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James Washington

Brown trade to Raiders makes 2nd-rounder clear No. 2

Antonio Brown has been traded to the Raiders. It's a big win for Brown, as long as he doesn't care about contending for a playoff spot. He's getting a new contract with a lot more guaranteed money, and he doesn't have to worry about his quarterback calling him out or any other wide receiver challenging him for the No. 1 spot.

On the flipside, the Raiders are definitely the 3rd-best team in the AFC West -- at best. Their defense is terrible, it's not clear if the team actually likes Derek Carr or is hoping to draft a quarterback in the first round, and Brown's stats seem likely to decline. His quarterback won't be as good and the passing game won't be as good. Maybe he's still one of the game's best wideouts, but I wouldn't draft him higher than the late 2nd or maybe the 3rd round. What's his interest level going to be midway through the season when the Raiders are 2-6? Brown won't be on any of my teams.

(By the way, unless the Steelers and Raiders finish in the same spot in their respective divisions this year or next, the teams won't face each other until 2022, so there won't even be a revenge game anytime soon.)

Pittsburgh, meantime, has extra third- and fifth-round picks (not great compensation, obviously), but rest assured they'll use one of those picks on a wide receiver. And the way they've been at picking wideouts, probably that guy will go on to tear up the league. Which brings us to James Washington.

The Steelers drafted Washington in the second round a year ago, which at the time dovetailed with the trade of Martavis Bryant (to Oakland, as it happens). But perhaps they also had an inkling a split with Brown was coming soon. Whatever the case, trading Brown leaves Pittsburgh with a sizable chunk of dead money against the cap, so they're probably not going to be able (or inclined) to sign a noteworthy wide receiver. Washington should get first crack at that No. 2 spot.

He'll need to show a lot more than he did as a rookie. In a couple of late-season games, he caught 3 for 65 against New England and 3 for 64 against Cincinnati. But the overall numbers weren't good. Among all wideouts with at least 30 targets a year ago, only three had a worse catch rate than Washington (and nobody is counting on them to be viable players in 2019).

WIDE RECEIVER CATCH RATES, 2018
Player Tm Tgt Rec Ctch%YdsTD
Michael ThomasNOR14712585.0%14059
Ryan SwitzerPIT443681.8%2531
Tyler LockettSEA705781.4%96510
Phillip DorsettNWE423276.2%2903
Cole BeasleyDAL876574.7%6723
Danny AmendolaMIA795974.7%5751
Albert WilsonMIA352674.3%3914
Adam ThielenMIN15311373.9%13739
Chester RogersIND725373.6%4852
Rashard HigginsCLE533973.6%5724
Jarius WrightCAR594372.9%4471
Cooper KuppLAR554072.7%5666
Sammy WatkinsKAN554072.7%5193
Adam HumphriesTAM1057672.4%8165
Emmanuel SandersDEN987172.4%8684
Taylor GabrielCHI936772.0%6882
Dontrelle InmanIND392871.8%3043
Jordy NelsonOAK886371.6%7393
Keenan AllenLAC1369771.3%11966
Will FullerHOU453271.1%5034
Alshon JefferyPHI926570.7%8436
DeAndre HopkinsHOU16311570.6%157211
Tyler BoydCIN1087670.4%10287
Seth RobertsOAK644570.3%4942
Mohamed SanuATL946670.2%8384
Amari Cooper2TM1077570.1%10057
Calvin RidleyATL926469.6%82110
Stefon DiggsMIN14910268.5%10219
Julian EdelmanNWE1087468.5%8506
Doug BaldwinSEA735068.5%6185
Brandin CooksLAR1178068.4%12045
Keke CouteeHOU412868.3%2871
Ryan GrantIND523567.3%3341
D.J. MooreCAR825567.1%7882
JuJu Smith-SchusterPIT16611166.9%14267
DaeSean HamiltonDEN453066.7%2432
Demarcus RobinsonKAN332266.7%2884
Geronimo AllisonGNB302066.7%3032
Julio JonesATL17011366.5%16778
Demaryius Thomas2TM895966.3%6775
Robert WoodsLAR1308666.2%12196
Taywan TaylorTEN563766.1%4661
Nelson AgholorPHI976466.0%7364
Laquon TreadwellMIN533566.0%3021
Davante AdamsGNB16911165.7%138613
Golden Tate2TM1137465.5%7954
Dede WestbrookJAX1016665.3%7175
Willie SneadBAL956265.3%6511
Mike WilliamsLAC664365.2%66410
Kendrick BourneSFO664263.6%4874
Chris HoganNWE553563.6%5323
Tre'Quan SmithNOR442863.6%4275
Tyreek HillKAN1378763.5%147912
Trent TaylorSFO412663.4%2151
T.Y. HiltonIND1207663.3%12706
Christian KirkARI684363.2%5903
Tyrell WilliamsLAC654163.1%6535
Mike EvansTAM1388662.3%15248
Randall CobbGNB613862.3%3832
Odell BeckhamNYG1247762.1%10526
Chris GodwinTAM955962.1%8427
Antonio BrownPIT16810461.9%129715
Jakeem GrantMIA342161.8%2682
Sterling ShepardNYG1076661.7%8724
Larry FitzgeraldARI1126961.6%7346
Chris ConleyKAN523261.5%3345
Robert FosterBUF442761.4%5413
Anthony MillerCHI543361.1%4237
Curtis SamuelCAR653960.0%4945
Dante PettisSFO452760.0%4675
Isaiah McKenzie2TM301860.0%1790
A.J. GreenCIN774659.7%6946
Maurice HarrisWAS472859.6%3040
Jamison CrowderWAS492959.2%3882
Kenny GolladayDET1197058.8%10635
Zach PascalIND462758.7%2682
Allen RobinsonCHI945558.5%7544
Equanimeous St. BrownGNB362158.3%3280
Corey DavisTEN1126558.0%8914
Kenny StillsMIA643757.8%5536
Josh Gordon2TM714157.7%7374
Allen HurnsDAL352057.1%2952
Paul RichardsonWAS352057.1%2622
Ted GinnNOR301756.7%2092
Deonte Thompson2TM301756.7%1610
Marvin JonesDET623556.5%5085
Josh DoctsonWAS784456.4%5322
Tim PatrickDEN412356.1%3151
Quincy EnunwaNYJ683855.9%4491
Devin FunchessCAR794455.7%5494
DeSean JacksonTAM744155.4%7744
Tajae SharpeTEN472655.3%3162
Zay JonesBUF1025654.9%6527
Torrey SmithCAR311754.8%1902
Josh ReynoldsLAR532954.7%4025
Jarvis LandryCLE1498154.4%9764
Antonio CallawayCLE794354.4%5865
Keelan ColeJAX703854.3%4911
Michael CrabtreeBAL1005454.0%6073
Donte MoncriefJAX894853.9%6683
Marquise GoodwinSFO432353.5%3954
Terrelle Pryor2TM301653.3%2522
Robby AndersonNYJ945053.2%7526
Pierre GarconSFO462452.2%2861
Marquez Valdes-ScantlingGNB733852.1%5812
DeVante ParkerMIA472451.1%3091
Courtland SuttonDEN844250.0%7044
David MooreSEA532649.1%4455
Jermaine KearseNYJ763748.7%3711
Aldrick RobinsonMIN351748.6%2315
Michael GallupDAL683348.5%5072
Marcell AtemanOAK311548.4%1541
DJ CharkJAX321443.8%1740
John BrownBAL974243.3%7155
James WashingtonPIT381642.1%2171
Kelvin Benjamin2TM672537.3%3801
Chad WilliamsARI461737.0%1711
John RossCIN582136.2%2107

Rookie wideouts not doing much isn't a big deal; Brown himself didn't do much when he was a rookie in Pittsburgh. Washington will get a crash course in the preseason, so maybe. He's working with a great quarterback and there's a great No. 1 wideout across the field to take attention away from him.

But you're definitely going pretty much sight unseen if you select Washington and hope you're getting a viable fantasy starter.

--Andy Richardson

Fantasy Index