S. Lind | 9 | 9 | 13 | 8 |
Sam Hendricks | 27 | 47 | 62 | 41 |
Scott Anderson | 124 | 117 | 116 | 120 |
Scott Brady | 46 | 30 | 24 | 30 |
Scott Kopischke | 62 | 34 | 31 | 37 |
Scott Liles | 8 | 7 | 11 | 6 |
Scott Martin | 189 | 199 | 200 | 196 |
Scott Sachs | 199 | 180 | 161 | 180 |
Sebastian Falsone | 121 | 83 | 71 | 92 |
Shane Scott | 59 | 37 | 33 | 38 |
Shiaw Chi | 81 | 132 | 146 | 121 |
Stephen Coleman | 94 | 79 | 76 | 81 |
Stephen Fisse | 87 | 71 | 65 | 73 |
Stephen Mckenzie | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 |
Steve Hoyt | 128 | 126 | 117 | 129 |
Steve Moyer | 10 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Steve Tortora | 148 | 98 | 73 | 106 |
Thomas Oliver | 158 | 166 | 171 | 166 |
Tim Lloyd | 138 | 158 | 163 | 152 |
Tim Wandling | 52 | 70 | 75 | 66 |
Todd Voorhees | 43 | 54 | 59 | 51 |
Tom Deskovitz | 16 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Tom Overberger | 20 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
Tommy Libretti | 209 | 209 | 209 | 209 |
Tony Zeller | 40 | 32 | 29 | 31 |
Travis Billman | 89 | 92 | 91 | 91 |
Travis Gray | 132 | 114 | 102 | 116 |
Treavor Phipps | 151 | 170 | 183 | 168 |
Troy Tretola | 173 | 169 | 166 | 170 |
Ty Tietjen | 65 | 108 | 131 | 98 |
Victor Kitzes | 22 | 31 | 42 | 29 |
Zach Leavitt | 39 | 25 | 18 | 27 |
--Ian Allan