Fantasy Index

header banner img
OUR FANTASY BASEBALL MAGAZINE IS BACK! PRE-ORDER NOW
Win here.

Around the NFL

Karlos Williams reinstated

Running back scored 9 TDs for Bills in 2015

Remember Karlos Williams? He looked like an up-and-comer as a rookie, and he’s been cleared to resume his NFL career after two years of suspensions for violating the league’s substance abuse policies.

Williams, recall, with a fifth-round pick out of Florida State in 2015. He’s a big back – 6-foot-1 and 230 pounds – and made a nice impact as a rookie, operating as a change-of-pace behind LeSean McCoy. He ran for 517 yards, averaging 5.6 yards per carry, and he scored 9 touchdowns. Looked like he might develop into a really nice player.

It never happened. The Bills cut him in training camp the next year. He might have shown up in less-than-ideal shape, or the team might have decided his off-field issues were more than they wanted to deal with. Per a Reuters report, the league suspended Williams for four games in June, 2016, another 10 games in November that year, and a hit him with a year-long suspension in June, 2017.

But he’s been conditionally reinstated now, free to sign with any team. If he can get himself in good shape, he could wind up as a contributor somewhere.

I don’t think Williams is worth putting on a fantasy roster just yet, but add him to the lengthy list of players who need to be monitored in training camp. While unlikely, there’s some chance he’ll get back to being an effective runner. He’s 25 years old.

In the last five years, only three running backs have run for more than 500 yards and averaged more yards per carry.

AVERAGING OVER 5 YARDS PER CARRY (last 5 years)
YearPlayer AttYards Avg TD
2017Alvin Kamara, N.O.1207286.0714
2016Mike Gillislee, Buff.1015775.719
2015Thomas Rawls, Sea.1478305.655
2015Karlos Williams, Buff.935175.569
2016Bilal Powell, NYJ1317225.515
2018Aaron Jones, G.B.1337285.479
2018Kerryon Johnson, Det.1186415.434
2016LeSean McCoy, Buff.2341,2675.4114
2018Phillip Lindsay, Den.1921,0375.4010
2014Justin Forsett, Balt.2351,2665.398
2018Matt Breida, S.F.1538145.325
2018Gus Edwards, Balt.1377185.242
2018Austin Ekeler, LAC1065545.236
2016Jordan Howard, Chi.2521,3135.217
2018Nick Chubb, Cle.1929965.1910
2014Lamar Miller, Mia.2161,0995.099
2016Mark Ingram, N.O.2051,0435.0910
2016Ezekiel Elliott, Dall.3221,6315.0716
2014Jeremy Hill, Cin.2221,1245.069
2018Melvin Gordon, LAC1758855.0614
2015Ryan Mathews, Phil.1075395.047
2014Jamaal Charles, K.C.2061,0335.0114
2018Christian McCaffrey, Car.2191,0985.0113
2018Saquon Barkley, NYG2611,3075.0115

And Williams back in 2015 scored 9 TDs (7 run, 2 rec) in limited playing time – he averaged a touchdown every 12 touches. Among backs with at least 100 runs/recs, that’s the best ratio of any running back in the last five years.

TOUCHDOWN PERCENTAGE (last 5 years)
YearPlayerRunRecTDPct
2015Karlos Williams, Buff.931198.7%
2016Mike Gillislee, Buff.101998.2%
2015David Johnson, Ariz.12536138.1%
2016Tevin Coleman, Atl.11831117.4%
2017Alvin Kamara, N.O.12081147.0%
2018Kareem Hunt, K.C.18126146.8%
2018Todd Gurley, LAR25659216.7%
2018James White, N.E.9487126.6%
2018Alvin Kamara, N.O.19481186.5%
2014Ahmad Bradshaw, Ind.903886.3%
2018Melvin Gordon, LAC17550146.2%
2018Alex Collins, Balt.1141586.2%
2016LeGarrette Blount, N.E.2997185.9%
2017Chris Thompson, Wash.643965.8%
2016Shaun Draughn, S.F.742965.8%
2014Jamaal Charles, K.C.20640145.7%
2018Aaron Jones, G.B.1332695.7%
2017Todd Gurley, LAR27964195.5%
2015Ryan Mathews, Phil.1072075.5%
2014Marshawn Lynch, Sea.28037175.4%
2016David Johnson, Ariz.29380205.4%

—Ian Allan

Fantasy Index