Fantasy Index

Factoid

Tyler Boyd

Odds against 2nd-round wideouts as rookies

The Bengals have opportunity for new pass catchers this year, with Marvin Jones and Mohamed Sanu gone in free agency and Tyler Eifert (ankle surgery) unlikely to be available at the start of the season. Rookie second-rounder Tyler Boyd is one of the favorites to take advantage.

The recent history of second-rounders as rookies isn't particularly compelling. Over the last decade, there have been no 1,000-yard receivers, and fewer than a handful reach even 800 yards. Under a quarter of them (10 of 42) have made it to 600 yards. That's the track record you're looking at if you select Boyd.

Still, it seems like the 2016 group might beat those odds. Sterling Shepard looks like an immediate starter with Eli Manning, and Michael Thomas could be in line for heavy snaps with Drew Brees. Nice situation for Boyd, too.

Second-round wide receivers since 2006, sorted by their rookie yardage, are shown below.

SECOND-ROUND WIDEOUTS, 2006-2016
YearPickPlayerNoYardsTD
200842Eddie Royal, Den.919805
200849DeSean Jackson, Phil.629124
201442Jordan Matthews, Phil.678728
201158Torrey Smith, Balt.508417
201463Jarvis Landry, Mia.847585
201159Greg Little, Clev.617092
200833Donnie Avery, St.L.536743
200652Greg Jennings, G.B.456323
200950Mohamed Massaquoi, Clev.346243
201144Titus Young, Det.486076
201341Robert Woods, Buff.405873
201540Dorial Green-Beckham, Tenn.325494
201461Allen Robinson, Jac.485482
201359Aaron Dobson, N.E.375194
201541Devin Funchess, Car.314735
201453Davante Adams, G.B.384463
201439Marqise Lee, Jac.374221
200744Sidney Rice, Minn.313964
201039Arrelious Benn, T.B.253952
201164Randall Cobb, G.B.253751
201245Alshon Jeffery, Chi.243673
200836Jordy Nelson, G.B.333662
201334Justin Hunter, Tenn.183544
201254Ryan Broyles, Det.223102
201263Rueben Randle, NYG192983
201445Paul Richardson, Sea.292711
201243Stephen Hill, NYJ212523
201060Golden Tate, Sea.212270
201036Dexter McCluster, K.C.212091
201233Brian Quick, St.L.111562
200636Chad Jackson, N.E.131523
200834Devin Thomas, Wash.151201
201537Devin Smith, NYJ91151
200936Brian Robiskie, Clev.71060
200841James Hardy, Buff.9872
200745Dwayne Jarrett, Car.6730
200853Limas Sweed, Pitt.6640
200751Steve Smith, NYG8630
200644Sinorice Moss, NYG5250
201456Cody Latimer, Den.2230
200851Malcolm Kelly, Wash.3180
200846Jerome Simpson, Cin.120
201640Sterling Shepard, NYG???
201647Michael Thomas, N.O.???
201655Tyler Boyd, Cin.???

--Andy Richardson

Fantasy Index