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Ian Allan

Home-away passing stats

Brees, Big Ben tend to dominate at home

Someone a few weeks back asked about home-away numbers for quarterbacks. I’ve had a Post-It on my computer screen, and I’ve finally had a chance to get around to it. As I supposed, it’s Ben Roethlisberger and Drew Brees leading the way.

Roethlisberger has been amazing. In his last 16 games at home (a season’s worth of work) he’s thrown for 5,458 yards and 50 TDs. He’s really tough at Heinz Field. But he’s tended to be painfully ordinary on the road, with almost 1,000 fewer yards in his last 16 games, with just 17 TDs. Hardly seems possible.

For this study, I looked at all quarterbacks who’ve started at least half the time in the last four years. (So no Tyrod Taylor, Nick Foles or Brian Hoyer – they just miss the cut). Then I tossed out international games, since that’s more of a neutral field. Finally, I just looked at the composite totals of the last 16 games started for each quarterback when playing on the road versus when playing at home.

Starting with the home games (and I’ve got them ordered by touchdown passes):

LAST 16 HOME GAMESW-LCmp%YardsTDInt
Ben Roethlisberger13-368%5,4585014
Drew Brees8-870%5,6204312
Aaron Rodgers11-564%4,305398
Andrew Luck9-760%4,7113614
Ryan Fitzpatrick8-860%3,7993613
Tom Brady13-366%4,809348
Peyton Manning14-266%4,4233316
Tony Romo10-669%4,3033318
Eli Manning10-664%4,6263212
Philip Rivers6-1064%4,4533219
Matt Ryan9-770%4,9363115
Carson Palmer10-5-163%4,678309
Derek Carr9-763%4,1053013
Matthew Stafford10-666%4,3273010
Russell Wilson12-466%4,327305
Cam Newton13-355%3,8952915
Kirk Cousins10-670%4,5482810
Ryan Tannehill10-665%4,0182811
Joe Flacco10-665%4,3882711
Andy Dalton10-667%3,769239
Blake Bortles5-1158%4,0132318
Sam Bradford9-769%4,3322312
Jameis Winston7-959%3,8642216
Alex Smith11-566%3,5462112
Jay Cutler4-1264%3,7142118
Colin Kaepernick6-1059%3,235177

Here are the same quarterbacks, only showing their last 16 games played on the road.

LAST 16 ROAD GAMESW-LCmp%YardsTDInt
Peyton Manning11-564%4,9163922
Tom Brady13-365%4,413354
Andrew Luck9-759%4,3203420
Carson Palmer10-661%4,4753417
Blake Bortles2-1459%4,2513316
Tony Romo12-464%3,570338
Aaron Rodgers9-763%3,944327
Eli Manning7-962%4,0323218
Derek Carr10-660%3,896306
Philip Rivers3-1363%4,7253015
Jameis Winston8-860%4,2682817
Matt Ryan10-666%4,599288
Matthew Stafford6-1066%4,2622811
Drew Brees7-968%4,7392717
Cam Newton9-758%3,6522610
Kirk Cousins7-966%4,4312615
Andy Dalton8-865%4,212259
Russell Wilson8-7-166%3,9162514
Jay Cutler6-1065%4,0662414
Sam Bradford7-967%3,864238
Colin Kaepernick4-1258%3,296209
Ryan Tannehill6-1066%4,2231915
Ben Roethlisberger10-665%4,4641717
Joe Flacco5-1163%4,1851720
Alex Smith11-566%3,747164
Ryan Fitzpatrick7-958%3,4761516

Finally, here are the combined numbers, showing which quarterbacks have improved the most when playing at home. That is, I took the 16-game road totals and subtracted them from the 16-game home totals. Brees, for example, passed for 881 more yards and 16 more touchdowns when playing at home – about 55 more yards inside the Superdome, with an average of one more touchdown pass per game.

Six quarterbacks in recent years have averaged more yards and more touchdowns when playing on the road.

There’s a “points” total. That’s standard fantasy scoring (4 points for TD passes and 1 for every 20 passing yards). Just passing stats here – runs aren’t included.

HOME-COOKING QUARTERBACKS
PlayerYardsTDPoints
Ben Roethlisberger99433181.7
Drew Brees88116108.1
Ryan Fitzpatrick32321100.2
Joe Flacco2031050.2
Aaron Rodgers361746.1
Russell Wilson411540.6
Tony Romo733036.7
Eli Manning594029.7
Matt Ryan337328.9
Andrew Luck391227.6
Ryan Tannehill-205925.8
Cam Newton243324.2
Sam Bradford468023.4
Tom Brady396-115.8
Kirk Cousins117213.9
Matthew Stafford65211.3
Derek Carr209010.5
Alex Smith-201510.0
Philip Rivers-2722-5.6
Carson Palmer203-4-5.9
Colin Kaepernick-61-3-15.1
Jay Cutler-352-3-29.6
Andy Dalton-443-2-30.2
Jameis Winston-404-6-44.2
Peyton Manning-493-6-48.7
Blake Bortles-238-10-51.9

Fantasy Index