It was not a great year for quarterbacks last season. There were plenty of good quarterbacks, but not enough difference makers.
When you draft a quarterback in the first two rounds, after all, it’s not with the expectation that they’ll be good. You’re looking for greatness – a player who’s a lot better than all the other good options at his position.
With the way the game has changed, with rule changes and teams passing more, you’re looking for a quarterback who’ll put up close to 40 touchdowns. That’s what everyone is hunting for when they decide to be one of the first to choose a quarterback. In this century, 16 quarterbacks have finished seasons with at least 40 touchdowns.
But 2017 didn’t have one of those guys. Carson Wentz might have made a run at 40, but he missed the final three games. Tom Brady played well, helping the Patriots to another Super Bowl appearance, but he finished at only 32 touchdowns – 59 other quarterbacks have thrown more in this century.
Ultimately, only one quarterback finished with more than 33: Russell Wilson, who threw 34 TDs and ran for 3 more. But that total doesn’t crack the top 20 for quarterbacks since 2000.
Injuries were a factor. For the uber-elite quarterbacks, not only Wentz, but Aaron Rodgers and Deshaun Watson both missed half of the season. Andrew Luck didn’t play at all. Only 12 quarterbacks started all 16 games, and that’s a lot lower than usual.
I expect this is more of a blip than a trend. I would say it’s more likely than not that a quarterback will finish with 40-plus total touchdowns in the 2018 season.
QUARTERBACKS: TOTAL TOUCHDOWNS (2000-2017) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Player | Pass | Run | Total |
2013 | Peyton Manning, Den. | 55 | 1 | 56 |
2007 | Tom Brady, N.E. | 50 | 2 | 52 |
2004 | Peyton Manning, Ind. | 49 | 0 | 49 |
2011 | Aaron Rodgers, G.B. | 45 | 3 | 48 |
2011 | Drew Brees, N.O. | 46 | 1 | 47 |
2015 | Cam Newton, Car. | 35 | 10 | 45 |
2016 | Aaron Rodgers, G.B. | 40 | 4 | 44 |
2012 | Drew Brees, N.O. | 43 | 1 | 44 |
2014 | Andrew Luck, Ind. | 40 | 3 | 43 |
2013 | Drew Brees, N.O. | 39 | 3 | 42 |
2011 | Tom Brady, N.E. | 39 | 3 | 42 |
2012 | Aaron Rodgers, G.B. | 39 | 2 | 41 |
2011 | Matthew Stafford, Det. | 41 | 0 | 41 |
2004 | Daunte Culpepper, Minn. | 39 | 2 | 41 |
2014 | Aaron Rodgers, G.B. | 38 | 2 | 40 |
2000 | Daunte Culpepper, Minn. | 33 | 7 | 40 |
2016 | Drew Brees, N.O. | 37 | 2 | 39 |
2015 | Tom Brady, N.E. | 36 | 3 | 39 |
2014 | Peyton Manning, Den. | 39 | 0 | 39 |
2016 | Matt Ryan, Atl. | 38 | 0 | 38 |
2012 | Tom Brady, N.E. | 34 | 4 | 38 |
2007 | Tony Romo, Dall. | 36 | 2 | 38 |
2017 | Russell Wilson, Sea. | 34 | 3 | 37 |
2015 | Blake Bortles, Jac. | 35 | 2 | 37 |
2012 | Peyton Manning, Den. | 37 | 0 | 37 |
2010 | Tom Brady, N.E. | 36 | 1 | 37 |
2001 | Kurt Warner, Rams | 37 | 0 | 37 |
2001 | Jeff Garcia, S.F. | 32 | 5 | 37 |
2015 | Carson Palmer, Ariz. | 35 | 1 | 36 |
2009 | Drew Brees, N.O. | 34 | 2 | 36 |
2015 | Eli Manning, NYG | 35 | 0 | 35 |
2015 | Russell Wilson, Sea. | 34 | 1 | 35 |
2013 | Andy Dalton, Cin. | 33 | 2 | 35 |
2011 | Cam Newton, Car. | 21 | 14 | 35 |
2009 | Aaron Rodgers, G.B. | 30 | 5 | 35 |
2006 | Peyton Manning, Ind. | 31 | 4 | 35 |
2000 | Jeff Garcia, S.F. | 31 | 4 | 35 |
2015 | Kirk Cousins, Wash. | 29 | 5 | 34 |
2014 | Tony Romo, Dall. | 34 | 0 | 34 |
2014 | Drew Brees, N.O. | 33 | 1 | 34 |
2008 | Drew Brees, N.O. | 34 | 0 | 34 |
2008 | Philip Rivers, S.D. | 34 | 0 | 34 |
2007 | Peyton Manning, Ind. | 31 | 3 | 34 |
2007 | Ben Roethlisberger, Pitt. | 32 | 2 | 34 |
2004 | Donovan McNabb, Phil. | 31 | 3 | 34 |
2000 | Peyton Manning, Ind. | 33 | 1 | 34 |
2017 | Carson Wentz, Phil. | 33 | 0 | 33 |
2016 | Andrew Luck, Ind. | 31 | 2 | 33 |
2016 | Philip Rivers, S.D. | 33 | 0 | 33 |
2015 | Drew Brees, N.O. | 32 | 1 | 33 |
2015 | Ryan Fitzpatrick, NYJ | 31 | 2 | 33 |
2014 | Tom Brady, N.E. | 33 | 0 | 33 |
2012 | Matt Ryan, Atl. | 32 | 1 | 33 |
2010 | Peyton Manning, Ind. | 33 | 0 | 33 |
2010 | Drew Brees, N.O. | 33 | 0 | 33 |
2009 | Peyton Manning, Ind. | 33 | 0 | 33 |
2009 | Brett Favre, Minn. | 33 | 0 | 33 |
2005 | Carson Palmer, Cin. | 32 | 1 | 33 |
2001 | Brett Favre, G.B. | 32 | 1 | 33 |
2017 | Tom Brady, N.E. | 32 | 0 | 32 |
2015 | Matthew Stafford, Det. | 32 | 0 | 32 |
2015 | Aaron Rodgers, G.B. | 31 | 1 | 32 |
2015 | Derek Carr, Oak. | 32 | 0 | 32 |
2014 | Ben Roethlisberger, Pitt. | 32 | 0 | 32 |
2013 | Philip Rivers, S.D. | 32 | 0 | 32 |
2011 | Tony Romo, Dall. | 31 | 1 | 32 |
2011 | Mark Sanchez, NYJ | 26 | 6 | 32 |
2010 | Aaron Rodgers, G.B. | 28 | 4 | 32 |
2008 | Aaron Rodgers, G.B. | 28 | 4 | 32 |
2007 | Derek Anderson, Clev. | 29 | 3 | 32 |
2003 | Brett Favre, G.B. | 32 | 0 | 32 |
2003 | Rich Gannon, Oak. | 28 | 4 | 32 |
—Ian Allan