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March 14, 2018

Robinson to Chicago

High-profile receiver struggled in final year with Jaguars

The Bears sign Allen Robinson to a three-year deal worth $42 million. Now let’s see which receiver they get. Robinson missed almost all of last season, and he struggled in 2016.

Back in 2015, of course, Robinson was pretty awesome, catching 80 passes for 1,400 yards and 14 TDs. That he missed almost all of last year with a torn ACL isn’t necessarily a big deal – doctors know how to fix those nowadays.

But I am nervous about how poorly Robinson played in 2016. He averaged over 5 fewer yards per catch, and too often he and Blake Bortles weren’t on the same page. Bortles completed only 49 percent of his passes when throwing for Robinson. In the past two years, 54 other wide receivers have been the intended target on at least 150 passes, and only two of them have caught under 50 percent of their balls.

Some (maybe most) of this blame can be attributed to Bortles. He’s pretty stinky at times, with even the easiest throws an adventure at times. Bortles most recently had some appalling misses in the playoff win over Buffalo.

But I would be nervous about operating under the assumption that Robinson is one of the top dozen wide receivers in the game. He’s good at making contested catches, but he’s not a real speedy guy. Back at the combine in 2014, recall, he clocked an unusually slow 4.60.

Chicago has some other wide receivers. Cameron Meredith would have been their No. 1 option last year but he got hurt in the preseason. They drafted Kevin White with a top-10 pick, and they haven’t given up on him yet. But Robinson should be their main option.

YARDS PER TARGET (2016-17)
RkPlayerTgtRecPctYdsAvg/Tgt
1.Julio Jones27717161.7%2,85310.30
2.Brandin Cooks23114361.9%2,2559.76
3.Marvin Jones21011655.2%2,0319.67
4.Adam Thielen23416068.4%2,2439.59
5.Tyrell Williams18811259.6%1,7879.51
6.Tyreek Hill18813672.3%1,7769.45
7.Ted Ginn16510764.8%1,5399.33
8.T.Y. Hilton26414856.1%2,4149.14
9.Rishard Matthews19511860.5%1,7408.92
10.Antonio Brown31720765.3%2,8178.89
11.Michael Thomas27019672.6%2,3828.82
12.DeSean Jackson19010655.8%1,6738.81
13.Doug Baldwin24116970.1%2,1198.79
14.Keenan Allen16610865.1%1,4568.77
15.Robert Woods16110766.5%1,3948.66
16.Pierre Garcon18111965.7%1,5418.51
17.Mike Wallace20812459.6%1,7658.49
18.Stefon Diggs20714871.5%1,7528.46
19.Kenny Stills18610053.8%1,5738.46
20.A.J. Green24314158.0%2,0428.40
21.Kelvin Benjamin19611156.6%1,6338.33
22.Kenny Britt1548857.1%1,2588.17
23.Golden Tate25518371.8%2,0808.16
24.Jamison Crowder20213365.8%1,6368.10
25.Marquise Goodwin1738549.1%1,3938.05
26.Amari Cooper22813157.5%1,8338.04
27.Robby Anderson19210554.7%1,5287.96
28.Odell Beckham21012660.0%1,6697.95
29.Davante Adams23814962.6%1,8827.91
30.DeVante Parker18311361.7%1,4147.73
31.Marqise Lee20111959.2%1,5537.73
32.Mohamed Sanu17712671.2%1,3567.66
33.Adam Humphries16611669.9%1,2537.55
34.Alshon Jeffery21410950.9%1,6107.52
35.Mike Evans30916754.0%2,3227.51
36.Sterling Shepard18912465.6%1,4147.48
37.Jarvis Landry29220670.5%2,1237.27
38.Jordy Nelson24015062.5%1,7397.25
39.Brandon LaFell19611659.2%1,4107.19
40.Randall Cobb17612671.6%1,2637.18
41.DeAndre Hopkins32517453.5%2,3327.18
42.Dez Bryant22811952.2%1,6347.17
43.Devin Funchess1698650.9%1,2117.17
44.Demaryius Thomas28417360.9%2,0327.15
45.Cole Beasley16111168.9%1,1477.12
46.Jordan Matthews1539864.1%1,0867.10
47.Terrelle Pryor1779754.8%1,2477.05
48.Larry Fitzgerald31121669.5%2,1797.01
49.Julian Edelman1599861.6%1,1066.96
50.Emmanuel Sanders22912655.0%1,5876.93
51.Jermaine Kearse19110655.5%1,3206.91
52.Nelson Agholor1649859.8%1,1336.91
53.Michael Crabtree24614759.8%1,6216.59
54.Allen Robinson1527448.7%9005.92
55.Brandon Marshall1617747.8%9425.85

—Ian Allan

Allen Robinson
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