Fantasy Index

Factoid

300-yard passers (part 2)

Do 300-yard passers tend to win? Or lose?

Dennis Lyons raised the point that in the days long gone, a 300-yard passing game tended to me said quarterback’s team probably lost – and thus was playing more. I decided to run the numbers.

I have all of the 300-yard passer games for 1978 thru 2013 in a sortable database (I haven’t loaded the 2014 numbers in there yet).

Turns out if you rank them by winning percentage, the 10 worst winning percentages tended to come in the late ‘70s and early ‘80s (I’ve got those in bold below).

The higher winning percentages (tag with a block dot •) have tended to come more recently.

WINNING PERCENTAGES OF 300-YARD PASSERS
YearWLGPct
197851015 .333
1979202444 .455
1980252954 .463
1981213556 .375
1982202343 .465
1983254166 .379
1984363470 .514
1985313566 .470
1986303161 .492
1987302858 .517
1988282654 .519
1989333265 .508
1990271643•.628
1991282755 .509
1992202242 .476
1993201737•.541
1994352964•.547
1995413980 .513
1996292150•.580
1997202646 .435
1998272552 .519
1999432972•.597
2000343165 .523
2001373572 .514
2002443579•.557
2003293160 .483
2004364581 .444
2005313364 .484
2006362965•.554
2007433881 .531
2008472976•.618
20096737104•.644
2010474996 .490
20116655121•.545
20126165126 .484
20136160121 .504

—Ian Allan

Fantasy Index