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Dynasty quarterbacks

Hard to identify best long-term quarterback

Ranking players for dynasty leagues is notoriously tough – especially for quarterbacks. It involved measuring what a player is doing right now against what might (or might not) occur in a different offense with different teammates 5 years from now.

As quarterbacks stand right now, there is no obvious No. 1. Cam Newton has special abilities, with his tendency to power the ball into the end zone on runs, but is that kind of play sustainable? Hard to envision him playing that way in his 30s.

But who else would take the No. 1 spot? Andrew Luck is supposed to develop into a Manning-Brady type quarterback, but it hasn’t happened yet (and he takes just as much punishment as Newton). Russell Wilson is nifty, but there’s also a mobility dimension to his game. You can’t look at him and be confident you’re getting top-5 quarterbacking numbers for each of the next half-dozen years.

Matthew Stafford and Matt Ryan are both putting up big numbers right now, but for most of the last five years, you would have thought of them more as top-10 quarterbacks. They won’t necessarily keep it up.

Aaron Rodgers is supposed to be a franchise-type difference maker, but he’s 32 (the oldest quarterback in my top 10) and has been slumping for the last year.

With the younger guys – Wentz, Carr, Bortles, Prescott, Mariota – there’s the appeal of them perhaps playing for another dozen years, but they haven’t quite established that they’ll be great quarterbacks for years and years.

In this exercise, I have downgraded four reliable old veterans – Roethlisberger, Rivers, Brady and Brees. These guys are all great. If you’re drafting for the next 2-3 years, then Brady and Brees most certainly would be right near the top. But they don’t have much time left – Brady and Brees are closing in on 40.

Anyway, here’s my stab at it. This is using standard scoring.

DYNASTY LEAGUE QUARTERBACKS
RkTeamPlayerAge
1.CARCam Newton27
2.INDAndrew Luck27
3.SEARussell Wilson27
4.DETMatthew Stafford28
5.ATLMatt Ryan31
6.TBJameis Winston22
7.GBAaron Rodgers32
8.PHICarson Wentz23
9.OAKDerek Carr25
10.WASKirk Cousins28
11.PITBen Roethlisberger34
12.SDPhilip Rivers34
13.NETom Brady39
14.NODrew Brees37
15.JACBlake Bortles24
16.DALDak Prescott23
17.CINAndy Dalton28
18.TENMarcus Mariota22
19.NYGEli Manning35
20.BALJoe Flacco31
21.BUFTyrod Taylor27
22.MIARyan Tannehill28
23.DENPaxton Lynch22
24.MINSam Bradford28
25.ARICarson Palmer36
26.HOUBrock Osweiler25
27.DENTrevor Siemian24
28.LAJared Goff22
29.NEJimmy Garoppolo24
30.KCAlex Smith32
31.CHIBrian Hoyer31
32.LACase Keenum28
33.MINTeddy Bridgewater23
34.CLECody Kessler23
35.SFColin Kaepernick28
36.DALTony Romo36
37.NYJChristian Hackenberg22
38.CLERobert Griffin III26
39.NYJRyan Fitzpatrick33
40.CHIJay Cutler33

—Ian Allan

Fantasy Index