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Factoid

Playoff teams: recovering fumbles

Turnovers are often critical in determining playoff games, which in terms of fumbles seems, at first glance, to favor the road teams. Of the eight remaining teams, the top 4 in terms of recovering fumbles are the visitors: Indianapolis, Dallas, Carolina and Baltimore, in that order. Taken on its own, those teams would seem to have an edge in recovering fumbles this week.

2014 FUMBLES RECOVERED
DEFENSEFFFR
Philadelphia2716
Jacksonville2214
Indianapolis2914
Houston2414
Dallas2013
St. Louis2512
Carolina2812
Washington2612
Atlanta1912
Buffalo2011
Baltimore2211
Miami1911
Seattle2911
Tampa Bay2511
San Diego2211
Chicago2510
Pittsburgh2010
NY Giants249
Green Bay209
New England199
Kansas City178
Cleveland228
NY Jets177
Detroit197
Denver217
Arizona137
Minnesota206
San Francisco186
Cincinnati156
New Orleans155
Oakland195
Tennessee74

Then again, of the eight remaining playoff teams, which four have lost the fewest fumbles this season? You guessed it: the four home teams.

2014 FUMBLES LOST
OffenseFumLost
Philadelphia2515
Indianapolis3115
Dallas2114
NY Giants2114
Tampa Bay2913
Washington3113
New Orleans2213
Oakland2813
San Francisco1812
St. Louis2711
Miami2711
Carolina2511
Pittsburgh1611
Kansas City2211
Buffalo2210
Chicago1910
Tennessee2310
Houston199
Cincinnati209
NY Jets259
Detroit218
Atlanta168
Baltimore168
Jacksonville158
Cleveland167
Green Bay197
Seattle237
Arizona165
Denver165
San Diego155
New England134
Minnesota112

Merging the two, here are your fumble recovery likelihoods from the eight defenses. Based on that, the Green Bay, Seattle and Denver defenses look like your best bets.

TOTAL FUMBLES, DIVISIONAL MATCHUPS
DEFENSEFROFFENSEFLTotal
Green Bay9Dallas1423
Seattle11Carolina1122
Denver7Indianapolis1522
Dallas13Green Bay720
Indianapolis14Denver519
Carolina12Seattle719
New England9Baltimore817
Baltimore11New England415

--Andy Richardson

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